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UK inflation driven up by 'brutal' energy bills; Brexit woes hit pound - business live Huawei crisis deepens as ARM suspends work - business live
(32 minutes later)
ARM has issued a brief statement on the Huawei ban, saying:
“ARM is complying with all of the latest regulations set forth by the U.S. government.
No further comment at this time.”
The crisis facing Huawei has deepened today, as British chipmaker ARM suspended business with the Chinese company.
ARM took the move after America put Huawei on its “banned entity” list, which forbids US companies to supply it with technology.
ARM - one of the success stories of British technology in recent decades -- reportedly believes it is affected by the US ban as some of its processor designs were developed in California and Texas.
The BBC, which broke the story, says the ban could present Huawei with “insurmountable” problems. That’s because ARM’s designs are widely used, and licensed by other semiconductor providers.
An internal memo has told ARM employees to halt “all active contracts, support entitlements, and any pending engagements” with Huawei and its subsidiaries.
So potentially, Huawei could be unable to use ARM-based chips in its smartphones, or network equipment.
An exclusive from @DaveLeeBBC - UK chip designer ARM has sent a memo to its staff telling them to suspend business with Huawei in a move that could threaten the Chinese firm's ability to create its own smartphone chips https://t.co/778iE5TUnl
The sight of Theresa May hanging onto her premiership by her fingernails is hurting sterling, says Fawad Razaqzada, analyst at foreign exchange firm Forex.com.
It looks like the Conservatives have had enough of their Prime Minister, as calls grow ever louder from her own party to quit. Although Mrs May looks dejected, she will not bow out without a fight. She still fully intends to put her Withdrawal Agreement Bill to a vote in the Commons in the week beginning June 3 for one last time.
This time, she has promised to offer Parliament a choice on customs arrangements and a vote on a second referendum, if they pass her withdrawal agreement bill. Essentially, the deal is very similar to the previous three that have already been rejected and offers nothing significant to appease hard line Brexiteers.
John Goldie, FX Dealer at Argentex, fears that the pound will suffer more volatility, as a no-deal Brexit becomes a bigger risk:
“Historically, we are at significantly low levels and have been since the Referendum. In the short term risks remain for the pound and are unlikely to go away anytime soon.
The withdrawal agreement will go back to the Commons at the start of next month – coincidentally the same week Donald Trump is in town – and more imminently we have the EU elections which it seems like the Brexit party are going to dominate in. The risk of No Deal was at its highest just before Christmas where the low was cemented around 1.25. This is the closest we have been to that since the turn of the year.”
The pound has continued to slide on the foreign exchange markets, as Brexit uncertainty bubbles away.The pound has continued to slide on the foreign exchange markets, as Brexit uncertainty bubbles away.
Sterling continues its record-breaking losing run against the euro, down half a eurocent at €1.1320. That’s a new three-month low, and the 13th daily fall in a row - the worst since the euro was created 20 years ago.Sterling continues its record-breaking losing run against the euro, down half a eurocent at €1.1320. That’s a new three-month low, and the 13th daily fall in a row - the worst since the euro was created 20 years ago.
The pound has also fallen further against the US dollar, down half a cent at $1.265.The pound has also fallen further against the US dollar, down half a cent at $1.265.
Traders are reacting to the looming prospect that the government’s Brexit deal is rejected for the 4th time by parliament soon. Theresa May has just faced MPs at Prime Minister’s Questions, with little sign of support.Traders are reacting to the looming prospect that the government’s Brexit deal is rejected for the 4th time by parliament soon. Theresa May has just faced MPs at Prime Minister’s Questions, with little sign of support.
No cheers, no jeers, no booing even, just the worst sign for a prime minister possible in the chamber- a consistent dull muttering. They’re not even listening any more.No cheers, no jeers, no booing even, just the worst sign for a prime minister possible in the chamber- a consistent dull muttering. They’re not even listening any more.
Several Brexit-supporting cabinet ministers were late for PMQs, as plotting reaches fever-pitch.Several Brexit-supporting cabinet ministers were late for PMQs, as plotting reaches fever-pitch.
Hearing there are "ongoing conversations" among cabinet ministers about whether there is any point at all in pressing the wab to a vote. "Today could be fluid", says one cabinet source. All eyes on the PM's statement this afternoon.Hearing there are "ongoing conversations" among cabinet ministers about whether there is any point at all in pressing the wab to a vote. "Today could be fluid", says one cabinet source. All eyes on the PM's statement this afternoon.
Pizza club absent from frontbench as PMQs gets underway. Karen Bradley has moved to fill Andrea Leadsom’s usual seatPizza club absent from frontbench as PMQs gets underway. Karen Bradley has moved to fill Andrea Leadsom’s usual seat
Financial analyst Frances Coppola certainly isn’t convinced that Brexit uncertainty drove British Steel to the wall.Financial analyst Frances Coppola certainly isn’t convinced that Brexit uncertainty drove British Steel to the wall.
The fact the company is now being liquidated means it is effectively insolvent, suggesting more deep-seated problems.The fact the company is now being liquidated means it is effectively insolvent, suggesting more deep-seated problems.
OMG. British Steel has gone in to compulsory liquidation, not administration as was predicted. In other words it is totally bust and short-term loans would not have saved it. Just like Carillion.OMG. British Steel has gone in to compulsory liquidation, not administration as was predicted. In other words it is totally bust and short-term loans would not have saved it. Just like Carillion.
I agree. British Steel tried to coerce the government into supporting them by arguing that their problems were due to Brexit uncertainty, but I don't believe it. Compulsory liquidation means they are completely bust. Can't see Brexit slowdown causing that.I agree. British Steel tried to coerce the government into supporting them by arguing that their problems were due to Brexit uncertainty, but I don't believe it. Compulsory liquidation means they are completely bust. Can't see Brexit slowdown causing that.
Greybull Capital has insisted that Brexit uncertainty, not mismanagement, caused British Steel’s demise.Greybull Capital has insisted that Brexit uncertainty, not mismanagement, caused British Steel’s demise.
A spokesperson says:A spokesperson says:
“Having rescued the business from closure over three years ago, we have worked hard to bring this important company back on its feet. Since 2016 we have arranged a financing package of more than £500 million, appointed a new and talented management team, helped the business open up new markets and reduce costs whilst addressing long-term underinvestment.“Having rescued the business from closure over three years ago, we have worked hard to bring this important company back on its feet. Since 2016 we have arranged a financing package of more than £500 million, appointed a new and talented management team, helped the business open up new markets and reduce costs whilst addressing long-term underinvestment.
“The turnaround of British Steel was always going to be a challenge, and yet the business overcame many difficulties, and until recently looked set for renewed prosperity.“The turnaround of British Steel was always going to be a challenge, and yet the business overcame many difficulties, and until recently looked set for renewed prosperity.
That “until recently” probably refers to the shortfall of EU carbon credits to cover its emissions.That “until recently” probably refers to the shortfall of EU carbon credits to cover its emissions.
The statement continues to blame political instability:The statement continues to blame political instability:
“The Workforce, the Trade Unions and the Management team, have worked closely together in their determination to strengthen the business, however, the additional blows dealt by Brexit-related issues have proven insurmountable.“The Workforce, the Trade Unions and the Management team, have worked closely together in their determination to strengthen the business, however, the additional blows dealt by Brexit-related issues have proven insurmountable.
We are grateful to all those who supported British Steel on the attempted journey to resurrect this vital part of British industry. We are now focused on assisting all involved as best we can through this process.”We are grateful to all those who supported British Steel on the attempted journey to resurrect this vital part of British industry. We are now focused on assisting all involved as best we can through this process.”
Here’s our news story on today’s rise in inflation:Here’s our news story on today’s rise in inflation:
Higher energy bills and transport costs drive up UK inflationHigher energy bills and transport costs drive up UK inflation
British Steel's owners charging firm £20m a year in fees and interestBritish Steel's owners charging firm £20m a year in fees and interest
British Steel’s liquidation has already sent shockwaves through the sector.British Steel’s liquidation has already sent shockwaves through the sector.
Industrial and property group Hargreaves Services warned investors this morning that its revenues and profits would be hit if British Steel failed. Its share price has slumped by 15% this morning, to a two year low.Industrial and property group Hargreaves Services warned investors this morning that its revenues and profits would be hit if British Steel failed. Its share price has slumped by 15% this morning, to a two year low.
Tens of thousands of jobs could be threatened across the UK economy, at companies which worked with British Steel.Tens of thousands of jobs could be threatened across the UK economy, at companies which worked with British Steel.
Mike Cherry, National Chairman at the Federation of Small Businesses, says many small businesses will be “very concerned”.Mike Cherry, National Chairman at the Federation of Small Businesses, says many small businesses will be “very concerned”.
“The closure will have a huge knock on impact across the communities surrounding the company’s plants. A raft of small firms like caterers, cafes, cleaners, shops and visitor attractions, all of which employs their own staff, rely heavily on British Steel.“The closure will have a huge knock on impact across the communities surrounding the company’s plants. A raft of small firms like caterers, cafes, cleaners, shops and visitor attractions, all of which employs their own staff, rely heavily on British Steel.
“Businesses throughout the supply chain will need guidance and support as the situation develops.”“Businesses throughout the supply chain will need guidance and support as the situation develops.”
The first potential casualty in the supply chain- Hargreaves Services warns of profit hit from possible British Steel... https://t.co/lMNAr6pycy #BritishSteelThe first potential casualty in the supply chain- Hargreaves Services warns of profit hit from possible British Steel... https://t.co/lMNAr6pycy #BritishSteel
Greybull Capital, the private equity firm which owned British Steel, is facing serious questions over the company’s collapse.Greybull Capital, the private equity firm which owned British Steel, is facing serious questions over the company’s collapse.
Greybull bought the business for £1 in 2016, and have since taken millions out of the company in management fees.Greybull bought the business for £1 in 2016, and have since taken millions out of the company in management fees.
My colleague Nils Pratley points out that management hasn’t always gone smoothly either:My colleague Nils Pratley points out that management hasn’t always gone smoothly either:
A fortnight ago the government agreed a £120m loan to cover British Steel’s cost of buying carbon credits under an EU-scheme to limit emissions. At the time it seemed a respectable use of public money since the delay in the UK’s exit from the EU meant the allocation of credits to all UK companies had been temporarily suspended.A fortnight ago the government agreed a £120m loan to cover British Steel’s cost of buying carbon credits under an EU-scheme to limit emissions. At the time it seemed a respectable use of public money since the delay in the UK’s exit from the EU meant the allocation of credits to all UK companies had been temporarily suspended.
But the FT later reported that Greybull had already sold surplus allocations in what appeared to be an a badly timed trade. Other UK steel producers, note, have not asked for loans to get over the permit obstacle. Again, there is an issue of trust with Greybull.But the FT later reported that Greybull had already sold surplus allocations in what appeared to be an a badly timed trade. Other UK steel producers, note, have not asked for loans to get over the permit obstacle. Again, there is an issue of trust with Greybull.
Who are the villains of the British Steel crisis? | Nils PratleyWho are the villains of the British Steel crisis? | Nils Pratley
Devi Shah, Partner at law firm Mayer Brown, hopes that some jobs at British Steel can be saved:Devi Shah, Partner at law firm Mayer Brown, hopes that some jobs at British Steel can be saved:
The immediate priority will be to seek a buyer, and secure the future of as many employees as possible, especially since this is an area where options for those affected will be limited, and the repercussions are likely to be felt across the region.The immediate priority will be to seek a buyer, and secure the future of as many employees as possible, especially since this is an area where options for those affected will be limited, and the repercussions are likely to be felt across the region.
British Steel’s collapse is the biggest industrial insolvency since Rover in 2005, says Freddy Khalastchi, business recovery partner at accountancy firm Menzies LLP.British Steel’s collapse is the biggest industrial insolvency since Rover in 2005, says Freddy Khalastchi, business recovery partner at accountancy firm Menzies LLP.
He fears the worst for the company...He fears the worst for the company...
“Unfortunately, the writing has been on the wall for some time and the business has been struggling to compete in a market flooded by cheap imports from China. The business has also experienced a slump in orders due to Brexit.“Unfortunately, the writing has been on the wall for some time and the business has been struggling to compete in a market flooded by cheap imports from China. The business has also experienced a slump in orders due to Brexit.
“In the past we might have expected the Government to intervene to protect a major industrial employer and key supplier to the UK defence sector. However, we are in uncertain times and it is not clear whether it will be possible to tap into Brexit mitigation funds in this case. The fact that British Steel recently borrowed more than £100m from the Government to pay an EU carbon bill and avoid further fines also suggests further intervention may be unlikely.“In the past we might have expected the Government to intervene to protect a major industrial employer and key supplier to the UK defence sector. However, we are in uncertain times and it is not clear whether it will be possible to tap into Brexit mitigation funds in this case. The fact that British Steel recently borrowed more than £100m from the Government to pay an EU carbon bill and avoid further fines also suggests further intervention may be unlikely.
“Having failed to secure a last-ditch £30 million rescue package, regrettably there is unlikely to be a way back from the brink on this occasion.“Having failed to secure a last-ditch £30 million rescue package, regrettably there is unlikely to be a way back from the brink on this occasion.
Rebecca Long Bailey MP, Labour’s Shadow Business Secretary, says the solution to the British Steel collapse is to nationalise it.
Long Bailey says:
“This is absolutely devastating news for the thousands of workers, their families and the communities in Scunthorpe and Teesside and those throughout the supply chain.
“The Tories’ legacy will once again be industrial decline whilst they endlessly squabble over the European Union.
“The Government must act quickly to save this strategically important industry and the livelihoods and communities of those who work in it, by bringing British Steel into public ownership.’’
Roy Rickhuss, general secretary of the Community trade union, is hopeful that jobs can be saved at British Steel, even though it’s now in the hands of the Official Receiver (an employee at the Insolvency Service).
Rickhuss says:
“This news will heap more worries on workers and everyone connected with British Steel, but it will also end the uncertainty under Greybull’s ownership and must be seized as an opportunity to look for an alternative future.
“It is vital now that cool heads prevail and all parties focus on saving the jobs.
“In these very difficult circumstances we know the workforce will continue to fight for the business as they have done for so many years.
“We would urge the management, contractors, suppliers and customers to support them in that fight for the future.”
Breaking: British Steel has collapsed, after failing to agree a £30m rescue funds from the UK government.
EY has been appointed as administrators for the company, which employs around 5,000 workers and runs a major blast furnace in Scunthorpe.
Business secretary, Greg Clark has just confirmed that an application by the directors of British Steel to enter an insolvency process has just been granted in the courts.
This means that the Insolvency Service will now conduct a compulsory liquidation. EY has been lined up to carry out the administration.
Clark says it would have been ‘unlawful’ to provide fresh funds to British Steel:
“The government has worked tirelessly with British Steel, its owner Greybull Capital, and lenders to explore all potential options to secure a solution for British Steel.
“The Government can only act within the law, which requires any financial support to a steel company to be on a commercial basis. I have been advised that it would be unlawful to provide a guarantee or loan on the terms of any proposals that the company or any other party has made.”
Here’s our latest news story on the crisis:
British Steel enters insolvency after rescue talks with government fail
The long slowdown in UK house price inflation ended last month.
The average price of a home rose by 1.4% in the 12 months to March, new ONS figures show. That’s up from 1% in February.
However, prices in London continued to fall -- dropping by 1.9% in the last 12 months.
They fell 2.7% year-on-year in February, so the slide may be bottoming out.
House price changes across the UK in March. Yorkshire & the Humber seeing the fastest growth at 3.6%y/y with London, the N.East & the S. East all seeing average price falls. pic.twitter.com/ZPVKdYfQR4
Suren Thiru, head of economics at the British Chambers of Commerce (BCC), is also concerned that real wages are shrinking as inflation rises:
“UK inflation moved above the Bank of England’s 2% target for the first time since December 2018, with rising energy prices and higher air fares, placing the largest upward pressure on price growth in April.
“Rising inflation alongside slowing wage growth is a concern as it squeezes real household incomes. If this trend continues it could well choke off the recent improvement in consumer spending, a key driver of UK growth.
This jump in inflation to 2.1% means that real wage growth in the UK has slowed.
Average earnings rose by 3.3% in the 12 months to March, which means real wages are only up by 1.2%
Phil Smeaton, chief investment officer at wealth manager Sanlam UK says:
“With progress on Brexit completely paralysed, rising inflation poses a challenge for Carney. As prices creep up above 2% target, the improvements in wages seen earlier in the year are being cancelled out.
Uncertainty persists around the UK’s future relationship with the EU and the US trade war with China shows little sign of abating.
The message from today’s inflation report is clear -- consider changing your energy provider now!
Peter Earl, head of energy at comparethemarket.com, says households on standard energy tariffs have suffered “brutal” increases since Ofgem lifted the price cap three months ago.
The new price cap level that came into force on 1st of April saw those customers face an average annual price rise of £117, a hefty 10% increase, which all of the Big Six energy companies were quick to implement. Rather than preventing energy companies from repeatedly upping the cost of energy, the price cap looks to have done the opposite. Many customers have already switched to a more competitive fixed price tariff but, for the millions that remain, we strongly recommend shopping around to ensure they are on the best deal possible as this will help to minimise their household bill inflation.”
Beer and tobacco prices fell last month, the ONS adds:
Prices for cigarettes overall fell by 0.6% between March and April 2019 compared with a rise of 1.4% between the same two months a year ago.
Prices for beer, particularly larger packs of canned lager, also had a small downward contribution, although this was partially offset by spirits, which rose in price between March and April 2019 by more than a year ago.
Consumers were hit by a 10% jump in electricity costs last month, today’s inflation report shows.
That’s MUCH more than the rise in wholesale prices -- as energy firms responded to Ofgem’s decision to lift the cap on bills.
Consumer prices for electricity rose by almost 11% between March and April 2019, while input producer prices for electricity rose by around 2% over the same period.
Wholesale electricity prices are only available until December 2018 but rose by around 3% between November and December 2018, and rose considerably faster than producer and consumer electricity prices between June 2017 and September 2018.
Consumer prices reflect more than just wholesale prices as they also include the cost of transmission, distribution and regulatory costs, as well as profits for energy suppliers and others in the supply chain.
This chart shows how air fares surged in April - unlike in 2018, when Easter came earlier:
The ONS explains:
Prices for air fares typically rise during the school holidays, which follow similar patterns each year for the summer and Christmas holidays. As such, we see similar price patterns with prices rising through the summer before falling back in the autumn and rising again in December.
For Easter, however, school holidays typically move as the timing of Easter moves from year to year, sometimes falling in March and sometimes in April.