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Scotland-Northern Ireland bridge: How likely is it to be built? | Scotland-Northern Ireland bridge: How likely is it to be built? |
(5 months later) | |
Reports have resurfaced that a bridge from Scotland to Northern Ireland is being considered by the UK government. | Reports have resurfaced that a bridge from Scotland to Northern Ireland is being considered by the UK government. |
The prime minister's official spokesman said there was a "proper piece of work" being carried out by a "range of government officials". | |
BBC Political Correspondent Nick Eardley said he understood the idea was being "taken seriously" and a it would become clearer later this year if the idea was likely to proceed. | |
The idea has been floated before with two potential routes suggested - from Portpatrick to Larne or near Campbeltown to the Antrim coast. | The idea has been floated before with two potential routes suggested - from Portpatrick to Larne or near Campbeltown to the Antrim coast. |
However, are cost and technical issues likely to rule it out before it begins? | However, are cost and technical issues likely to rule it out before it begins? |
How much? | How much? |
The price of any construction would, obviously, be dependent on the route chosen. | The price of any construction would, obviously, be dependent on the route chosen. |
Sources have said the most likely option is between Portpatrick and Larne. | |
More than a decade ago the think tank the Centre for Cross Border Studies suggested a 21-mile bridge from Dumfries and Galloway could provide international rail links and ease the strain on air services. | More than a decade ago the think tank the Centre for Cross Border Studies suggested a 21-mile bridge from Dumfries and Galloway could provide international rail links and ease the strain on air services. |
At that time it estimated the cost of the scheme would be about £3.5bn. | At that time it estimated the cost of the scheme would be about £3.5bn. |
However, by last year the suggested price tag had risen considerably. | However, by last year the suggested price tag had risen considerably. |
Some experts have suggested £15bn might be required for the project but others have said that £20bn would be a "conservative estimate". | |
A bridge too far? | A bridge too far? |
In terms of distance - more than 20 miles for the Portpatrick project - it would not be the longest bridge over water in the world. | In terms of distance - more than 20 miles for the Portpatrick project - it would not be the longest bridge over water in the world. |
That honour goes, according to Guinness World Records, to the Hong Kong-Zhuhai-Macau bridge which has 48.3km (about 30 miles) of its span over water. | That honour goes, according to Guinness World Records, to the Hong Kong-Zhuhai-Macau bridge which has 48.3km (about 30 miles) of its span over water. |
It credits the 36km (22.4 mile) Hangzhou Bay Bridge as the structure spanning the greatest expanse of open sea. | It credits the 36km (22.4 mile) Hangzhou Bay Bridge as the structure spanning the greatest expanse of open sea. |
They are all dwarfed by the longest bridge of all - the Danyang-Kunshan Grand Bridge - at 164 km (102 miles) which stretches the furthest but not over water. | They are all dwarfed by the longest bridge of all - the Danyang-Kunshan Grand Bridge - at 164 km (102 miles) which stretches the furthest but not over water. |
Could it be done? | Could it be done? |
According to a Channel 4 report last year, the prime minister wanted to know "the risks around the project" - including "WW2 munitions in the Irish Sea". | |
This is nothing new as concerns have long been expressed about the area known as Beaufort's Dyke - a deep submarine trench where it has been estimated more than one million tonnes of weapons have been jettisoned. | This is nothing new as concerns have long been expressed about the area known as Beaufort's Dyke - a deep submarine trench where it has been estimated more than one million tonnes of weapons have been jettisoned. |
Between logistics and costs, some have dismissed the scheme as unlikely to ever happen. | |
A senior Scottish government source has described the bridge proposal as "pie in the sky" and the "usual smokescreen bluster" from Boris Johnson. | |
However, one of the UK's leading architects Prof Alan Dunlop told Channel 4 News there would always be "naysayers". | However, one of the UK's leading architects Prof Alan Dunlop told Channel 4 News there would always be "naysayers". |
"Such a project could be potentially tremendous for the country and show us as a forward looking and thinking country," he said. | "Such a project could be potentially tremendous for the country and show us as a forward looking and thinking country," he said. |
He also previously told the BBC: "We do have incredibly talented architects and engineers in Scotland so I am sure that as a technical challenge it wouldn't be insurmountable." | |
It's understood one of the options being considered is a bridge which turns into a tunnel, before reverting to a bridge. | |
What do people in Portpatrick think? | |
Where there's a will? | Where there's a will? |
Plans for some kind of link - either a tunnel or a bridge - go back as far as the 1890s but, despite much consideration, nothing has ever been built. | Plans for some kind of link - either a tunnel or a bridge - go back as far as the 1890s but, despite much consideration, nothing has ever been built. |
However, some political will has emerged in recent years. | However, some political will has emerged in recent years. |
In Northern Ireland, a proposal was contained in the 2015 DUP manifesto. | In Northern Ireland, a proposal was contained in the 2015 DUP manifesto. |
One MP told the BBC a bridge could make travel "less expensive and probably more certain". | One MP told the BBC a bridge could make travel "less expensive and probably more certain". |
Dumfries and Galloway Council said it was "certainly not averse" to the proposal being examined but felt there were other "more immediate priorities" for investment. | Dumfries and Galloway Council said it was "certainly not averse" to the proposal being examined but felt there were other "more immediate priorities" for investment. |
In particular, it highlighted the trunk roads network from the Cairnryan ports to the motorway network. | In particular, it highlighted the trunk roads network from the Cairnryan ports to the motorway network. |
The Scottish government said last year that any such project would require close examination before it could even be considered. | |
'Practical obstacles' | 'Practical obstacles' |
"We are always keen to talk about how we can strengthen connections between Scotland, Northern Ireland and the Republic of Ireland," a spokesman said. | "We are always keen to talk about how we can strengthen connections between Scotland, Northern Ireland and the Republic of Ireland," a spokesman said. |
"There are an obvious number of practical obstacles and challenges to such a concept, and it would require a robust assessment of the costs or benefits of such a project in the first instance." | "There are an obvious number of practical obstacles and challenges to such a concept, and it would require a robust assessment of the costs or benefits of such a project in the first instance." |
The UK government said that it regularly commissioned work to examine the feasibility of projects such as this. | The UK government said that it regularly commissioned work to examine the feasibility of projects such as this. |
"During the leadership campaign candidates spoke about a number of issues which resulted in Number 10 commissions ahead of a new prime minister taking over," it said. | "During the leadership campaign candidates spoke about a number of issues which resulted in Number 10 commissions ahead of a new prime minister taking over," it said. |
"This PM has made no secret of his support for infrastructure projects that increase connectivity for people and particularly those that strengthen the Union." | "This PM has made no secret of his support for infrastructure projects that increase connectivity for people and particularly those that strengthen the Union." |
Late last year Ireland's premier Leo Varadkar said he would not dismiss the idea of building a bridge between Northern Ireland and Scotland, but insisted the UK must pay for it. |