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US inflation falls still further US inflation falls still further
(about 1 hour later)
US consumer prices dropped by a record amount in November as petrol prices and other energy costs continued to fall.US consumer prices dropped by a record amount in November as petrol prices and other energy costs continued to fall.
The Consumer Price Index (CPI) dropped by 1.7% in November, according to the US Labor Department, following a decline of 1% in October.The Consumer Price Index (CPI) dropped by 1.7% in November, according to the US Labor Department, following a decline of 1% in October.
October and November's falls were the two biggest since monthly data first started being recorded in 1947.October and November's falls were the two biggest since monthly data first started being recorded in 1947.
The annual rate of CPI inflation fell to 1.1% in November, down from 3.7% the previous month. And the annual rate of inflation was just 1.1% in November, down from 3.7% the previous month.
Energy prices fell 17% last month, double October's 8.6% dip.Energy prices fell 17% last month, double October's 8.6% dip.
Oil price fallsOil price falls
These latest big declines reflect the recession in the US and will raise the pressure on the Federal Reserve - the central bank - to act decisively to guard against a debilitating bout of deflation.These latest big declines reflect the recession in the US and will raise the pressure on the Federal Reserve - the central bank - to act decisively to guard against a debilitating bout of deflation.
Paul Ashworth, at Capital Economics, said: "The headline inflation rate is now guaranteed to fall deep into negative territory next year."Paul Ashworth, at Capital Economics, said: "The headline inflation rate is now guaranteed to fall deep into negative territory next year."
"If this was just a decline in the relative price of commodities then it would be a little easier to live with," he said."If this was just a decline in the relative price of commodities then it would be a little easier to live with," he said.
"However, the rapid moderation in core inflation suggests that there is a real risk of a sustained decline in the general price level. In short, the US economy could slip into a deflation within the next 12 months.""However, the rapid moderation in core inflation suggests that there is a real risk of a sustained decline in the general price level. In short, the US economy could slip into a deflation within the next 12 months."
Much of the headline inflation fall was taken up by the continuing drop in crude oil prices, reflected in the further fall in the energy index.Much of the headline inflation fall was taken up by the continuing drop in crude oil prices, reflected in the further fall in the energy index.
Energy prices are now 32.4% below their peak in July earlier this year.Energy prices are now 32.4% below their peak in July earlier this year.
The gasoline index fell 29.5% in November and petrol prices are now 47% below their July peak.The gasoline index fell 29.5% in November and petrol prices are now 47% below their July peak.
Food prices increased 0.2% in November, following a 0.3% rise in October.Food prices increased 0.2% in November, following a 0.3% rise in October.
Excluding food and energy, core prices were virtually unchanged in November, after declining 0.1% in October, and are up 2.0% since November 2007.Excluding food and energy, core prices were virtually unchanged in November, after declining 0.1% in October, and are up 2.0% since November 2007.
Later on Tuesday the Federal Reserve is widely expected to cut its key federal funds rate, already at a low of 1%, by another half percentage point in an effort to keep the recession from worsening.Later on Tuesday the Federal Reserve is widely expected to cut its key federal funds rate, already at a low of 1%, by another half percentage point in an effort to keep the recession from worsening.