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| Jeremy Corbyn urged by MPs to resist calls for election | Jeremy Corbyn urged by MPs to resist calls for election |
| (1 day later) | |
| Jeremy Corbyn is facing significant pressure from his own MPs to resist any government calls for an immediate general election, as Labour refused to confirm when they might back such a poll even if a lengthy Brexit extension is agreed. | Jeremy Corbyn is facing significant pressure from his own MPs to resist any government calls for an immediate general election, as Labour refused to confirm when they might back such a poll even if a lengthy Brexit extension is agreed. |
| While the official Labour position remains that Corbyn will support an election once the immediate threat of a no-deal Brexit no longer exists, the party leadership is refusing to be pinned down on what reassurances would be needed for this to happen. | While the official Labour position remains that Corbyn will support an election once the immediate threat of a no-deal Brexit no longer exists, the party leadership is refusing to be pinned down on what reassurances would be needed for this to happen. |
| The deliberate ambiguity is partly caused by extreme anxiety among Labour MPs about the prospect of abandoning the idea of a Brexit referendum for a pre-Christmas election, especially with the party a dozen or so percentage points behind the Conservatives in recent polls. | The deliberate ambiguity is partly caused by extreme anxiety among Labour MPs about the prospect of abandoning the idea of a Brexit referendum for a pre-Christmas election, especially with the party a dozen or so percentage points behind the Conservatives in recent polls. |
| Election rumours intensify after Johnson and Corbyn Brexit stalemate | Election rumours intensify after Johnson and Corbyn Brexit stalemate |
| One Labour backbencher told the Guardian they believed up to half the parliamentary party could rebel if Corbyn decided to whip his MPs to support a motion seeking an election under the Fixed-term Parliaments Act (FTPA). | One Labour backbencher told the Guardian they believed up to half the parliamentary party could rebel if Corbyn decided to whip his MPs to support a motion seeking an election under the Fixed-term Parliaments Act (FTPA). |
| Another MP described the opposition to an election within Labour as “very strong and widespread”. A party source added: “It’s fair to say there’s not a great appetite for an election in December.” | Another MP described the opposition to an election within Labour as “very strong and widespread”. A party source added: “It’s fair to say there’s not a great appetite for an election in December.” |
| Under the FTPA, which came into force in 2011, if a government wants to force a general election sooner than the standard five-year cycle it must pass a motion with a two-thirds majority in the House of Commons, or at least 430 votes. | Under the FTPA, which came into force in 2011, if a government wants to force a general election sooner than the standard five-year cycle it must pass a motion with a two-thirds majority in the House of Commons, or at least 430 votes. |
| Boris Johnson has twice called such a vote to seek an election, but failed to attract the necessary number of votes after Labour abstained. | Boris Johnson has twice called such a vote to seek an election, but failed to attract the necessary number of votes after Labour abstained. |
| The law requires there be at least 25 working days (five weeks) between calling an election and polling day. That only realistically leaves three Thursdays when the UK could have an election this year. | |
| The key dates are: | The key dates are: |
| Call an election by 31 October for a 5 December polling date | Call an election by 31 October for a 5 December polling date |
| 7 November for an election on 12 December | 7 November for an election on 12 December |
| 14 November for an election on 19 December | 14 November for an election on 19 December |
| 12 December has emerged as Boris Johnson's favoured date. | |
| Any later seems unlikely as it will be seen as an unwelcome intrusion into the festive season - and difficult to organise, as many of the venues needed for polling stations will be busy with Christmas and holiday events. | |
| Despite repeated assurances, Boris Johnson seems set to miss his 31 October deadline for Brexit. The 'Benn Act' specified 31 January 2020 as the UK's preferred length of extension and new Brexit date, but it is possible the EU might opt for a shorter period of time to focus minds. Any EU extension is likely to be a 'flextension' - with a set end date, but the opportunity for the UK to leave earlier if parliament can ratify a Withdrawal Agreement. | Despite repeated assurances, Boris Johnson seems set to miss his 31 October deadline for Brexit. The 'Benn Act' specified 31 January 2020 as the UK's preferred length of extension and new Brexit date, but it is possible the EU might opt for a shorter period of time to focus minds. Any EU extension is likely to be a 'flextension' - with a set end date, but the opportunity for the UK to leave earlier if parliament can ratify a Withdrawal Agreement. |
| An alternative scenario is for Boris Johnson to prefer to use an EU extension period to force his Withdrawal Agreement Bill through parliament before Christmas, exit the EU with his deal at the end of January, and then press for an election in February/March 2020 having 'got Brexit done'. | An alternative scenario is for Boris Johnson to prefer to use an EU extension period to force his Withdrawal Agreement Bill through parliament before Christmas, exit the EU with his deal at the end of January, and then press for an election in February/March 2020 having 'got Brexit done'. |
| Martin Belam | Martin Belam |
| One ardently pro-remain Labour MP said some colleagues believe a general election may be the party’s last, best hope of blocking Brexit, and he was “totally split” about whether to support it. Another warned: “I think only a very small fraction would vote for it.” | One ardently pro-remain Labour MP said some colleagues believe a general election may be the party’s last, best hope of blocking Brexit, and he was “totally split” about whether to support it. Another warned: “I think only a very small fraction would vote for it.” |
| At the shadow cabinet meeting on Tuesday, Corbyn loyalists including Dan Carden and Laura Pidcock spoke out in favour of supporting an early poll – but others would prefer to push for a referendum. | At the shadow cabinet meeting on Tuesday, Corbyn loyalists including Dan Carden and Laura Pidcock spoke out in favour of supporting an early poll – but others would prefer to push for a referendum. |
| Corbyn’s spokesman, giving a briefing to reporters after prime minister’s questions on Wednesday, repeated that the party’s policy remained backing an election once no-deal was prevented, but repeatedly refused to say whether this would happen if the EU agreed a Brexit delay until 31 January. | Corbyn’s spokesman, giving a briefing to reporters after prime minister’s questions on Wednesday, repeated that the party’s policy remained backing an election once no-deal was prevented, but repeatedly refused to say whether this would happen if the EU agreed a Brexit delay until 31 January. |
| “Exactly how the extension is made, and how it’s communicated and what the legal status is, will determine whether we consider [no deal] taken off the table, and the risk of a crash-out there or not,” he said. | “Exactly how the extension is made, and how it’s communicated and what the legal status is, will determine whether we consider [no deal] taken off the table, and the risk of a crash-out there or not,” he said. |
| “As soon as the threat of a no-deal crash-out is off the table, and that is clear and guaranteed, then of course we would support an election.” | “As soon as the threat of a no-deal crash-out is off the table, and that is clear and guaranteed, then of course we would support an election.” |
| The spokesman declined to say what further guarantees would be sought on preventing no deal, saying only: “We need to wait and see what it is that they’re going to come up with, which I think is going to be quite soon.” | The spokesman declined to say what further guarantees would be sought on preventing no deal, saying only: “We need to wait and see what it is that they’re going to come up with, which I think is going to be quite soon.” |
| Asked if the concern would be the fact that under law, if Labour supported an election motion under the Fixed-term Parliaments Act then it would be up to the government to set a poll date, the spokesman said this was “one of the worries”, but not the only one. | Asked if the concern would be the fact that under law, if Labour supported an election motion under the Fixed-term Parliaments Act then it would be up to the government to set a poll date, the spokesman said this was “one of the worries”, but not the only one. |
| If Corbyn did decide to support an election, it would seem unlikely that a backbench Labour rebellion could prevent this. | If Corbyn did decide to support an election, it would seem unlikely that a backbench Labour rebellion could prevent this. |
| If Conservatives in the Commons were joined by the SNP and Liberal Democrats, both of whom have liaised with Labour over whether to back an election, it would need little more than a third of Labour MPs to back the plan for it to reach 430 votes. | If Conservatives in the Commons were joined by the SNP and Liberal Democrats, both of whom have liaised with Labour over whether to back an election, it would need little more than a third of Labour MPs to back the plan for it to reach 430 votes. |
| Additionally, Labour whips would try to suppress any rebellion by impressing on MPs the need to show the party as united before an election. | Additionally, Labour whips would try to suppress any rebellion by impressing on MPs the need to show the party as united before an election. |
| The timing of any election hinges in part on whether Johnson pushes for an immediate poll or tries instead to again shepherd his Brexit-enabling withdrawal agreement bill through the Commons after MPs rejected the accelerated timetable on Tuesday. | The timing of any election hinges in part on whether Johnson pushes for an immediate poll or tries instead to again shepherd his Brexit-enabling withdrawal agreement bill through the Commons after MPs rejected the accelerated timetable on Tuesday. |
| Boris Johnson has three options to try and call a general election. Under the Fixed-term Parliaments Act 2011, an election may be called if it is agreed by two-thirds of the total number of MPs. Johnson presented motions for an election on 4 and 9 September and failed on both occasions when the majority of Labour MPs abstained. Johnson could try this again and potentially secure Labour backing, because the Benn act has removed the imminent possibility of a no-deal Brexit. | Boris Johnson has three options to try and call a general election. Under the Fixed-term Parliaments Act 2011, an election may be called if it is agreed by two-thirds of the total number of MPs. Johnson presented motions for an election on 4 and 9 September and failed on both occasions when the majority of Labour MPs abstained. Johnson could try this again and potentially secure Labour backing, because the Benn act has removed the imminent possibility of a no-deal Brexit. |
| This lowers the threshold of MPs needed to trigger a general election because it requires a simple majority to pass. This could work in Johnson’s favour. However, it is amendable, which can involve the moving of an election date to a time that works for the opposition. | This lowers the threshold of MPs needed to trigger a general election because it requires a simple majority to pass. This could work in Johnson’s favour. However, it is amendable, which can involve the moving of an election date to a time that works for the opposition. |
| The leader of the opposition, Jeremy Corbyn, can call a no-confidence motion in the prime minister. This needs a simple majority to pass. He has been urged to do this by Johnson several times as a way of triggering an election, but Corbyn has resisted. It begins a 14-day period in which either the prime minister or someone else can try to form a new government. While Johnson could potentially lose this, and therefore his place as prime minister, to another Conservative, Corbyn could also struggle to get enough MPs to rally around him to form a government. The Scottish National party has said it would back him, but the Liberal Democrats have been extremely vocal in saying they would not support him. An election is triggered if, at the end of the two-week period, no alternative government has been formed. | The leader of the opposition, Jeremy Corbyn, can call a no-confidence motion in the prime minister. This needs a simple majority to pass. He has been urged to do this by Johnson several times as a way of triggering an election, but Corbyn has resisted. It begins a 14-day period in which either the prime minister or someone else can try to form a new government. While Johnson could potentially lose this, and therefore his place as prime minister, to another Conservative, Corbyn could also struggle to get enough MPs to rally around him to form a government. The Scottish National party has said it would back him, but the Liberal Democrats have been extremely vocal in saying they would not support him. An election is triggered if, at the end of the two-week period, no alternative government has been formed. |
| Kate Proctor Political correspondent | Kate Proctor Political correspondent |
| At a meeting between Corbyn and Johnson on Wednesday, called to discuss a possible revised parliamentary timetable, Dominic Cummings, the PM’s chief of staff, appeared keenest on pushing Brexit through parliament in time to hit the 31 October deadline – even if it meant holding all-night sittings. | At a meeting between Corbyn and Johnson on Wednesday, called to discuss a possible revised parliamentary timetable, Dominic Cummings, the PM’s chief of staff, appeared keenest on pushing Brexit through parliament in time to hit the 31 October deadline – even if it meant holding all-night sittings. |
| The meeting was good-natured but inconclusive, according to one person present, who claimed the No 10 side had kicked off by asking how Labour might respond if a Brexit extension was vetoed by France. | The meeting was good-natured but inconclusive, according to one person present, who claimed the No 10 side had kicked off by asking how Labour might respond if a Brexit extension was vetoed by France. |
| While Theresa May and her advisers faced Corbyn across the table in her Westminster office, Johnson, who has inherited the room, chose to conduct the conversation on sofas. | While Theresa May and her advisers faced Corbyn across the table in her Westminster office, Johnson, who has inherited the room, chose to conduct the conversation on sofas. |
| While the talks were described as “cordial”, it quickly became clear that there was no common ground at all over Labour’s idea of a longer timetable for the Brexit bill. | While the talks were described as “cordial”, it quickly became clear that there was no common ground at all over Labour’s idea of a longer timetable for the Brexit bill. |
| Asked if the process would resume, a Downing Street source said: “I do not expect any further talks.” | Asked if the process would resume, a Downing Street source said: “I do not expect any further talks.” |
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