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Spanish election: deadlock remains with no clear majority in sight | |
(about 8 hours later) | |
Neither left nor right bloc likely to win clear majority, amid strong gains for far-right Vox party | |
Spain’s ruling socialist party is once again on course to finish first in the country’s fourth general election in as many years, with the far-right Vox party set to vault into third place in the repeat poll. | |
The Spanish Socialist Workers’ party (PSOE), led by the acting prime minister, Pedro Sánchez, is again expected to fall well short of a majority and perhaps lose some of its 123 seats. | |
With more than half the votes counted at 9.40pm, the PSOE was on 124 seats and the conservative People’s party (PP) on 85. | |
Fourth place was predicted to go to the anti-austerity Unidas Podemos with 35 seats, while the centre-right Citizens party seemed headed for a disastrous dip with only 10 seats. | |
A large tracking poll conducted for the public broadcaster RTVE between 25 October and 10 November suggested the PSOE would win 114-119 seats, the PP 85-90 seats, Vox 56-59 seats, Unidas Podemos 30-34 and Citizens 14-15 seats. | |
That would give the three rightwing parties between 155 and 164 seats – making them the largest bloc in congress – and leave the PSOE, Unidas Podemos and the breakaway Más País (More Country) party 147 to 156 seats. | |
That poll – and others released after voting ended at 8pm local time – suggest that Spain is no closer to ending the impasse and is once again bound for months of negotiations and horse-trading to try to assemble a government at a time of unprecedented political fragmentation. | |
The PSOE was unable to form a government with the backing of Unidas Podemos last time, and Citizens – which firmly ruled out helping Sánchez back into power in April – now looks willing but far too weak to play the role of kingmaker. | |
The repeat election comes amid renewed tensions between the central government and the separatist regional government of Catalonia. | The repeat election comes amid renewed tensions between the central government and the separatist regional government of Catalonia. |
In the middle of October, Spain’s supreme court jailed nine Catalan separatist leaders for sedition over their roles in the failed push for independence two years ago. | In the middle of October, Spain’s supreme court jailed nine Catalan separatist leaders for sedition over their roles in the failed push for independence two years ago. |
The verdict provoked violent unrest in Catalonia and prompted rightwing Spanish parties to call for a tough response from Sánchez, whom they routinely accuse of being too soft on the separatists. | The verdict provoked violent unrest in Catalonia and prompted rightwing Spanish parties to call for a tough response from Sánchez, whom they routinely accuse of being too soft on the separatists. |
The re-eruption of the Catalan crisis has fuelled the rise of Vox, which favours a radical recentralisation of Spain. Polls had repeatedly suggested that the party, which entered the national parliament for the first time in April – winning 24 seats – could finish third in Sunday’s election. | |
Vox’s leader, Santiago Abascal, wants to ban separatist parties and has called for “drastic solutions” to what he calls the “national emergency” in Catalonia. | |
As the votes are counted, Sánchez will be hoping that leftwing voters will once again rally in the face of a resurgent far right. | |
“On Sunday, we democrats have a foolproof weapon for curbing the far right, for breaking the deadlock, for building on rights and freedom, for securing the future and for ensuring that Spain moves forward without leaving anyone behind,” he wrote on Twitter. “Our vote.” | “On Sunday, we democrats have a foolproof weapon for curbing the far right, for breaking the deadlock, for building on rights and freedom, for securing the future and for ensuring that Spain moves forward without leaving anyone behind,” he wrote on Twitter. “Our vote.” |
Frustration and apathy are expected to hit turnout as many Spaniards decide to shun the ballot box. Early estimates suggested a turnout of 68.05%. | |
In April, turnout reached 75.5% – well up from the 69.8% of voters who went to the polls in June 2016. | |
The election comes amid growing concern over the economy. Spain’s unemployment figures rose by almost 100,000 last month, and the European commission has revised the country’s growth forecast down from 2.3% to 1.9% for this year, and from 1.9% to 1.5% for 2020. | The election comes amid growing concern over the economy. Spain’s unemployment figures rose by almost 100,000 last month, and the European commission has revised the country’s growth forecast down from 2.3% to 1.9% for this year, and from 1.9% to 1.5% for 2020. |
Pablo Iglesias, who leads Podemos, again offered his support to help the PSOE govern, saying their recent disagreements were now in the past. | Pablo Iglesias, who leads Podemos, again offered his support to help the PSOE govern, saying their recent disagreements were now in the past. |
“We’re reaching out our hand to the socialist party,” he said. “We’re leaving behind the reproaches so we can combine their experience and our courage.” | “We’re reaching out our hand to the socialist party,” he said. “We’re leaving behind the reproaches so we can combine their experience and our courage.” |
The PP leader, Pablo Casado, called for a “massive turnout … to try to guarantee political stability”, while Citizens leader, Albert Rivera, urged everyone to vote. | |
Abascal said he hoped the election results would “serve to strengthen the unity of Spain, the freedom of Spaniards and national harmony”. | |
Iñigo Errejón, the leader of Más País, said he hoped Sunday’s vote would head off the need for yet another election, but added: “We can’t rule it out, though.” |