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| Spanish election: Sánchez set to fall short of majority – live updates | Spanish election: Sánchez set to fall short of majority – live updates |
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| All the news, reaction and comment from Spain’s fourth general election in as many years | All the news, reaction and comment from Spain’s fourth general election in as many years |
| Teneo analyst Antonio Barroso pointing out the obvious, assuming the pre-election polls now being released prove anything like correct. | |
| With neither the right bloc nor the left approaching a majority in parliament, Spain is headed for more deadlock and more uncertainty ... | |
| Javier Casquiero, the political correspondent of the leading Spanish daily, El País, does the sums from public broadcaster RTVE’s poll: | |
| A second poll, carried out on Saturday and Sunday for the online news site EL ESPAÑOL, is predicting roughly similar results, with the PSOE set to remain the largest party in parliament with between 112 and 118 deputies – as many as 11 down on its score in April’s inconclusive elections. | |
| But the centre-left party’s chances of forming a government “would depend on an arithmetic even more devilish than that of April 28, since the leftwing parties are even further from an absolute majority,” the website said. “Spain remains lost in a maze, with this election night not producing any solution to the institutional gridlock.” | |
| The RTVE poll suggests the left (the PSOE party and anti-austerity Podemos) are on set to lose seats compared to April’s vote, with the conservative People’s party and far-right Vox making big gains. | The RTVE poll suggests the left (the PSOE party and anti-austerity Podemos) are on set to lose seats compared to April’s vote, with the conservative People’s party and far-right Vox making big gains. |
| The big loser of the night looks set to be the liberal Ciudadanos (Citizens) party, which seems to be paying the electoral price for refusing to even contemplate entering a coalition with the PSOE seven months ago. | The big loser of the night looks set to be the liberal Ciudadanos (Citizens) party, which seems to be paying the electoral price for refusing to even contemplate entering a coalition with the PSOE seven months ago. |
| Polls are now closed. | Polls are now closed. |
| This isn’t an exit poll, but a survey conducted in the days immediately before the election which could not be published during the run-up to the vote. | This isn’t an exit poll, but a survey conducted in the days immediately before the election which could not be published during the run-up to the vote. |
| If it’s borne out it looks like being an uncomfortable night for the centre-left prime minister Pedro Sanchez – it gives the rightwing parties the most votes, although well short of a majority. | If it’s borne out it looks like being an uncomfortable night for the centre-left prime minister Pedro Sanchez – it gives the rightwing parties the most votes, although well short of a majority. |
| The poll, for Spanish state broadcaster RTVE, was of 13,000 people, conducted between 25 October and 10 November. | The poll, for Spanish state broadcaster RTVE, was of 13,000 people, conducted between 25 October and 10 November. |
| Perhaps as a consequence of voter apathy, turnout at 6pm was 56.8%, nearly four points down on the same figure in the April 28 poll - but this is pretty much in line with recent November elections, so may not be significant. | Perhaps as a consequence of voter apathy, turnout at 6pm was 56.8%, nearly four points down on the same figure in the April 28 poll - but this is pretty much in line with recent November elections, so may not be significant. |
| The Guardian’s Madrid correspondent, Sam Jones, has an evocative scene-setter for today’s elections from Guadalajara, about 60km north-east of Madrid, where he found voters feeling “fed up and defrauded” after four elections in as many years: | The Guardian’s Madrid correspondent, Sam Jones, has an evocative scene-setter for today’s elections from Guadalajara, about 60km north-east of Madrid, where he found voters feeling “fed up and defrauded” after four elections in as many years: |
| You can read Sam’s full report here. | You can read Sam’s full report here. |
| One thing to watch out for this evening will be the performance of the anti-immigrant, far-right Vox party. | One thing to watch out for this evening will be the performance of the anti-immigrant, far-right Vox party. |
| After entering the national parliament for the first time in April with 24 seats, Vox, which favours a radical recentralisation of Spain, has seen its popularity soar, largely on the re-eruption of the Catalan crisis, and could well double its previous score. | After entering the national parliament for the first time in April with 24 seats, Vox, which favours a radical recentralisation of Spain, has seen its popularity soar, largely on the re-eruption of the Catalan crisis, and could well double its previous score. |
| The parliamentary spokeswoman for the centre-left PSOE party, Adriana Lastra, made clear that this was an election in which everyone’s vote would count: “We have to stop them,” she tweeted, none too subtly. “Go and vote.” | The parliamentary spokeswoman for the centre-left PSOE party, Adriana Lastra, made clear that this was an election in which everyone’s vote would count: “We have to stop them,” she tweeted, none too subtly. “Go and vote.” |
| Good evening and welcome to the Guardian’s live coverage of the Spanish general election. | Good evening and welcome to the Guardian’s live coverage of the Spanish general election. |
| Polls close soon in Spain’s fourth general elections in less than four years, with the centre-left PSOE of prime minister Pedro Sánchez on course to remain the largest party. | Polls close soon in Spain’s fourth general elections in less than four years, with the centre-left PSOE of prime minister Pedro Sánchez on course to remain the largest party. |
| But after an inconclusive result in April and unsuccessful coalition talks with the anti-austerity Podemos, which now seems to be shedding support, Sánchez again looks unlikely to win enough seats to be able to form a left-leaning government. | But after an inconclusive result in April and unsuccessful coalition talks with the anti-austerity Podemos, which now seems to be shedding support, Sánchez again looks unlikely to win enough seats to be able to form a left-leaning government. |
| The right, too, seems set to fall short of a majority, with pre-election polling suggesting the conservative People’s party (PP) will do well and the far-right Vox could surge to become the country’s third-largest party, but support for the liberal Cuidadanos is in freefall. | The right, too, seems set to fall short of a majority, with pre-election polling suggesting the conservative People’s party (PP) will do well and the far-right Vox could surge to become the country’s third-largest party, but support for the liberal Cuidadanos is in freefall. |
| Is Europe’s fifth-largest economy heading for more months of deadlock and uncertainty? Stay with us for all the news, reaction and comment as latest pre-election polls come in and we await final results due around 10pm CET. | Is Europe’s fifth-largest economy heading for more months of deadlock and uncertainty? Stay with us for all the news, reaction and comment as latest pre-election polls come in and we await final results due around 10pm CET. |