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Coronavirus: UK schools could shut for two months in event of pandemic - live updates Coronavirus: Italy death toll rises to 17 - live updates
(32 minutes later)
Britain’s chief medical officer says mass gatherings could be cancelled. Meanwhile, experts say virus could trigger 2008-level economic damage Follow latest news as 50 Britons allowed to leave Tenerife hotel, UK chief medical officer says pandemic could close school for two months and experts say virus could cause 2008-level economic damage
NHS doctors have told the Guardian of their experiences of the government’s handling of coronavirus, warning that they have concerns about how patients who may have been infected are being managed.
James (not his real name), a GP in Derbyshire, where one of the latest British coronavirus cases is thought to have been located, described the Department of Health’s response to the virus as “ridiculous” and “negligent”.
He said none of his patients who had travelled back from at-risk countries had been given any information at airports or sea ports on what to do if they developed symptoms of coronavirus.
James said his practice had seen patients arriving back from affected areas, some of whom had been on cruises around many regions experiencing coronavirus outbreaks, who had not been given any information on what to do if they developed symptoms.
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Around 50 Britons quarantined at a coronavirus-hit Tenerife hotel have been told they can leave, the PA news agency understands.Some 168 British nationals are among hundreds of guests being kept at the four-star H10 Costa Adeje Palace in the south west of the Spanish island after at least four guests, including an Italian doctor, tested positive for coronavirus.Those who can leave are understood to have arrived on Monday, after the guests who were diagnosed had already left.
Overall, 130 guests from 11 countries have been told they can leave by Spanish authorities.
‘Please visit Chinatown’: coronavirus fears empty San Francisco district
Most days you can’t walk through San Francisco’s historic Chinatown without bumping into a tourist’s extended arm, readying for a camera-phone photo.
Lunchtime in particular is usually a bustling affair. But on a recent weekday at the height of the coronavirus pandemic that has dominated Asian countries across the Pacific Ocean, there was a noticeable absence of foot traffic.
At the Dragon Gate on Grant Avenue, the entrance to Chinatown that is usually frequented for selfies, no one posed and no one snapped. The picturesque and Instagram-worthy red lanterns that hung between buildings went unphotographed, as did the bright mural of Bruce Lee and the ornate architecture. The erhu that an elderly gentleman played for no one outside Old Saint Mary’s Cathedral practically echoed down the street.
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England only has 15 available beds for adults to treat the most severe respiratory failure and will struggle to cope if there are more than 28 patients who need them if the number of coronavirus cases rises, according to the government and NHS documents.
Ministers have revealed in parliamentary answers that there are 15 available beds for adult extracorporeal membrane oxygenation (ECMO) treatment at five centres across England. The government said this could be increased in an emergency. There were 30 such beds in total available during the 2018-19 winter flu season.
But an NHS England document prepared in November 2017 reveals the system will struggle to cope if more than 28 patients need the treatment, describing that situation as black/critical.
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The Foreign and Commonwealth Office said:
US officials are ramping up efforts to guard Americans against a local spread of the new coronavirus, dispatching test kits nationwide, and promising funding legislation within the next two weeks.At least 40 public health labs should now be able to test specimens for coronavirus and that could more than double by Friday, health and human services secretary Alex Azar told a House of Representatives committee.He said a newly manufactured test from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) can be sent to 93 public health labs as soon as Monday, and a privately manufactured test based on the new CDC test could be sent to those same labs as early as Friday.
Three more people have died in Italy from coronavirus, bringing the death toll from the worst outbreak of the illness in Europe to 17, the Civil Protection Agency said.The number of confirmed cases has risen to 650, officials said, from 528 announced at a news conference some seven hours earlier. The vast majority are in the northern regions of Lombardy and Veneto.Three more people have died in Italy from coronavirus, bringing the death toll from the worst outbreak of the illness in Europe to 17, the Civil Protection Agency said.The number of confirmed cases has risen to 650, officials said, from 528 announced at a news conference some seven hours earlier. The vast majority are in the northern regions of Lombardy and Veneto.
The virus is beginning to have an effect on sporting events and organisations. Italian football authorities have insisted matches be played behind closed doors this weekend and the Ireland Italy clash in the Six Nations rugby has been postponed.The virus is beginning to have an effect on sporting events and organisations. Italian football authorities have insisted matches be played behind closed doors this weekend and the Ireland Italy clash in the Six Nations rugby has been postponed.
Bigger concerns, however, lie over the fate of this summer’s prestige tournaments, particularly the men’s European Football Championship in June and the Tokyo Olympics the month after.Bigger concerns, however, lie over the fate of this summer’s prestige tournaments, particularly the men’s European Football Championship in June and the Tokyo Olympics the month after.
The International Olympic Committee (IOC) yesterday declared “business as usual” in their plans. However Christopher Dye, an epidemiologist at Oxford University who worked with the IOC during the Zika virus outbreak ahead of the 2016 Rio Games, said that governing bodies will currently be contemplating their response to all possible scenarios, and who would be responsible should things go wrong. The International Olympic Committee (IOC) on Wednesday declared “business as usual” in their plans. However Christopher Dye, an epidemiologist at Oxford University who worked with the IOC during the Zika virus outbreak before the 2016 Rio Games, said that governing bodies will currently be contemplating their response to all possible scenarios, and who would be responsible should things go wrong.
“What the Japanese authorities and IOC are saying is that they fully intend to go ahead and that would be the right judgment at this stage”, Dye told the Guardian. “The end of July is a long way away. We are not even two months into the [outbreak] and a lot of things have already happened. We have seen it spread across China and decline almost everywhere in China and in some parts at a dramatic rate.“What the Japanese authorities and IOC are saying is that they fully intend to go ahead and that would be the right judgment at this stage”, Dye told the Guardian. “The end of July is a long way away. We are not even two months into the [outbreak] and a lot of things have already happened. We have seen it spread across China and decline almost everywhere in China and in some parts at a dramatic rate.
“Nobody knows what is going to happen by the summer but the sensible thing is to consider different scenarios. What the organisers will be asking is: what are the risks, the costs, the benefits and who will be responsible if something horrible happened?”“Nobody knows what is going to happen by the summer but the sensible thing is to consider different scenarios. What the organisers will be asking is: what are the risks, the costs, the benefits and who will be responsible if something horrible happened?”
The European Championships are set to be held in 12 cities across the continent, which poses a different risk for the spread of the disease and, according to Dye. “The idea of controlling spread close to venues would essentially be an impossibility.The European Championships are set to be held in 12 cities across the continent, which poses a different risk for the spread of the disease and, according to Dye. “The idea of controlling spread close to venues would essentially be an impossibility.
“The issue of responsibility will be very important as well. What’s happening in Italy at the moment will be one factor that will be taken into account. But Italy in February when it comes to April and May will look like relatively distant past.”“The issue of responsibility will be very important as well. What’s happening in Italy at the moment will be one factor that will be taken into account. But Italy in February when it comes to April and May will look like relatively distant past.”
Day said he thought the likelihood of the coronavirus mutating into a stronger strain was unlikely this year but that the occurrence of victims testing positive after having apparently already recovered from the virus was concerning. “We don’t know why this has happened, it could be that the testing was not rigorous enough”, he said. “But if it is the case that immunity is not long lasting then developing a vaccine for coronavirus will be more difficult”. Day said he thought the likelihood of the coronavirus mutating into a stronger strain was unlikely this year but that the occurrence of victims testing positive after having apparently already recovered from the virus was concerning. “We don’t know why this has happened. It could be that the testing was not rigorous enough”, he said. “But if it is the case that immunity is not long lasting then developing a vaccine for coronavirus will be more difficult”.
The director of the Wellcome Trust has called for the world bank to spend $10bn on the crisis.The director of the Wellcome Trust has called for the world bank to spend $10bn on the crisis.
Jeremy Farrar said an urgent commitment of $10 billion (£7.7bn), “with more to follow as needed,” was “essential” from the World Bank to “underpin the public health measures in low- and middle-income countries, coordinated by the WHO alongside critical investment in diagnostics, therapeutics and vaccines.” Jeremy Farrar said an urgent commitment of $10bn (£7.7bn), “with more to follow as needed,” was “essential” from the World Bank to “underpin the public health measures in low- and middle-income countries, coordinated by the WHO alongside critical investment in diagnostics, therapeutics and vaccines.”
He said: “Anything less leaves us at risk of much greater costs later and long-term catastrophe. The sums are considerable. The decision to release funds should not be taken lightly, but the stakes could not be higher.”He said: “Anything less leaves us at risk of much greater costs later and long-term catastrophe. The sums are considerable. The decision to release funds should not be taken lightly, but the stakes could not be higher.”
Farrar said what was missing in the global response was tangible, high-level funding and support from global financial institutions including the World Bank, Regional Development Banks and the International Monetary Fund.Farrar said what was missing in the global response was tangible, high-level funding and support from global financial institutions including the World Bank, Regional Development Banks and the International Monetary Fund.
“The possible impact of this coronavirus is far beyond a health emergency – it’s a global crisis with potential to reach the scale of the global financial crisis of 2008,” he said.“The possible impact of this coronavirus is far beyond a health emergency – it’s a global crisis with potential to reach the scale of the global financial crisis of 2008,” he said.
The coronavirus outbreak will cost world tourism at least $22bn (£17b) owing to a drop in spending by Chinese tourists, said the head of the World Travel and Tourism Council.
The COVID-19 epidemic has killed more than 2,760 people, mostly in China – where it first emerged in December – and infected more than 81,000 in over 45 countries.
“It is too soon to know but the WTTC has made a preliminary calculation in collaboration with (research firm) Oxford Economics which estimates that the crisis will cost the sector at least $22 billion,” Gloria Guevara told El Mundo daily.
“This calculation is based on the experience of previous crises, such as SARS or H1N1, and is based on losses deriving from Chinese tourists who have not been travelling in recent weeks,” she said.
“The Chinese are the tourists who spend most when they travel.”
The loss figure is the most optimistic scenario envisaged by the study which was published on February 11 by Oxford Economics, taking the hypothesis of a 7.0% drop in overseas trips by Chinese nationals.
But the losses could more than double, reaching as much as $49 billion if the crisis lasts as long as the SARS outbreak, which erupted in November 2002 and was brought under control in July 2003.
Schools have been issued with advice on coronavirus by Health Protection Scotland.Guidance sent out on Thursday was given as two more people were diagnosed with the infection in England – taking the total to 15.The outbreak of this strain of coronavirus started in the Chinese city of Wuhan earlier this month and has killed 2,747 people in the country.The guidance was sent to directors of education in local authorities to prep staff on preventing the spread of infections, courses of action if staff or pupils become unwell and resources on hygiene techniques.Schools will also be advised on how to deal with people returning from affected areas, similar to what has already been released to the public. Colleges and universities also received the guidance, along with independent schools.The education secretary, John Swinney, said:
The leader of Derbyshire county council, Barry Lewis, has written a blog update on the situation in Buxton:
Robert Largan, MP for the High Peak — which includes Buxton – described claims that the town was on lockdown as “really unhelpful”. He added: “A primary school and a doctors temporarily closing does not constitute a ‘lockdown’. More responsible journalism please.”The Buxton Opera House insisted it was going ahead with itsperformance of Fascinating Aida tonight, and the Buxton Taphouse pub and Hydro cafe said it was business as usual.
Samantha Flower, a borough councillor for the Burbage area of Buxton, where a school has been closed due to the outbreak, said there was no sense of lockdown in the town but that there was confusion about the advice for anyone with symptoms.
Flower said: “We’re not locking down. Until they tell us to cut off the town we’re not doing that. We have got to take proper advice from the medical profession and they’re being very calm about it. This is a very rural community and people see themselves as quite tough, rugged individuals – they’re not the sort of people to panic over a sniffle.”
She added: “It’s a small community – we all know each other, we all use the same shops – but nobody knows if they have been in direct contact [with the confirmed Coronavirus patient].”
Flower said that people in Buxton that have the symptoms aren’t able to get through to speak to someone on 111 and end up being told just to go to the website.“The problem is people aren’t able to directly speak to anyone. If you call the GP they say to ring 111 and no-one can say for certain if they were in direct contact with the parent and the child that had it. There’s a bit of confusion. People are thinking if they have all these symptoms do I just stay at home and lockdown and then call for help? They’re not sure what to do.”Flower said she had been told that Buxton Medical Practice would reopen on Friday and had been deep-cleaned as news of the confirmed case emerged. “I don’t want people to be overly concerned,” she said. “A little bit more information would be helpful because we’d like to know what happens when you can’t say for certain if you’ve been in direct contact with someone [carrying the virus]. It’s going to be happening around the UK now. Everyone will have to be careful.”
Thanks to everyone who has been emailing and messaging me. I am running the Guardian’s live blog and so far your insight has been really useful. If you have any news tips, images or updates from your area then please do share them with me.
Email: sarah.marsh@theguardian.comTwitter: @sloumarshInstagram: sarah_marsh_journalist
Merlin Entertainments, which owns Alton Towers, Thorpe Park, Legoland and other popular attractions, said it has “restricted” its employees’ travel to countries with a high risk of coronavirus and has introduced “enhanced cleaning regimes” on its sites.Legoland is closed for winter and will reopen in mid-March, with Alton Towers and Thorpe Park due to open closer to the end of March.A Merlin spokesman said: “The health and safety of our guests and our staff is always our top priority and we will take all necessary precautions to ensure their continued welfare.“We have restricted employee travel to higher-risk countries, implemented enhanced cleaning regimes at our attractions, and informed our teams of coronavirus symptoms as well as the importance of good hygiene practices.“Like many businesses, we continue to monitor the situation closely and are in regular contact with local authorities so we may respond quickly to any developments.”Merlin’s brands also include the London Eye, Madame Tussauds, Shrek’s Adventure! London and the Blackpool Tower
In the US, the health and human services secretary, Alex Azar, on Thursday said that at least 40 public health labs could currently test specimens for coronavirus and the figure may more than double by Friday.Azar, speaking before the House Ways and Means Committee, said the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention had tested 3,625 specimens for the virus as of this morning.
He said at least 40 labs currently had test kits previously manufactured by the CDC that were modified to test for coronavirus.He added that a newly manufactured CDC test could be sent to 93 public health labs as soon as Monday, and a privately manufactured test based on the new CDC test could be sent to those same labs as early as tomorrow, pending FDA clearance.
Downing Street defended the response to the situation at the H10 Costa Adeje Palace hotel in Tenerife.The prime minister’s official spokesman said:
Pressed on whether there would be an evacuation flight for Britons, the spokesman said: “We base all our decisions on medical and scientific advice and everything is kept under review.”
Regarding the potential cancelling of mass events in the event of an intensified virus spread, the health secretary, Matt Hancock, told the Nuffield Trust Summit: “We do want to minimise social and economic disruption subject to keeping people safe.He added: “Of course that is always going to be a balance. We’re going to be led by the scientific advice into what works.”