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| Six states go to polls as Sanders hopes to close gap with Biden – live | Six states go to polls as Sanders hopes to close gap with Biden – live |
| (32 minutes later) | |
| Michigan and Washington among states voting as markets await details of Trump’s coronavirus economic plan | Michigan and Washington among states voting as markets await details of Trump’s coronavirus economic plan |
| The mechanics of voting in November always get a lot of attention - long lines can make it seem like more of a chore than a democratic opportunity. | |
| A new campaign is launching, USA Today reports, to make Vote Early Day on 24 October an event that can increase voter participation, especially among young people. | |
| Vote Early Day was started by MTV, and has more than 60 partners on board to help promote it. | |
| Chris McCarthy, president of ViacomCBS’ Entertainment & Youth Brands, told USA Today that young voters are often ignored by politicians and “It was really important for us to begin to build something that ritualizes this around their existing habits and takes advantage of social media so that they feel they can have a moment celebrated with their friends.” | |
| Figures suggest that in the 2016 election nearly 40% of people either voted early, absentee voted or voted by mail. | |
| So writes Caitlin Conant for CBS News, in an overview of what is at stake today in the six primary contests between Joe Biden and Bernie Sanders. Technically Tulsi Gabbard is also still running, but she is unlikely to secure enough votes anywhere to claim delegates. | So writes Caitlin Conant for CBS News, in an overview of what is at stake today in the six primary contests between Joe Biden and Bernie Sanders. Technically Tulsi Gabbard is also still running, but she is unlikely to secure enough votes anywhere to claim delegates. |
| It is Michigan that offers the most delegates today - 125 - and it is the state that many people feel Sanders has to win in order to continue to have a serious path to winning the nomination. | It is Michigan that offers the most delegates today - 125 - and it is the state that many people feel Sanders has to win in order to continue to have a serious path to winning the nomination. |
| It could be a tough ask. Conant reports that “A new poll from Monmouth University released on Monday showed Biden with a commanding lead over Sanders. Fifty-one percent of likely Democratic primary voters said they planned to support Biden compared to 36% for Sanders.” | It could be a tough ask. Conant reports that “A new poll from Monmouth University released on Monday showed Biden with a commanding lead over Sanders. Fifty-one percent of likely Democratic primary voters said they planned to support Biden compared to 36% for Sanders.” |
| Read it here - CBS News: What to know about Tuesday’s primaries in 6 states | Read it here - CBS News: What to know about Tuesday’s primaries in 6 states |
| And Donald Trump is up and tweeting, and its a familiar refrain. He’s just retweeted Charlie Kirk comparing the current president’s response to the coronavirus outbreak with how president Barack Obama responded to swine flu in 2009. | And Donald Trump is up and tweeting, and its a familiar refrain. He’s just retweeted Charlie Kirk comparing the current president’s response to the coronavirus outbreak with how president Barack Obama responded to swine flu in 2009. |
| This is a claim that has already been rated as false by Politifact. | This is a claim that has already been rated as false by Politifact. |
| Their verdict: “In October 2009, after more than 1,000 people in the United States had died of swine flu, also known as H1N1, Obama declared a national emergency. But six months earlier, his administration declared H1N1 a public health emergency. At that point, no deaths in the United States had occurred.” | Their verdict: “In October 2009, after more than 1,000 people in the United States had died of swine flu, also known as H1N1, Obama declared a national emergency. But six months earlier, his administration declared H1N1 a public health emergency. At that point, no deaths in the United States had occurred.” |
| With the Democratic nomination down to a two-horse race between Joe Biden and Bernie Sanders, it has become easier for pollsters to try and tease out what that might mean for November. Newsweek have had a look at what the latest polling figures say about the potential match-ups. | With the Democratic nomination down to a two-horse race between Joe Biden and Bernie Sanders, it has become easier for pollsters to try and tease out what that might mean for November. Newsweek have had a look at what the latest polling figures say about the potential match-ups. |
| This paragraph gets to the nub of the tactical battle currently going on for the nomination: | This paragraph gets to the nub of the tactical battle currently going on for the nomination: |
| What the polling numbers show overall though, is that although Biden might have a slight edge over Sanders in the head-to-head against Trump, November currently looks like it is going to be a close call. | What the polling numbers show overall though, is that although Biden might have a slight edge over Sanders in the head-to-head against Trump, November currently looks like it is going to be a close call. |
| Read it here - Newsweek: What the polls say about a Donald Trump vs Bernie Sanders election | Read it here - Newsweek: What the polls say about a Donald Trump vs Bernie Sanders election |
| “Right now we’re in the spaghetti-on-the-wall phase of this conversation” is a colourful way to put, but that’s what David French, senior vice president of government relations at the National Retail Federation has told Bloomberg about the kind of help businesses are looking for from the federal government. | “Right now we’re in the spaghetti-on-the-wall phase of this conversation” is a colourful way to put, but that’s what David French, senior vice president of government relations at the National Retail Federation has told Bloomberg about the kind of help businesses are looking for from the federal government. |
| There’s a good breakdown here of some of the measures that industry sectors are looking at, whether it is tax breaks, credit leniency for small and medium-size businesses, or grants to states and municipalities to support tourism. | There’s a good breakdown here of some of the measures that industry sectors are looking at, whether it is tax breaks, credit leniency for small and medium-size businesses, or grants to states and municipalities to support tourism. |
| Read it here - Bloomberg: Business groups to press Trump for virus response to curb damage | Read it here - Bloomberg: Business groups to press Trump for virus response to curb damage |
| We are expecting more today from the Trump administration on their economic package to help the country cope with the impact of the coronavirus outbreak. Tax breaks and small loans might be part of the measures. They aren’t going to any help for some people though. | We are expecting more today from the Trump administration on their economic package to help the country cope with the impact of the coronavirus outbreak. Tax breaks and small loans might be part of the measures. They aren’t going to any help for some people though. |
| Sam Levin has been out for us in Los Angeles looking at the impact the outbreak could have on homeless communities. Eve Garrow, the homelessness policy analyst with the ACLU of Southern California, told him: | Sam Levin has been out for us in Los Angeles looking at the impact the outbreak could have on homeless communities. Eve Garrow, the homelessness policy analyst with the ACLU of Southern California, told him: |
| Read it here - ‘We’re not prepared’: coronavirus could devastate homeless communities | Read it here - ‘We’re not prepared’: coronavirus could devastate homeless communities |
| The Associated Press have been having a look at what they describe as the ‘quirk’ of the math in today’s races that make this Tuesday more of a chance to catch up or pull away than any other day of primary and caucus battles. | The Associated Press have been having a look at what they describe as the ‘quirk’ of the math in today’s races that make this Tuesday more of a chance to catch up or pull away than any other day of primary and caucus battles. |
| As the AP explains it, most delegates awarded on Tuesday will be won based on how the candidates perform in individual congressional districts. Think of each district as holding a bucket of delegates. There are also two buckets of delegates in each state awarded based on the overall statewide vote. | As the AP explains it, most delegates awarded on Tuesday will be won based on how the candidates perform in individual congressional districts. Think of each district as holding a bucket of delegates. There are also two buckets of delegates in each state awarded based on the overall statewide vote. |
| On Tuesday, that makes for 51 buckets of delegates across the six states. Party rules say each viable candidate wins a proportion of the delegates in each bucket based on their share of the votes cast for the viable candidates in that bucket. Viable means they’ve past a 15% support threshold - almost certainly completely putting Tulsi Gabbard out of the equation. | On Tuesday, that makes for 51 buckets of delegates across the six states. Party rules say each viable candidate wins a proportion of the delegates in each bucket based on their share of the votes cast for the viable candidates in that bucket. Viable means they’ve past a 15% support threshold - almost certainly completely putting Tulsi Gabbard out of the equation. |
| Buckets that have an odd number of delegates are impossible to split evenly, meaning either Sanders or Biden is guaranteed to win at least one more than the other. | Buckets that have an odd number of delegates are impossible to split evenly, meaning either Sanders or Biden is guaranteed to win at least one more than the other. |
| Say, for example, there are seven delegates in a bucket, and Sanders gets 51% and Biden gets 49% of the viable votes. In delegates, that’s 3.57 to 3.43 a difference of just 0.14 delegates. But thanks to rounding, Sanders gets four and Biden gets three. If it was an even bucket with six delegates at play, they’d get three each. | Say, for example, there are seven delegates in a bucket, and Sanders gets 51% and Biden gets 49% of the viable votes. In delegates, that’s 3.57 to 3.43 a difference of just 0.14 delegates. But thanks to rounding, Sanders gets four and Biden gets three. If it was an even bucket with six delegates at play, they’d get three each. |
| Nearly two-thirds of the 352 delegates at stake on Tuesday are in buckets with an odd number of delegates more than on any other night with more than one primary. Getting narrowly ahead in a tight race in those odd buckets is much more rewarding in terms of delegates. | Nearly two-thirds of the 352 delegates at stake on Tuesday are in buckets with an odd number of delegates more than on any other night with more than one primary. Getting narrowly ahead in a tight race in those odd buckets is much more rewarding in terms of delegates. |
| Easy, eh? | Easy, eh? |
| Is it all over for Bernie Sanders if Joe Biden wins in Michigan? That’s the key question that Chris Cillizza, CNN Editor-at-large has been asking this morning. His reasoning: | Is it all over for Bernie Sanders if Joe Biden wins in Michigan? That’s the key question that Chris Cillizza, CNN Editor-at-large has been asking this morning. His reasoning: |
| If he can’t get enough of them out to beat Biden today, Cillizza says: “Sanders’ fundraising ability and the loyalty of his core supporters mean he can stay in the race as long as he wants. But hanging on is very different from having a chance to win.” | If he can’t get enough of them out to beat Biden today, Cillizza says: “Sanders’ fundraising ability and the loyalty of his core supporters mean he can stay in the race as long as he wants. But hanging on is very different from having a chance to win.” |
| Read it here - CNN: If Biden wins Michigan, is it all over? | Read it here - CNN: If Biden wins Michigan, is it all over? |
| Good morning, it’s not Super Tuesday, but it could be a super important Tuesday, as six states – including Michigan – hold their primaries. Millions get to vote, and we are set to discover whether Bernie Sanders can haul himself closer to Joe Biden in the race for the Democratic nomination. It is the first time it has been a straight two-horse race between them. Sanders needs to win Michigan, which he did sensationally in 2016, but recent polling suggests Biden is firmly ahead. Washington, Missouri, Mississippi, Idaho and North Dakota are also going to the polls. | Good morning, it’s not Super Tuesday, but it could be a super important Tuesday, as six states – including Michigan – hold their primaries. Millions get to vote, and we are set to discover whether Bernie Sanders can haul himself closer to Joe Biden in the race for the Democratic nomination. It is the first time it has been a straight two-horse race between them. Sanders needs to win Michigan, which he did sensationally in 2016, but recent polling suggests Biden is firmly ahead. Washington, Missouri, Mississippi, Idaho and North Dakota are also going to the polls. |
| Here’s our scene-setter for the day from Daniel Strauss in Washington DC: | Here’s our scene-setter for the day from Daniel Strauss in Washington DC: |
| Both Sanders - fresh from being endorsed by rocker Neil Young - and Biden will be out campaigning in Ohio, which votes next Tuesday. | Both Sanders - fresh from being endorsed by rocker Neil Young - and Biden will be out campaigning in Ohio, which votes next Tuesday. |
| It’s going to be a super important day for the administration on the coronavirus too. After the turmoil of yesterday, world markets seem to have rallied. Yesterday the White House promised that testing for the virus would ramp up quickly, and Trump said his administration would ask Congress to pass payroll tax relief and other quick measures to mitigate the economic fall-out. | It’s going to be a super important day for the administration on the coronavirus too. After the turmoil of yesterday, world markets seem to have rallied. Yesterday the White House promised that testing for the virus would ramp up quickly, and Trump said his administration would ask Congress to pass payroll tax relief and other quick measures to mitigate the economic fall-out. |
| The Centers for Disease Control (CDC) director Dr Robert Redfield testifies to Congress this morning. Federal health officials testify on the coronavirus before the House oversight committee this afternoon, and members of the Coronavirus Task Force will hold a press briefing at the White House at 5.30pm. | The Centers for Disease Control (CDC) director Dr Robert Redfield testifies to Congress this morning. Federal health officials testify on the coronavirus before the House oversight committee this afternoon, and members of the Coronavirus Task Force will hold a press briefing at the White House at 5.30pm. |
| One thing is for sure, Trump probably won’t want to re-watch this clip of Bernie Sanders provoking laughter about the president’s supposed natural ability to understand the coronavirus. | One thing is for sure, Trump probably won’t want to re-watch this clip of Bernie Sanders provoking laughter about the president’s supposed natural ability to understand the coronavirus. |