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Biden Takes Command of Race, Winning Three States Including Michigan Biden Takes Command of Race, Winning Three States Including Michigan
(about 1 hour later)
Joseph R. Biden Jr. swept to victory in the South and Midwest on Tuesday, demonstrating the strength of his multiracial coalition and extending his delegate advantage over Senator Bernie Sanders as he took command of the Democratic presidential race. Joseph R. Biden Jr. took command of the Democratic presidential race in decisive fashion on Tuesday, marshaling a powerful multiracial coalition in the South and the Midwest that swept aside Senator Bernie Sanders and completed Mr. Biden’s rapid transformation from a sometimes-fumbling underdog into his party’s likely nominee.
Mr. Biden, the former vice president, won Michigan, Missouri and Mississippi with overwhelming support from African-Americans and with large margins among suburban and rural white voters, replicating an advantage he displayed on Super Tuesday a week ago when he captured 10 of 14 states. Replicating the combination of voters that delivered him broad victories a week ago on Super Tuesday, Mr. Biden won Michigan, Missouri and Mississippi with overwhelming support from African-Americans and with large margins among suburban and rural white voters.
Mr. Sanders had an opportunity to slow Mr. Biden in the West, where Idaho and Washington voters were going to the polls, but he was dealt a grievous blow in what was the most closely watched and biggest delegate prize of the day: Michigan. Mr. Sanders was more evenly matched with Mr. Biden in the West, where Idaho and Washington were too close to call. But there was little doubt by the end of the night that Mr. Sanders had lost his recent status as the progressive front-runner in a race defined for months by feuding and factionalism on the moderate wing of the Democratic Party.
One week after suffering a series of unexpected losses on Super Tuesday, Mr. Sanders had raced to revive his candidacy in the state. But even after holding several events across Michigan and mounting some of his most pointed attacks against Mr. Biden, he was defeated in what could be a pivotal Midwestern bellwether in a race where the former vice president has triumphed in the South and Mr. Sanders has won in the West. By besting Mr. Sanders for a second consecutive week, Mr. Biden, the former vice president, demonstrated that his successes on Super Tuesday reflected more than fleeting good fortune, and that many Democratic voters had rallied behind his candidacy in a lasting enough way to erase his embarrassing setbacks last month in Iowa and New Hampshire.
The contest in Michigan held great symbolic significance for both candidates, each of whom has presented himself as uniquely capable of reclaiming the Midwest for Democrats in 2020. Mr. Biden has long boasted of his bond with working-class voters there, while Mr. Sanders has enjoyed a lasting political glow from his upset victory over Hillary Clinton in the Michigan primary four years ago. His inability to replicate that feat against a more popular opponent, Mr. Biden, further undercuts his argument that only a candidate who trumpets far-reaching change can energize voters there. Addressing supporters Tuesday night in Philadelphia, in a tone that was more sober than celebratory, Mr. Biden said voters had put him “a step closer to restoring decency, dignity and honor to the White House” and moved to unify the party with an appeal to supporters of Mr. Sanders. “We share a common goal,” Mr. Biden said, “and together we’ll defeat Donald Trump.”
The Michigan and Missouri results were especially foreboding for Mr. Sanders, because they suggested his strength among rural Midwestern voters in 2016 largely owed to their opposition to Mrs. Clinton. Against Mr. Biden, Mr. Sanders was routed across the countryside of both states. In Tuesday’s primaries, Mr. Biden assembled a strong electoral coalition that combined his party’s most loyal constituencies — including African-Americans, women and union members — with a new wave of moderate white voters who have aligned themselves with the Democrats as refugees from President Trump’s Republican Party.
Mr. Sanders, a Vermont liberal, has been reduced to a coalition of only the most liberal Democrats, voters under 30 and some Hispanics, as working-class white voters, a pillar of his base four years ago, have abandoned him. Even in his moment of triumph, however, Mr. Biden made little headway with the youngest and most liberal primary voters, who remained steadfastly behind Mr. Sanders even as his national prospects have dimmed. Mr. Biden appeared mindful of his deficit with these voters, using his election-night remarks to acknowledge the “tireless energy” of Mr. Sanders’s followers.
Mr. Sanders, a Vermont liberal, did not address supporters on Tuesday night, leaving an unusual void in the space his thunderous persona has typically occupied on election nights.
Mr. Sanders suffered the most grievous blow in Michigan, the biggest delegate prize of the night. After absorbing a series of unexpected losses last week, the senator had raced to revive his candidacy in Michigan, a state that four years ago helped power his insurgent challenge to Hillary Clinton for the Democratic nomination.
But even after holding several events across Michigan and mounting some of his most pointed attacks against Mr. Biden, most of all for his record on trade, Mr. Sanders was routed.
The contest in Michigan held great symbolic significance for both candidates, each of whom has presented himself as uniquely capable of reclaiming the Midwest for Democrats in 2020. Mr. Biden has long boasted of his bond with working-class voters there, while Mr. Sanders has enjoyed a lasting political glow from his surprise win in the Michigan primary four years ago. His inability to repeat that feat against a more popular opponent, Mr. Biden, further undercuts his argument that only a candidate who trumpets far-reaching change can energize voters there.
The losses in Michigan and Missouri were especially ominous for Mr. Sanders, because they suggested his strength among rural Midwestern voters in 2016 largely owed to their opposition to Mrs. Clinton. Against Mr. Biden, Mr. Sanders was trounced across the countryside of both states and saw working-class white voters, a pillar of his campaign four years ago, shift markedly away from him.
More important on Tuesday was the scope of Mr. Biden’s victories: With 365 delegates up for grabs, the former vice president was poised to build what could become an insurmountable advantage. If he wins with similarly large margins next week in delegate-rich Florida, where Mr. Sanders trails badly in polls, he may make it all but impossible for the senator to catch up.More important on Tuesday was the scope of Mr. Biden’s victories: With 365 delegates up for grabs, the former vice president was poised to build what could become an insurmountable advantage. If he wins with similarly large margins next week in delegate-rich Florida, where Mr. Sanders trails badly in polls, he may make it all but impossible for the senator to catch up.
Mr. Biden’s victories came against a backdrop of unexpected instability in the economy and widespread fear about the coronavirus as a growing threat to public health — forces that may have further bolstered the former vice president’s message of steady leadership against Mr. Sanders’s promises of social transformation. Mr. Biden’s victories came against a backdrop of unexpected instability in the economy and widespread fear about the coronavirus as a growing threat to public health — forces that may have further bolstered the former vice president’s message of steady leadership against Mr. Sanders’s promises of social transformation. The market-rattling outbreak, along with the White House’s uncertain response, has both underscored Mr. Trump’s political vulnerability and added to the mood of urgency among Democrats bent on defeating him.
The spread of the coronavirus across the country also raised the specter that political activities could soon be curtailed or restructured for reasons of public health. Just hours before the polls closed, both candidates canceled planned rallies in Ohio, citing concerns related to the virus. The spread of the coronavirus across the United States also raised the specter that political activities could soon be curtailed or restructured for reasons of public health. Just hours before the polls closed, both candidates canceled planned rallies in Ohio, citing concerns related to the virus. And in his subdued remarks at the National Constitution Center in Philadelphia, Mr. Biden said there was a climate of fear and danger that demanded presidential leadership.
In both Missouri and Mississippi, Mr. Biden won black voters by colossal margins, including by more than 70 points in Mississippi, where African-Americans made up nearly two-thirds of the primary electorate, according to exit polls. But Mr. Biden also won white voters by double digits in both states, and carried white voters without college degrees — a friendly constituency for Mr. Sanders in 2016 — by a narrower margin. Mr. Sanders now faces the unenviable task of mapping a path forward in a race that has exposed the apparent limits of his campaign tactics and political message. He retains a strong base of support among young and very liberal voters, and he has expanded his popularity with many Latinos. But Mr. Sanders has struggled to make headway with the most important constituencies that resisted his campaign four years ago, and the senator has lost ground with some groups that backed him as the only alternative to Mrs. Clinton.
In Michigan, Missouri and Mississippi, Mr. Biden won black voters by colossal margins, including by more than 70 points in Mississippi, where African-Americans made up nearly two-thirds of the primary electorate, according to exit polls. But Mr. Biden also won white voters by double digits in all three states, and carried white voters without college degrees — a friendly constituency for Mr. Sanders in 2016 — by a narrower margin.
In a sign that Mr. Sanders may struggle to compete with Mr. Biden across the Midwest, the exit polls from Missouri showed that Mr. Biden carried union households by a 25-point margin over Mr. Sanders. That advantage suggests that Mr. Sanders’s populist message and hard-edge criticism of Mr. Biden’s record on trade had failed to dent the former vice president’s popularity with a key constituency that made up about a quarter of the Missouri electorate.In a sign that Mr. Sanders may struggle to compete with Mr. Biden across the Midwest, the exit polls from Missouri showed that Mr. Biden carried union households by a 25-point margin over Mr. Sanders. That advantage suggests that Mr. Sanders’s populist message and hard-edge criticism of Mr. Biden’s record on trade had failed to dent the former vice president’s popularity with a key constituency that made up about a quarter of the Missouri electorate.
Mark Brewer, a former chairman of the Michigan Democratic Party, said Mr. Sanders had confronted circumstances this time that made the state a tougher battlefield for him. Mr. Brewer, who was a supporter of Senator Elizabeth Warren of Massachusetts, said voters appeared to have made a straightforward assessment of the two candidates’ electability and that “at least for tonight, in Michigan, Biden won that argument.” Mark Brewer, a former chairman of the Michigan Democratic Party, said Mr. Sanders had confronted circumstances this time that made the state a tougher battlefield for him. Mr. Brewer, who was a supporter of Senator Elizabeth Warren of Massachusetts, said that voters appeared to have made a straightforward assessment of the two candidates’ electability and that “at least for tonight, in Michigan, Biden won that argument.”
“It’s difficult to compare tonight to four years ago: There is an incumbent president, who Democrats are just focused on replacing, and that was not the case four years ago,” Mr. Brewer said. “Sanders was the underdog four years ago, and frankly Hillary Clinton took the state for granted and did not campaign here vigorously, and so forth. It’s really apples and oranges.”“It’s difficult to compare tonight to four years ago: There is an incumbent president, who Democrats are just focused on replacing, and that was not the case four years ago,” Mr. Brewer said. “Sanders was the underdog four years ago, and frankly Hillary Clinton took the state for granted and did not campaign here vigorously, and so forth. It’s really apples and oranges.”
Entering the night, Mr. Biden led Mr. Sanders by about 100 delegates out of some 1,400 allocated so far, but neither man was close to collecting the 1,991 delegates needed to claim the Democratic nomination. Perhaps nothing better illustrated the direction of this nominating contest, though, than the surge in voter turnout. A centerpiece of Mr. Sanders’s campaign has been his promise to win by inspiring a wave of new voters in the primary race and the general election.
But even a modestly widened lead for Mr. Biden could become difficult for Mr. Sanders to overcome as the political calendar advances: The next few rounds of primaries are focused on big, diverse states where Mr. Biden is seen as having a solid advantage, including Florida and Georgia. And a number of states where Mr. Sanders won caucuses four years ago have since switched to hold primary elections, which tend to be less dominated by ideological activists, leaving Mr. Sanders without an obvious place to make a comeback. But for the second consecutive week it was Mr. Biden who was the beneficiary of an increase in turnout compared with that of the 2016 race, often in the sort of suburban jurisdictions that powered the Democrats’ big gains in the midterm elections. In Oakland County, Mich., the Detroit suburb where Representative Haley Stevens picked up a Republican-held seat in 2018, Mr. Biden was winning by nearly 30 points and turnout was on track to be about twice what it was four years ago.
The contests on Tuesday included four states that Mr. Sanders carried against Mrs. Clinton in 2016: Michigan, Idaho, North Dakota and Washington. Public polling has been sparse in some of the contests, creating the possibility for upsets in either direction. The next few rounds of primaries are focused on big, diverse states where Mr. Biden is seen as having a solid advantage, including Florida and Georgia. And a number of states where Mr. Sanders won caucuses four years ago have since switched to hold primary elections, which tend to be less controlled by ideological activists, leaving Mr. Sanders without an obvious place to make a comeback.
Mr. Sanders had scrambled to shore up his position in Michigan, above all, canceling campaign stops in other states in order to focus on that battleground state, where he revived his campaign against Mrs. Clinton four years ago after a series of Super Tuesday losses. He has held rallies there with Representative Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez of New York and the Rev. Jesse Jackson, seeking to rev up his base of young voters and make headway with the black voters who have propelled Mr. Biden’s surge since the South Carolina primary in late February. The contests on Tuesday included four states that Mr. Sanders carried against Mrs. Clinton in 2016: Michigan, Idaho, North Dakota and Washington.
But there has been no indication that many Democrats have been having second thoughts about embracing Mr. Biden, to whom the party’s voters turned abruptly last week as a safe option after a chaotic and confusing primary season. And with the race effectively down to just Mr. Biden and Mr. Sanders, many Democratic leaders have clambered aboard the former vice president’s campaign.
In the days after last week’s contests, three of the most prominent Michigan Democrats elected in 2018 — Gov. Gretchen Whitmer and Representatives Haley Stevens and Elissa Slotkin — endorsed Mr. Biden in part because they say he will be palatable to the moderate voters who propelled the party in the midterm elections. But there has been no indication that many Democrats have been having second thoughts about embracing Mr. Biden, to whom the party’s voters turned abruptly last week as a safe option after a chaotic and confusing primary season. With the race effectively down to just Mr. Biden and Mr. Sanders, many Democratic leaders have clambered aboard the former vice president’s campaign.
“Joe Biden resonates with Michiganders,” Ms. Whitmer said in an interview, arguing that he was using the same center-left “blueprint I used in 2018.” After Mr. Biden carried South Carolina on Feb. 29, rivals like former Mayor Pete Buttigieg of South Bend, Ind., and Senator Amy Klobuchar of Minnesota quickly dropped out of the race and endorsed him. Once the Super Tuesday results were known, Michael R. Bloomberg, the former mayor of New York City, did the same. By contrast, Mr. Sanders has not managed to unify support even on the left; Ms. Warren, a fellow progressive, has declined to issue an endorsement since leaving the race last week.
Still, reservations remain among Democratic voters about Mr. Biden’s age and agility, and his performance on the campaign trail has been uneven enough to leave Mr. Sanders’s campaign hopeful that it can effectuate another shift in momentum.
While Mr. Biden has secured a large number of endorsements from his former opponents, Mr. Sanders has not managed to create a united front even on the left: Ms. Warren, a fellow progressive, has declined to issue an endorsement since leaving the race last week.
The sudden alliance of Democrats supporting Mr. Biden was in evidence at a rally on Monday evening in Detroit, where the former vice president appeared beside Ms. Whitmer and two of his former rivals, Senators Cory Booker of New Jersey and Kamala Harris of California, all of whom endorsed his campaign in the past week. Embracing a transitional role for himself, Mr. Biden said at the rally that he regarded himself “as a bridge” between a trying political moment and the next cadre of Democratic leaders.
“There’s an entire generation of leaders you saw stand behind me,” Mr. Biden said. “They are the future of this country.”
Just as revealing were the attendees, a racially and economically diverse mix of Democrats, some longtime Biden supporters and other more recent converts.
Theresa Rich, a lawyer from Farmington Hills, an affluent Detroit suburb, said she had cycled through each of the most prominent women who ran for the nomination: Ms. Harris, Ms. Warren and Senator Amy Klobuchar of Minnesota.
“Between Biden and Bernie it was a pretty easy decision,” Ms. Rich said. “Biden has more of a history of actually delivering.”
Mr. Biden, 77, and Mr. Sanders, 78, have both faced questions about their ages in recent days, as the race has narrowed to two men who would turn 80 within the space of a first presidential term — and as fears of a viral epidemic have rippled through the campaign trail. And supporters of Mr. Sanders have been sharply critical of Mr. Biden for his halting public manner and comparatively brief remarks at campaign events, with some suggesting that the former vice president lacked the physical vigor required to win and hold the presidency.Mr. Biden, 77, and Mr. Sanders, 78, have both faced questions about their ages in recent days, as the race has narrowed to two men who would turn 80 within the space of a first presidential term — and as fears of a viral epidemic have rippled through the campaign trail. And supporters of Mr. Sanders have been sharply critical of Mr. Biden for his halting public manner and comparatively brief remarks at campaign events, with some suggesting that the former vice president lacked the physical vigor required to win and hold the presidency.
Mr. Sanders himself has not gone that far, though in a Fox News forum on Monday he criticized Mr. Biden for speaking for only a few minutes at one of his campaign rallies over the weekend.Mr. Sanders himself has not gone that far, though in a Fox News forum on Monday he criticized Mr. Biden for speaking for only a few minutes at one of his campaign rallies over the weekend.
For the most part, Mr. Sanders has avoided clashing harshly with Mr. Biden, even as his own position in the race has diminished. A particularly stark illustration of that dynamic came on Saturday night, when aides to Mr. Sanders advised reporters that the senator would be taking on Mr. Biden’s record on race at a campaign event in Flint, Mich. But Mr. Sanders did nothing of the kind, delivering a standard stump speech instead. A day later, Mr. Sanders used a Fox News forum to deliver a critique of Mr. Biden’s record, but emphasized he had no interest in “making personal attacks on Joe.”
A day later, Mr. Sanders used a Fox News forum to deliver a critique of Mr. Biden’s record, but emphasized he had no interest in “making personal attacks on Joe.” He pointed to Mr. Biden’s vote to authorize the 2003 invasion of Iraq; his past support for the Hyde amendment, which restricts the use of government funds for abortion; and his history of seeking to rein in certain popular government programs.
“Joe has been on the floor of the House, over the years, talking about the need to cut Social Security, veterans programs, other programs,” Mr. Sanders said. “I have led the opposition to those cuts.”
Mr. Sanders’s campaign has been hopeful that Mr. Biden’s record, especially on trade, could undermine his popularity in the industrial Midwest, starting in Michigan, and it is airing ads highlighting his support for Nafta. But if those attacks prove fruitless in Michigan, they may be just as ineffective when Ohio and Wisconsin Democrats go to the polls in the coming weeks.
The two men are slated to meet on a debate stage in Phoenix this weekend, before the Arizona primary on Tuesday, in what would be their first one-on-one encounter in the race. Mr. Sanders could face pressure on Sunday to inflict real damage on Mr. Biden, but doing so could prompt a backlash if by then he is seen as a kind of nuisance challenger with no obvious path to victory.The two men are slated to meet on a debate stage in Phoenix this weekend, before the Arizona primary on Tuesday, in what would be their first one-on-one encounter in the race. Mr. Sanders could face pressure on Sunday to inflict real damage on Mr. Biden, but doing so could prompt a backlash if by then he is seen as a kind of nuisance challenger with no obvious path to victory.
Many Democrats are eager to turn to the task of challenging President Trump: Polls show that both Mr. Biden and Mr. Sanders will be competitive against the president, and will probably start the general election with something of an advantage. By a wide margin, however, Democratic voters say they view Mr. Biden as having the best chance of winning in November. Many Democrats are eager to turn to the task of challenging Mr. Trump: Polls show that both Mr. Biden and Mr. Sanders will be competitive against the president, and will probably start the general election with something of an advantage. By a wide margin, however, Democratic voters say they view Mr. Biden as having the best chance of winning in November.