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Social distancing may be needed for ‘most of year’ | Social distancing may be needed for ‘most of year’ |
(32 minutes later) | |
Social distancing would be needed for "at least half of the year" to stop intensive care units being overwhelmed, according to the government's scientific advisers. | |
The Scientific Advisory Group for Emergencies (Sage) recommended alternating between more and less strict measures for most of a year. | The Scientific Advisory Group for Emergencies (Sage) recommended alternating between more and less strict measures for most of a year. |
Strict measures include school closures and social distancing for everyone. | Strict measures include school closures and social distancing for everyone. |
Less restrictive measures include isolating cases and households. | Less restrictive measures include isolating cases and households. |
It comes after Prime Minister Boris Johnson said on Thursday that the UK could "turn the tide" on the coronavirus outbreak within 12 weeks. | It comes after Prime Minister Boris Johnson said on Thursday that the UK could "turn the tide" on the coronavirus outbreak within 12 weeks. |
Schools in England, Scotland and Wales will close on Friday until further notice - except for vulnerable children and those with a parent identified as a key worker. | Schools in England, Scotland and Wales will close on Friday until further notice - except for vulnerable children and those with a parent identified as a key worker. |
More than 65,000 retired doctors and nurses in England and Wales have been asked to return to work in the NHS to help tackle the outbreak. | More than 65,000 retired doctors and nurses in England and Wales have been asked to return to work in the NHS to help tackle the outbreak. |
And the chancellor is set to announce a wage subsidy package to try to protect millions of jobs. | And the chancellor is set to announce a wage subsidy package to try to protect millions of jobs. |
Documents prepared by Sage said alternating measures could "plausibly be effective at keeping the number of critical care cases within capacity". | Documents prepared by Sage said alternating measures could "plausibly be effective at keeping the number of critical care cases within capacity". |
Less strict measures would also include social distancing - but just in vulnerable groups. | Less strict measures would also include social distancing - but just in vulnerable groups. |
Sir Patrick Vallance, the government's chief scientific adviser, said the evidence in the documents published on Friday has "played a considerable role in shaping our recommendations". | Sir Patrick Vallance, the government's chief scientific adviser, said the evidence in the documents published on Friday has "played a considerable role in shaping our recommendations". |
"The UK is home to experts who are at the forefront of their chosen fields and we are making full use of their expertise to grow our understanding of Covid-19 as we work tirelessly to tackle this disease," he said. | "The UK is home to experts who are at the forefront of their chosen fields and we are making full use of their expertise to grow our understanding of Covid-19 as we work tirelessly to tackle this disease," he said. |
We are in this for the long haul. | |
The science that has informed government strategy shows we can expect disruption to our lives for most of the next 12 months. | |
More than half that time is expected to involve the strict measures in place now, which include school closures. | |
This won't all be in one go, instead the heavy restrictions will come and go in order to manage the number of cases. | |
The government's aim is to prevent one massive spike in infections that would completely overwhelm intensive care. | |
If that happens then death rates would soar as the sickest patients would not get the treatment they need. | |
Instead the strategy will be to have a series of smaller, manageable peaks. | |
It should save lives, but the cost is widespread disruption to society for some time to come. | |
The advice also said: | The advice also said: |