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Fed Pledges to Use ‘Full Range of Tools’ to Combat Virus Disruptions Fed Pledges to Use ‘Full Range of Tools’ to Combat Virus Disruptions
(32 minutes later)
The Federal Reserve pledged on Wednesday to do what it could to insulate the economy as coronavirus lockdowns took a severe toll on economic growth, underlining that it would keep interest rates near zero until a recovery was well underway. The Federal Reserve pledged on Wednesday to use its full range of tools to insulate the economy as coronavirus lockdowns sap economic growth and throw millions out of work, indicating that it would keep interest rates near zero until a recovery was well underway.
The central bank “is committed to using its full range of tools to support the U.S. economy in this challenging time,” officials said in a statement, after deciding to leave rates unchanged and promising to continue buying bonds “in the amounts needed to support smooth market functioning.” Fed Chair Jerome H. Powell, speaking at a news conference immediately after its two-day policy meeting, said the economy is suffering from the “forceful” steps the country has taken to slow the spread of the virus and said it remains unclear how long the economic stress will continue.
Officials gathered virtually for their first regularly scheduled meeting since the crisis took hold. They had already slashed interest rates to near zero at two emergency meetings in March, and have been buying large quantities of government and mortgage-backed debt to keep critical markets functioning. “The depth and the duration of the economic downturn are unknown,” Mr. Powell said, adding that “the burdens are falling most heavily on those least able to carry them.”
“The ongoing public health crisis will weigh heavily on economic activity, employment and inflation in the near term,” the Fed said. The crisis “poses considerable risks to the economic outlook over the medium term,” it added. “Millions of workers are losing their jobs,” he said and “household spending has plummeted.”
The central bank said it expected to maintain its current target interest rate, which is set in a range between zero and a quarter of a percentage point, “until it is confident that the economy has weathered recent events and is on track to achieve its maximum employment and price stability goals.” The Fed, which slashed rates to near zero at two emergency meetings last month, left rates unchanged at a range between zero and a quarter of a percentage point, and suggested they would not be raising rates anytime soon. Mr. Powell reiterated the central bank’s statement that it is “committed to using its full range of tools to support the U.S. economy in this challenging time.”
The Fed’s Washington-based board has unveiled a spate of emergency programs that either buy debt or lend money into critical sectors. Congress handed the Treasury Department $454 billion to support the Fed’s programs, which need to be protected against credit losses. Officials have used that backing to push the Fed’s emergency lending powers further than they went even in the depths of the 2008 financial crisis: They plan to buy municipal debt and to help both large and midsize companies gain access to credit. But the Fed chair acknowledged that low interest rates cannot solve an economic slowdown caused by a virus that has quarantined workers, sidelined millions of workers and shuttered business activity across the country.
“Lowering interest rates cannot stop the sharp drop in economic activity,” Mr. Powell said.
While the Fed is using all its available tools, he said, the central bank can only lend money, not spend it in the way that fiscal policymakers are able.
“Elected officials have the power to tax and spend,” he said, suggesting that more direct support to those hardest hit by the crisis might need more assistance.
Officials gathered virtually for their first regularly scheduled meeting since the crisis took hold in the United States. In addition to cutting rates, the Fed has been buying large quantities of government and mortgage-backed debt to keep critical markets functioning.
Officials have also unveiled a spate of emergency programs that either buy debt or lend money into critical sectors. Congress handed the Treasury Department $454 billion to support the Fed’s programs, which need to be protected against credit losses. Officials have used that backing to push the Fed’s emergency lending powers further than they went even in the depths of the 2008 financial crisis: They plan to buy municipal debt and to help both large and midsize companies gain access to credit.
The efforts come as quarantines and stay-at-home orders hurt economic growth. The economy contracted at a 4.8 percent annualized rate in the first quarter, the worst reading since 2008, as spending on services plummeted. That ended the longest United States economic expansion on record, but it probably only scraped the surface of the coronavirus damage, since lockdowns started toward the end of the quarter. Analysts expect the economy to shrink by 25 percent in the three months through June, based on the median in a Bloomberg survey.The efforts come as quarantines and stay-at-home orders hurt economic growth. The economy contracted at a 4.8 percent annualized rate in the first quarter, the worst reading since 2008, as spending on services plummeted. That ended the longest United States economic expansion on record, but it probably only scraped the surface of the coronavirus damage, since lockdowns started toward the end of the quarter. Analysts expect the economy to shrink by 25 percent in the three months through June, based on the median in a Bloomberg survey.
The Fed chair, Jerome H. Powell, will give a virtual news conference at 2:30 p.m., at which he could offer additional details on the lending programs, several of which are not yet up and running, and on the Fed’s economic outlook. The Fed, in its statement, suggested a long road ahead before recovery, saying “the ongoing public health crisis will weigh heavily on economic activity, employment and inflation in the near term” as well as “considerable risks to the economic outlook over the medium term.”
“They have a lot of balls still in the air,” Seth Carpenter, the chief United States economist at UBS and a former Fed official, said before the meeting. “They don’t know where the bottom is yet.” “They are giving some insight into how they see the trajectory for the economy, which is not a V-shaped path,” said Michelle Meyer, head of U.S. economics at Bank of America, specifically pointing to the medium-term warning on growth. “They’ll keep interest rates low for a long time, they’ll err on the side of being more accommodative, rather than less.”