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UK coronavirus live: excess deaths reached almost 55,000 in early May, says ONS UK coronavirus live: excess deaths reached almost 55,000 in early May, says ONS
(32 minutes later)
Overall deaths in England and Wales in week up to 8 May were down for the third week in a row, at 12,657Overall deaths in England and Wales in week up to 8 May were down for the third week in a row, at 12,657
Access to places of worship will have to be “supervised” when they reopen as the country eases out of the Covid-19 lockdown, according to the head of the Catholic Church in England and Wales.
Speaking on a Zoom panel about the safe reopening of places of worship, Cardinal Vincent Nichols suggested different sections of churches could be closed off each day to allow cleaning to take place. Acknowledging that supervision will be required, he explained that “it’s not as if the church doors will be flung open and say ‘come in when you want’”.
Places of worship come under step three of the government’s recovery strategy, meaning they cannot open until 4 July at the earliest.
Nichols, the archbishop of Westminster, said: “I think one thing is very clear, access to a church in the foreseeable future will be supervised, so it’s not as if the church doors will be flung open and say ‘come in when you want’. There will have to be people there, the whole process will have to be supervised.”
He added: “Each day a different section of the church might be made available, it doesn’t have to be the whole church, the whole time.
“So you could have the right hand back part for one day, and then the next day it will be the next session, so that would enable a cleaning routine to be more feasible, and it would leave parts of the church unused for maybe three days, which would help in terms of the hygiene.”
Nichols said last week that Catholic churches should be allowed to reopen before Pentecostal churches, or mosques owing to their different styles of worship.
At at Commons committee this morning Ros Pritchard, the director general of the British Holiday and Home Park Association, said “vigilante” members of the public had been reporting people staying in holiday homes - not knowing they were key workers, not holidaymakers.
Asked about a nervousness among communities at the prospect of visitors, she said:
Pritchard also said that seasonal tourism businesses were effectively looking at “three winters in a row” and that, while businesses were “hanging in there”, some could start “going to the wall” in October without ongoing support.
At the Lords science committee this morning (see 12.19pm) Prof John Edmunds, professor of infectious disease modelling at the London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine and a member of the governments’ Scientific Advisory Group for Emergencies, said the study of other coronaviruses suggested “potentially bad news” for hopes that humans could develop a long-term immunity from Covid-19. He explained:
Here are some of the main points from Nicola Sturgeon’s press conference in Edinburgh.
Sturgeon rejected suggestions that the Scottish government was engaged in a cover-up when it failed to notify people who might have been infected with coronavirus at the Nike conference in Edinburgh in February. At least 25 people at the conference contracted coronavirus, but people who may have been in contact with them at the venue were not told. Sturgeon said that an incident management team was in charge, and that it acted independently. She said other people were not alerted out of concerns for patient confidentiality. She said that to have publicised the incident at that stage could have led to individuals being identified. This was not a “deliberate attempt to cover up”, she said. She said she could understand why people thought that had been the wrong decision. But she would not go as far as saying herself that it had been the wrong decision given the circumstances at the time.
Dr Gregor Smith, the interim chief medical officer for Scotland, said he was not aware of any active cases in Scotland of children having a serious condition like Kawasaki disease, that may be related to coronavirus.
Sturgeon insisted that there had been “good cooperation between the different nations of the UK” in handling coronavirus.
She defended the decision to discharge patients into Scottish care homes when there was not a proper testing regime in place. She said at the time it was vital to free up hospital capacity.
Matt Hancock has acknowledged the importance of learning from other countries in dealing with coronavirus after an MP highlighted that there have been no deaths in care homes in Hong Kong or South Korea.
In the Commons, Labour’s Sarah Owen asked: “The health and social care select committee just heard evidence that there has been not one single care home death in Hong Kong or South Korea, despite their close proximity to China and shorter time to prepare for this crisis.
In response, Hancock said: “Well yes absolutely, it is important to learn from everywhere around the world and this epidemic has had a different shape in different parts of the world, and as she knows, a very significant impact throughout Europe.”
Calderdale council in Yorkshire has become the latest local authority to advise its schools not to open on 1 June, defying government policy.Calderdale council in Yorkshire has become the latest local authority to advise its schools not to open on 1 June, defying government policy.
The Labour council leader, Tim Swift, said “the clear professional advice we have” is that not all of the government’s five tests for opening schools were being met, citing concerns over the local rate of infection and limited access to testing. He added: The Labour council leader, Tim Swift, said: “the clear professional advice we have” is that not all of the government’s five tests for opening schools were being met, citing concerns over the local rate of infection and limited access to testing. He added:
“Our priority as a Council and as a Labour group throughout this crisis has been to put the safety and wellbeing of our community first.
“For these reasons, whilst we want our schools to plan for opening up to more children when it is safe to do so, we are strongly advising schools that they should not be doing this as soon as the 1st June.”
Matt Hancock has been forced to explain why there was no requirement to test people for Covid-19 who were being discharged from hospital into care homes until weeks into the lockdown.Matt Hancock has been forced to explain why there was no requirement to test people for Covid-19 who were being discharged from hospital into care homes until weeks into the lockdown.
Asked by Labour’s shadow health minister Liz Kendall in the Commons about the apparent delay in implementing testing for those going back to care homes from hospitals, Hancock highlighted the importance of infection control procedures. It comes amid fears that care homes may have unknowingly received Covid-19 patients hospitals early in the crisis. Asked by the shadow health minister Liz Kendall in the Commons about the apparent delay in implementing testing for those going back to care homes from hospitals, Hancock highlighted the importance of infection-control procedures. It comes amid fears that care homes may have unknowingly received Covid-19 patients hospitals early in the crisis.
Kendall asked: “NHS England rightly asked hospitals to free up at least 30,000 beds to cope with the virus, but can he explain why there was no requirement to test those being discharged to care homes, the very group most at risk, until April 15?” Kendall asked: “NHS England rightly asked hospitals to free up at least 30,000 beds to cope with the virus, but can he explain why there was no requirement to test those being discharged to care homes, the very group most at risk, until 15 April?”
In response, health secretary Hancock said: “She raises the question of discharges, and I understand the questions that have been asked about discharges into care. It’s important to remember that hospital can be a dangerous place for people, as well as saving lives. It also can carry risks and does and so it is appropriate… in many cases for people to be discharged from hospital and safer for them to go to a care home. In response, Hancock said: “She raises the question of discharges, and I understand the questions that have been asked about discharges into care. It’s important to remember that hospital can be a dangerous place for people, as well as saving lives. It also can carry risks and does and so it is appropriate in many cases for people to be discharged from hospital and safer for them to go to a care home.
“What’s important is that infection control procedures are in place in that care home and those infection control procedures were put in place at the start of this crisis and have been strengthened… as we’ve learned more and more about the virus as we’ve gone along.” “What’s important is that infection control procedures are in place in that care home and those infection control procedures were put in place at the start of this crisis and have been strengthened as we’ve learned more and more about the virus as we’ve gone along.”
In the Commons, the health secretary, Matt Hancock, has been pressed over the government’s “slow” handling of the impact of the Covid-19 pandemic in care homes.In the Commons, the health secretary, Matt Hancock, has been pressed over the government’s “slow” handling of the impact of the Covid-19 pandemic in care homes.
As Office for National Statistics figures released this morning showing there have been nearly 10,000 coronavirus-related deaths in care homes in England and Wales, Hancock faced an urgent question from shadow health minister Liz Kendall. As the Office for National Statistics figures released this morning showing there have been nearly 10,000 coronavirus-related deaths in care homes in England and Wales, Hancock faced an urgent question from shadow health minister Liz Kendall.
Hancock defended the government’s approach, saying deaths in care homes were falling. The ONS figures show care home deaths fell to 1,666 in the week ending 8 May, from 2,423 deaths in the previous seven days – a decrease of 31%.Hancock defended the government’s approach, saying deaths in care homes were falling. The ONS figures show care home deaths fell to 1,666 in the week ending 8 May, from 2,423 deaths in the previous seven days – a decrease of 31%.
Kendall highlighted that more than 23,000 people had died in care homes in the first four months of this year compared with last, accusing ministers of being “too slow” to tackle the impact of the virus in social care.Kendall highlighted that more than 23,000 people had died in care homes in the first four months of this year compared with last, accusing ministers of being “too slow” to tackle the impact of the virus in social care.
She challenged Hancock to explain why guidance stating care homes were “very unlikely” to be infected was not withdrawn until 12 March. (the Labour leader, Keir Starmer, previously raised this issue with Boris Johnson last week).She challenged Hancock to explain why guidance stating care homes were “very unlikely” to be infected was not withdrawn until 12 March. (the Labour leader, Keir Starmer, previously raised this issue with Boris Johnson last week).
In response, Hancock said: “She refers to the 13 March guidance, that was only a matter of days immediately after the risk to the public was raised on medical advice. And the guidance that was in place until then, as she probably knows, explicitly stated that... that guidance was in place while community transmission was low and said it would be updated as soon as community transmission went broader and that’s exactly what we did.”In response, Hancock said: “She refers to the 13 March guidance, that was only a matter of days immediately after the risk to the public was raised on medical advice. And the guidance that was in place until then, as she probably knows, explicitly stated that... that guidance was in place while community transmission was low and said it would be updated as soon as community transmission went broader and that’s exactly what we did.”
In her opening statement at the press conference Nicola Sturgeon, Scotland’s first minister, also said that the Scottish government was spending an extra £33m on measures to get people back to work. Most of the money would go to Fair Start Scotland and would be used to support young people, disabled people and lone parents, she said.In her opening statement at the press conference Nicola Sturgeon, Scotland’s first minister, also said that the Scottish government was spending an extra £33m on measures to get people back to work. Most of the money would go to Fair Start Scotland and would be used to support young people, disabled people and lone parents, she said.
Nicola Sturgeon, the Scottish first minister, has just started giving her daily briefing.Nicola Sturgeon, the Scottish first minister, has just started giving her daily briefing.
She says a further 29 coronavirus deaths have been registered in Scotland, taking the total to 2,134.She says a further 29 coronavirus deaths have been registered in Scotland, taking the total to 2,134.
At the start of the coronavirus crisis politicians and their scientific advisers seemed united, an impression created by Boris Johnson appearing with Prof Chris Whitty, the government’s chief medical adviser, and Sir Patrick Vallance, its chief scientific adviser, at the first government press conferences.At the start of the coronavirus crisis politicians and their scientific advisers seemed united, an impression created by Boris Johnson appearing with Prof Chris Whitty, the government’s chief medical adviser, and Sir Patrick Vallance, its chief scientific adviser, at the first government press conferences.
But these days Johnson rarely shows up and the scientists and the politicians are engaging in the preliminary rounds of a ‘blame game’ battle that will no doubt come to a grim and acrimonious conclusion at the long-awaited public inquiry.But these days Johnson rarely shows up and the scientists and the politicians are engaging in the preliminary rounds of a ‘blame game’ battle that will no doubt come to a grim and acrimonious conclusion at the long-awaited public inquiry.
Ministers stress they have been following the science, and this morning Thérése Coffey, the work and pensions secretary, took that formula to its logical conclusion by effectively saying it meant that, if the wrong decisions were taken, that was because the scientists gave the wrong advice. (See 9.32am.)Ministers stress they have been following the science, and this morning Thérése Coffey, the work and pensions secretary, took that formula to its logical conclusion by effectively saying it meant that, if the wrong decisions were taken, that was because the scientists gave the wrong advice. (See 9.32am.)
This morning Prof John Edmunds, professor of infectious disease modelling at the London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine and a member of Sage, the government’s Scientific Advisory Group for Emergencies, has been giving evidence to the Lords science committee and he offered a different perspective. His department has been responsible for some of the modelling that has helped to inform government decision making. But, when asked about whether schools should open, he insisted that ultimately this was a decision for politicians, not scientists. He said:This morning Prof John Edmunds, professor of infectious disease modelling at the London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine and a member of Sage, the government’s Scientific Advisory Group for Emergencies, has been giving evidence to the Lords science committee and he offered a different perspective. His department has been responsible for some of the modelling that has helped to inform government decision making. But, when asked about whether schools should open, he insisted that ultimately this was a decision for politicians, not scientists. He said:
The National Trust expects to take a £200m hit to its finances after closing all its properties during the lockdown.The National Trust expects to take a £200m hit to its finances after closing all its properties during the lockdown.
Hilary McGrady, director general of the National Trust, told a parliamentary committee the financial blow had come after the charity shut its properties on 20 March.Hilary McGrady, director general of the National Trust, told a parliamentary committee the financial blow had come after the charity shut its properties on 20 March.
The £200m figure represents nearly a third of the charity’s total income in the last financial year, meaning the organisation is facing a significant shortfall.The £200m figure represents nearly a third of the charity’s total income in the last financial year, meaning the organisation is facing a significant shortfall.
While McGrady said that National Trust parks and gardens would be first to reopen, the charity’s houses are unlikely to reopen before late August. She told the digital, culture, media and sport select committee that the estimated impact of Covid-19 “is going to be in the region of about £200m to the trust this year”.While McGrady said that National Trust parks and gardens would be first to reopen, the charity’s houses are unlikely to reopen before late August. She told the digital, culture, media and sport select committee that the estimated impact of Covid-19 “is going to be in the region of about £200m to the trust this year”.
The trust is “desperate to open” as soon as it is safe to do so, she said, highlighting the value of the spaces for the nation’s mental wellbeing. She added:The trust is “desperate to open” as soon as it is safe to do so, she said, highlighting the value of the spaces for the nation’s mental wellbeing. She added:
“But it is incredibly important just for, apart from anything else, the mental wellbeing of the nation that they can get out, and access places like the National Trust.“But it is incredibly important just for, apart from anything else, the mental wellbeing of the nation that they can get out, and access places like the National Trust.
“We offer incredibly safe spaces for people to be able to visit and just, you know, have a bit of space and have access to nature and we think it’s really important to get doing that sooner rather than later.”“We offer incredibly safe spaces for people to be able to visit and just, you know, have a bit of space and have access to nature and we think it’s really important to get doing that sooner rather than later.”
The trust received a total income of £634m in 2019, according to its accounts, up from £595m the year before. In 2019 it banked £192m from investment income. The market value of its investments totalled £1.3bn last year.The trust received a total income of £634m in 2019, according to its accounts, up from £595m the year before. In 2019 it banked £192m from investment income. The market value of its investments totalled £1.3bn last year.
Wagamama is to reopen dozens of its restaurants across the country to expand its home delivery service.Wagamama is to reopen dozens of its restaurants across the country to expand its home delivery service.
The Japanese-inspired restaurant chain, which has been forced to shut its doors to customers amid the Covid-19 pandemic, launched a trial at five of its delivery kitchens earlier this month.The Japanese-inspired restaurant chain, which has been forced to shut its doors to customers amid the Covid-19 pandemic, launched a trial at five of its delivery kitchens earlier this month.
After the “successful” trials in London and Leeds, the company will reopen 24 more sites on Thursday with a further 20 next week. In total, the chain hopes to have 49 sites open for delivery by the start of June, expanding to 67 by the end of the month.After the “successful” trials in London and Leeds, the company will reopen 24 more sites on Thursday with a further 20 next week. In total, the chain hopes to have 49 sites open for delivery by the start of June, expanding to 67 by the end of the month.
Sites opening on Thursday include those in Newcastle, Sheffield city centre, Liverpool, Manchester Spinningfields, as well as several in London.Sites opening on Thursday include those in Newcastle, Sheffield city centre, Liverpool, Manchester Spinningfields, as well as several in London.
Wagamama said it had devised a schedule of reopening new sites that would allow staff to slowly return to delivery-only work at their own discretion. Emma Woods, the Wagamama chief executive, said:Wagamama said it had devised a schedule of reopening new sites that would allow staff to slowly return to delivery-only work at their own discretion. Emma Woods, the Wagamama chief executive, said:
The Queen has discussed “the state of the world” and the Covid-19 pandemic with the Canadian prime minister, Justin Trudeau.The Queen has discussed “the state of the world” and the Covid-19 pandemic with the Canadian prime minister, Justin Trudeau.
The 94-year-old monarch, who is also Queen of Canada, spoke to Trudeau yesterday – the day of her official birthday in the country. Trudeau tweeted:The 94-year-old monarch, who is also Queen of Canada, spoke to Trudeau yesterday – the day of her official birthday in the country. Trudeau tweeted:
Victoria Day - 18 May - is the Queen’s official birthday in Canada. As monarch of the Commonwealth, the Queen has a strong bond with Canada. It has been her most frequent overseas destination, visiting it more than 20 times.Victoria Day - 18 May - is the Queen’s official birthday in Canada. As monarch of the Commonwealth, the Queen has a strong bond with Canada. It has been her most frequent overseas destination, visiting it more than 20 times.
As a young child in the 1970s, Trudeau met the Queen several times through his father, Pierre Trudeau, who was one of Canada’s longest-serving prime ministers.As a young child in the 1970s, Trudeau met the Queen several times through his father, Pierre Trudeau, who was one of Canada’s longest-serving prime ministers.
The government has issued a response to the ONS death figures figures out today. (See 9.44am, 10.11am, 10.42am and 10.56am.) A spokesperson for the Department for Health and Social Care said:
The Treasury has quadrupled the value of loans available to larger businesses affected by coronavirus. In an announcement this morning it said that companies would now be able to receive up to £200m from the coronavirus large business interruption loan scheme, which previously had a maximum payout of £50m. It said that loans under the expanded scheme would be made available to firms from Tuesday 26 May.
So far only £359m has been made available to businesses through the coronavirus large business interruption loan scheme. But almost £19bn has been made available through the Covid corporate financing facility, more than £8bn through bounce-back loans, and £6bn through the coronavirus business interruption loan scheme.
And here are two charts from the ONS report that illustrate excess death figures. The figures relate to England and Wales.
This chart tracks the figures for all deaths, and the figures for coronavirus deaths. Excess deaths are those above the five-year average.
And this chart shows that, although deaths not involving coronavirus were above average for six weeks in early spring, in the week ending 8 May deaths not involving coronavirus were actually below the long-term average. But, overall, the death rate that week was still well above the long-term average because of the coronavirus deaths.
Today’s ONS figures show that the proportion of coronavirus deaths taking place in care homes rose in early May, with care home deaths accounting for 42.4% of coronavirus-related fatalities registered in England and Wales in the week ending 8 May. This was up from 40% the previous week.
This chart from the ONS report helps to illustrate this point.
The Treasury has this morning published new figures about the impact of its various coronavirus job and business support schemes showing, among other things, that 8m jobs have now been furloughed, at a cost so far of £11.1bn.
A “significant percentage” of patients admitted to hospital with Covid-19 had blood clots in their lungs, a study has revealed. As PA Media reports, research carried out by a team at the Brighton and Sussex Medical School (BSMS) has found infection caused by coronavirus to be associated with a high incidence of venous thromboembolism, a condition in which a blood clot forms in the deep veins of the leg, groin or arm and can travel to the lungs, leading to pulmonary embolism.
The study, published in the Clinical Medicine Journal, was carried out at the Brighton and Sussex university hospitals NHS trust, including two acute hospital sites in southern England.
The figure given by the ONS statistician Nick Stripe for UK excess deaths (see 10.11am) is broadly in line with the forecasts for this number that other specialists have been producing.
Yesterday the Financial Times’ Chris Giles, who has been doing his own modelling for excess deaths, posted these on Twitter.
And yesterday Jamie Jenkins, a former ONS official, produced his own latest daily estimate.
Nick Stripe, head of the health analysis and life events division at the Office for National Statistics, told the BBC a few minutes ago that the total number of excess deaths in the UK - the number above what might expected at this time of year, judged by a five-year average, was just under 55,000 by early May.
Scientists, and ministers, have repeatedly said that the excess death figures will ultimately prove the most reliable guide as to how badly the UK has been hit by coronavirus.
Stripe told the BBC:
Stripe said that within the next couple of weeks the ONS planned to publish more research looking at why the excess deaths figure was so high. But he said a report published by the ONS on Friday, on deaths in April, did shed some light on what was happening. He went on:
Stripe said there could be two reasons for this increase. First “normal care pathways” could be disrupted; ie, fewer patients were going to hospital, because the hospitals were concentrating on coronavirus. Second, coronavirus might be a factor in these deaths, without doctors being able to confirm that. He explained:
The Office for National Statistics has just published the latest weekly death figures for England and Wales. They cover the week up to Friday 8 May (or week 19, as the ONS calls it).
Here are the main points.
Overall deaths in England and Wales in the week up to 8 May were down for the third week in a row, at 12,657. But they were still 3,081 above the five-year average for that week.
Some 31.1% of the deaths in the week up to 8 May involved coronavirus being mentioned on the death certificate, down from 33.6% the previous week.
Overall deaths in care homes in the week up to 8 May were down, from 6,409 to 4,248. But the proportion involving coronavirus was up from 37.8% the previous week to 39.2%.