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| Scientists Predict Above-Average Atlantic Hurricane Season Amid Virus Crisis | Scientists Predict Above-Average Atlantic Hurricane Season Amid Virus Crisis |
| (32 minutes later) | |
| The coming Atlantic hurricane season is “expected to be a busy one,” with the likelihood of as many as 19 named storms, including as many as six major hurricanes, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration said on Thursday. | The coming Atlantic hurricane season is “expected to be a busy one,” with the likelihood of as many as 19 named storms, including as many as six major hurricanes, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration said on Thursday. |
| Gerry Bell, the lead hurricane season forecaster with NOAA’s climate prediction center, delivered the forecast as part of the agency’s annual Atlantic storm outlook. | |
| NOAA researchers estimated a 70 percent probability of 13 to 19 named storms. They also said there was a 70 percent probability that between three and six of those storms would be major storms of Category 3 or higher, with wind speeds of at least 111 miles per hour. | NOAA researchers estimated a 70 percent probability of 13 to 19 named storms. They also said there was a 70 percent probability that between three and six of those storms would be major storms of Category 3 or higher, with wind speeds of at least 111 miles per hour. |
| In an average hurricane season there are 12 named storms and three major hurricanes. The Atlantic season starts June 1 and runs through Nov. 30, though the emergence of Tropical Storm Arthur this month made this the sixth year in a row in which a named storm had slipped in before the official beginning of the season. | In an average hurricane season there are 12 named storms and three major hurricanes. The Atlantic season starts June 1 and runs through Nov. 30, though the emergence of Tropical Storm Arthur this month made this the sixth year in a row in which a named storm had slipped in before the official beginning of the season. |
| During a call with reporters to announce the forecast, Carlos J. Castillo, acting deputy administrator of the Federal Emergency Management Agency, said the coronavirus pandemic could add to the challenges of the season. This year’s hurricane season is all the more dangerous because of the pandemic, which makes some of the core practices of emergency management, like group shelters, far more difficult. | During a call with reporters to announce the forecast, Carlos J. Castillo, acting deputy administrator of the Federal Emergency Management Agency, said the coronavirus pandemic could add to the challenges of the season. This year’s hurricane season is all the more dangerous because of the pandemic, which makes some of the core practices of emergency management, like group shelters, far more difficult. |
| In a document issued Wednesday, FEMA said it would “minimize the number of personnel deploying to disaster-impacted areas” this hurricane season, relying instead on virtual assistance. | In a document issued Wednesday, FEMA said it would “minimize the number of personnel deploying to disaster-impacted areas” this hurricane season, relying instead on virtual assistance. |
| NOAA cited several factors in its forecast, including the likely absence of El Niño conditions in the Pacific that would normally suppress hurricane activity in the Atlantic, and warmer-than-average surface temperatures in the tropical Atlantic and Caribbean. | |
| This is a developing story. Please check back for updates. | This is a developing story. Please check back for updates. |