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Coronavirus Briefing: What Happened Today | Coronavirus Briefing: What Happened Today |
(about 9 hours later) | |
This is the Coronavirus Briefing, an informed guide to the global outbreak. Sign up here to get the briefing by email. | This is the Coronavirus Briefing, an informed guide to the global outbreak. Sign up here to get the briefing by email. |
Corporate workers may barely recognize the offices they return to. Instead of open-floor layouts optimized for space, they are likely to see desks six feet apart, plastic barriers and common areas without seating. | Corporate workers may barely recognize the offices they return to. Instead of open-floor layouts optimized for space, they are likely to see desks six feet apart, plastic barriers and common areas without seating. |
Those precautions are among the sweeping new recommendations from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention on preventing the coronavirus from spreading in workplaces. The advice covers the basics, like daily temperature checks and face coverings, as well as issues like ventilation (more open windows) and communal snacks (not OK). | Those precautions are among the sweeping new recommendations from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention on preventing the coronavirus from spreading in workplaces. The advice covers the basics, like daily temperature checks and face coverings, as well as issues like ventilation (more open windows) and communal snacks (not OK). |
The agency also upended years of advice on commuting, urging people to drive to work alone, instead of taking public transit or car-pooling. To make this feasible for employees, the C.D.C. suggested companies offer reimbursement for parking or single-occupancy rides. | The agency also upended years of advice on commuting, urging people to drive to work alone, instead of taking public transit or car-pooling. To make this feasible for employees, the C.D.C. suggested companies offer reimbursement for parking or single-occupancy rides. |
But some of the recommendations may be difficult, if not impossible, to follow, such as social distancing in elevators. To avoid the cost and trouble of remaking their offices, many employers may decide it’s simply easier to continue work-from-home arrangements. | But some of the recommendations may be difficult, if not impossible, to follow, such as social distancing in elevators. To avoid the cost and trouble of remaking their offices, many employers may decide it’s simply easier to continue work-from-home arrangements. |
A transmission mystery: Scientists don’t yet know how much exposure to the coronavirus is needed for a person to become infected. But predictions have proved particularly tricky because it behaves so differently from other viruses. | A transmission mystery: Scientists don’t yet know how much exposure to the coronavirus is needed for a person to become infected. But predictions have proved particularly tricky because it behaves so differently from other viruses. |
With the flu and H.I.V., for example, high levels of pathogens usually correspond with more-severe symptoms and a higher likelihood of infecting others. But with the coronavirus, asymptomatic people seem to have viral loads as high as those who are seriously ill. | With the flu and H.I.V., for example, high levels of pathogens usually correspond with more-severe symptoms and a higher likelihood of infecting others. But with the coronavirus, asymptomatic people seem to have viral loads as high as those who are seriously ill. |
The Times is providing free access to much of our coronavirus coverage, and our Coronavirus Briefing newsletter — like all of our newsletters — is free. Please consider supporting our journalism with a subscription. | The Times is providing free access to much of our coronavirus coverage, and our Coronavirus Briefing newsletter — like all of our newsletters — is free. Please consider supporting our journalism with a subscription. |
Economists are mostly in agreement that the U.S. economy will soon begin to rebound as businesses reopen. But what will the shape of that recovery look like? Jeanna Smialek, who writes about the economy for The Times, surveyed the options. | Economists are mostly in agreement that the U.S. economy will soon begin to rebound as businesses reopen. But what will the shape of that recovery look like? Jeanna Smialek, who writes about the economy for The Times, surveyed the options. |
The “V” | The “V” |
The best possible scenario is a swift rebound in the second half of this year that would bounce us back to pre-coronavirus levels and create a “V”-shaped recovery. Unfortunately, economists say, this is mostly wishful thinking. Corporations and states have already cut their budgets, which will slow growth, and unemployment and economic output tend to drag for a while after a large shock. | The best possible scenario is a swift rebound in the second half of this year that would bounce us back to pre-coronavirus levels and create a “V”-shaped recovery. Unfortunately, economists say, this is mostly wishful thinking. Corporations and states have already cut their budgets, which will slow growth, and unemployment and economic output tend to drag for a while after a large shock. |
The “L” | The “L” |
Pessimists will tell you that our current economic situation will drag on for months, creating an “L”-shaped recovery — that is, very little progress at all. This is unlikely, though, because the economy is already showing signs of recovering. Consumer confidence is up slightly, unemployment claims are slowing, and data collected by Google shows an uptick in the number of people moving around, which may translate to more economic activity. | Pessimists will tell you that our current economic situation will drag on for months, creating an “L”-shaped recovery — that is, very little progress at all. This is unlikely, though, because the economy is already showing signs of recovering. Consumer confidence is up slightly, unemployment claims are slowing, and data collected by Google shows an uptick in the number of people moving around, which may translate to more economic activity. |
The checkmark, the swoosh or the wave | The checkmark, the swoosh or the wave |
The Congressional Budget Office predicts a checkmark-shaped recovery, in which growth begins to rebound in July and stretches through September. The slope of the checkmark could change based on a number of variables, like a vaccine breakthrough or more government support for the economy. If the recovery happens more quickly, it would look like a Nike swoosh. Without a vaccine, states could reopen and pull back with new outbreaks, lending a wave shape to the recovery. | The Congressional Budget Office predicts a checkmark-shaped recovery, in which growth begins to rebound in July and stretches through September. The slope of the checkmark could change based on a number of variables, like a vaccine breakthrough or more government support for the economy. If the recovery happens more quickly, it would look like a Nike swoosh. Without a vaccine, states could reopen and pull back with new outbreaks, lending a wave shape to the recovery. |
As states and countries figure out how to resume public life, professional sports leagues are also beginning to announce their returns. | As states and countries figure out how to resume public life, professional sports leagues are also beginning to announce their returns. |
Baseball: There was hope earlier this month that Major League Baseball could return this summer for a half-season, but a bitter dispute over pay is threatening to derail the whole thing. (In the meantime, get your fix with the South Korean league.) | Baseball: There was hope earlier this month that Major League Baseball could return this summer for a half-season, but a bitter dispute over pay is threatening to derail the whole thing. (In the meantime, get your fix with the South Korean league.) |
Football: The N.F.L. has released a full schedule of games starting Sept. 10. The league is pressing ahead with the reopening of training facilities, and some teams are preparing to play in partly empty stadiums. | Football: The N.F.L. has released a full schedule of games starting Sept. 10. The league is pressing ahead with the reopening of training facilities, and some teams are preparing to play in partly empty stadiums. |
Basketball: The N.B.A. is in talks to restart its season in late July at Walt Disney World in Florida, which would act as a single site for games, practice and housing. But much remains undecided, including what format the season would take. | Basketball: The N.B.A. is in talks to restart its season in late July at Walt Disney World in Florida, which would act as a single site for games, practice and housing. But much remains undecided, including what format the season would take. |
Hockey: The N.H.L. announced plans to play a 24-team playoff tournament as soon as July, hosted in empty arenas in two cities. | Hockey: The N.H.L. announced plans to play a 24-team playoff tournament as soon as July, hosted in empty arenas in two cities. |
Soccer: Germany’s Bundesliga has returned, minus the fans, and the English Premier League plans to do the same on June 17. In the U.S., the National Women’s Soccer League is planning an ambitious 30-day tournament starting in late June. | Soccer: Germany’s Bundesliga has returned, minus the fans, and the English Premier League plans to do the same on June 17. In the U.S., the National Women’s Soccer League is planning an ambitious 30-day tournament starting in late June. |
Here’s a roundup of restrictions in all 50 states. | Here’s a roundup of restrictions in all 50 states. |
Get financial guidance. Listening to these podcasts about money can help you weather the storm created by the virus. Get timely advice from experts, hear other people’s struggles, and learn new approaches for things like budgeting. | Get financial guidance. Listening to these podcasts about money can help you weather the storm created by the virus. Get timely advice from experts, hear other people’s struggles, and learn new approaches for things like budgeting. |
Stream something new. The Times’s chief movie critics rounded up their picks for the best films of the year (so far) — and all of them can be watched online. | Stream something new. The Times’s chief movie critics rounded up their picks for the best films of the year (so far) — and all of them can be watched online. |
Grow a butterfly. Demand for caterpillar kits has surged during the pandemic. Watch how the insects transform over several weeks, and then release the butterflies, which are good for the environment. | Grow a butterfly. Demand for caterpillar kits has surged during the pandemic. Watch how the insects transform over several weeks, and then release the butterflies, which are good for the environment. |
Let us know how you’re dealing with the outbreak. Send us a response here, and we may feature it in an upcoming newsletter. | Let us know how you’re dealing with the outbreak. Send us a response here, and we may feature it in an upcoming newsletter. |
Sign up here to get the briefing by email. | Sign up here to get the briefing by email. |
Tom Wright-Piersanti contributed to today’s newsletter. | Tom Wright-Piersanti contributed to today’s newsletter. |