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Wall Street Rallies as Retail Sales Rebound by 17.7 Percent: Live Updates | Wall Street Rallies as Retail Sales Rebound by 17.7 Percent: Live Updates |
(about 1 hour later) | |
Jerome H. Powell, chair of the Federal Reserve, told lawmakers on Tuesday that the path to economic recovery remained uncertain and warned that a prolonged downturn could widen existing inequalities. | |
Some parts of the economy are seeing a modest rebound, but “levels of output and employment remain far below their pre-pandemic levels, and significant uncertainty remains about the timing and strength of the recovery,” Mr. Powell said in testimony before the Senate Banking Committee. | |
Mr. Powell stressed that the damage could be long-lasting if the pandemic dragged on, particularly for lower-income workers. | |
“Low-income households have experienced, by far, the sharpest drop in employment, while job losses of African-Americans, Hispanics and women have been greater than that of other groups,” Mr. Powell said. “If not contained and reversed, the downturn could further widen gaps in economic well-being that the long expansion had made some progress in closing.” | |
Mr. Powell’s remarks, part of his two-day semiannual testimony before Senate and House lawmakers, come as communities across the United States continue to protest systemic racial inequality after a black man’s death at the hands of the police in Minneapolis in late May. Black Americans are often at a stark disadvantage in the labor market, and along with other minority groups, they have been hard hit by pandemic-era job losses. | |
The Fed chair told lawmakers that a full economic recovery was unlikely until the public was confident that the disease was contained. | |
National retail sales rebounded in May as thousands of stores and restaurants reopened after lockdowns were lifted and federal stimulus checks and tax refunds fueled a burst of spending. But many of the stores and restaurants that welcomed back customers last month did so with fewer employees, reflecting a permanently altered retail landscape and an ominous sign for the economy as businesses try to recover from the coronavirus pandemic. | |
Total sales, which include purchases in stores and online as well as money spent at bars and restaurants, rose 17.7 percent in May from the previous month, the Commerce Department said Tuesday. That followed a 14.7 percent drop in April, the largest monthly decline in nearly three decades of record-keeping, and an 8.3 percent decline in March. | Total sales, which include purchases in stores and online as well as money spent at bars and restaurants, rose 17.7 percent in May from the previous month, the Commerce Department said Tuesday. That followed a 14.7 percent drop in April, the largest monthly decline in nearly three decades of record-keeping, and an 8.3 percent decline in March. |
Economists had expected a bounce back from April, when widespread business closures drove retail sales to their lowest level since 2013. | Economists had expected a bounce back from April, when widespread business closures drove retail sales to their lowest level since 2013. |
The rise in May is the largest monthly surge on record — drawing a celebratory Twitter post from President Trump — but the retail industry is nowhere near back to normal. Overall sales were still down 8 percent from February. Some categories, like clothing, were down as much as 63 percent from a year ago. | The rise in May is the largest monthly surge on record — drawing a celebratory Twitter post from President Trump — but the retail industry is nowhere near back to normal. Overall sales were still down 8 percent from February. Some categories, like clothing, were down as much as 63 percent from a year ago. |
After more than a month of quarantine, May brought a tentative restart of brick-and-mortar retail across most of the country, with major chains like Macy’s and Gap reopening hundreds of stores. Some restaurants that had either closed or shifted their business to delivery and curbside pickup also reopened for in-person dining. | After more than a month of quarantine, May brought a tentative restart of brick-and-mortar retail across most of the country, with major chains like Macy’s and Gap reopening hundreds of stores. Some restaurants that had either closed or shifted their business to delivery and curbside pickup also reopened for in-person dining. |
Driving some of the sales gains was warm weather, a sense of relief after weeks cooped up at home and optimism from some that the worst of the pandemic could be over. But they were also lifted by stimulus money — $1,200 per recipient, plus $500 per child — that will run out in the coming months, with no indications that Congress intends to pass another round of assistance. | |
“I think a lot of it is lockdown fatigue,” said Beth Ann Bovino, chief U.S. economist at S&P Global. “I would caution not to be fooled by this large gain. We still have a long way to go in repairing the economy.” | “I think a lot of it is lockdown fatigue,” said Beth Ann Bovino, chief U.S. economist at S&P Global. “I would caution not to be fooled by this large gain. We still have a long way to go in repairing the economy.” |
After slaughterhouses in several states were closed when thousands of workers tested positive and dozens died, the industry publicly lobbied the Trump administration to intervene with state and local officials or risk major meat shortages across American grocery stores. | After slaughterhouses in several states were closed when thousands of workers tested positive and dozens died, the industry publicly lobbied the Trump administration to intervene with state and local officials or risk major meat shortages across American grocery stores. |
Some retailers put limits on the amount of meat customers could buy, and the fast-food chain Wendy’s, at one point in May, ran low on hamburger. | Some retailers put limits on the amount of meat customers could buy, and the fast-food chain Wendy’s, at one point in May, ran low on hamburger. |
Smithfield Foods was the first company to warn in April that the coronavirus pandemic was pushing the United States “perilously close to the edge in terms of our meat supply.” In April, Smithfield sent China 9,170 tons of pork, one of its highest monthly export totals to that market in the past three years. Tyson Foods, which said that “millions of pounds of meat will disappear” from the nation’s supply chain, exported 1,289 tons of pork to China, the most since January 2017. | Smithfield Foods was the first company to warn in April that the coronavirus pandemic was pushing the United States “perilously close to the edge in terms of our meat supply.” In April, Smithfield sent China 9,170 tons of pork, one of its highest monthly export totals to that market in the past three years. Tyson Foods, which said that “millions of pounds of meat will disappear” from the nation’s supply chain, exported 1,289 tons of pork to China, the most since January 2017. |
In all, a record amount of the pork produced in the United States — 129,000 tons — was exported to China in April. | In all, a record amount of the pork produced in the United States — 129,000 tons — was exported to China in April. |
After decades of relatively stagnant pork consumption in the United States and a recent thaw in the trade war with China, this was the year that the pork exports were set to take off. | After decades of relatively stagnant pork consumption in the United States and a recent thaw in the trade war with China, this was the year that the pork exports were set to take off. |
“The meat companies were saying the sky was falling, and it really wasn’t,” said Tony Corbo, a senior lobbyist at Food & Water Watch, a consumer and environmental watchdog group. | “The meat companies were saying the sky was falling, and it really wasn’t,” said Tony Corbo, a senior lobbyist at Food & Water Watch, a consumer and environmental watchdog group. |
The industry stands by its warnings about shortages and the need to keep the plants operating. “As long as our nation’s harvest facilities continue to operate, not only do we have enough meat to feed Americans, but also to feed the world,” Smithfield said in a statement. | The industry stands by its warnings about shortages and the need to keep the plants operating. “As long as our nation’s harvest facilities continue to operate, not only do we have enough meat to feed Americans, but also to feed the world,” Smithfield said in a statement. |
Wall Street’s roller coaster continued on Tuesday, as investors cheered a surprisingly strong rise in retail sales and a new study on a potential treatment for Covid-19 while also contending with reports of new cases in the United States and measures in China to contain a fresh outbreak. | |
In the end, the optimists won out, and the S&P 500 rose about 2 percent. Oil prices also rose, with benchmark American crude up more than 2 percent. | |
Investors have become more attentive to signs of a potential second wave in coronavirus cases, one that could force governments to reinstate restrictions that would damage global growth. But they have also been betting on a return to normal — a rebound in consumer spending and a recovery in corporate profits — that will strengthen the economy. | |
On Tuesday, both factors were on display. Stocks initially rose more than 2 percent after data showed that retail sales jumped 18 percent in May, a stronger than expected rebound. | |
Retail stocks like Nordstrom, Kohl’s, Gap and L Brands rose in early trading. Bulls were also heartened by news that scientists at the University of Oxford said on Tuesday that a 6,000-patient trial in Britain showed that a low-cost steroid, dexamethasone, could reduce deaths significantly for hospitalized Covid-19 patients. | Retail stocks like Nordstrom, Kohl’s, Gap and L Brands rose in early trading. Bulls were also heartened by news that scientists at the University of Oxford said on Tuesday that a 6,000-patient trial in Britain showed that a low-cost steroid, dexamethasone, could reduce deaths significantly for hospitalized Covid-19 patients. |
That optimism helped lift share prices for companies in industries especially exposed to the virus. Airlines, cruise lines and casino companies rose. | That optimism helped lift share prices for companies in industries especially exposed to the virus. Airlines, cruise lines and casino companies rose. |
The bounce on Tuesday followed a sudden swing in sentiment on Monday, after the Federal Reserve announced that it would start to buy corporate debt issued by individual firms. The Fed chair, Jerome H. Powell, said Tuesday that although the corporate bond market had calmed considerably, the central bank must follow through on its prior announcements. | |
“I don’t see us as wanting to run through the bond market like an elephant, doing things and snuffing out price signals and things like that,” Mr. Powell said. “We just want to be there if things turn bad in the economy or if things go in a negative direction.” | “I don’t see us as wanting to run through the bond market like an elephant, doing things and snuffing out price signals and things like that,” Mr. Powell said. “We just want to be there if things turn bad in the economy or if things go in a negative direction.” |
But a series of updates about coronavirus cases undermined some of that optimism — at least for a time. | |
China reported 27 new cases in Beijing, where there has been a fresh outbreak, and the government reimposed some travel restrictions and locked down some residential areas in the city as it fought to contain the infections. In the United States, coronavirus cases in Florida and Texas continued to rise. | |
For a moment, those reports threatened the entire rally, and the S&P 500 erased nearly all of its gains. | |
After being criticized for not doing enough to make passengers wear masks, the nation’s biggest airlines said on Monday that they would get tougher on people who refused to cover their faces. | After being criticized for not doing enough to make passengers wear masks, the nation’s biggest airlines said on Monday that they would get tougher on people who refused to cover their faces. |
Airlines for America, a trade association, said that its members would take masks more seriously, including by not letting people without face coverings get on planes. But many big airlines have said that before, and passengers concerned about their health have pointed out that enforcement on board has often been lax. | Airlines for America, a trade association, said that its members would take masks more seriously, including by not letting people without face coverings get on planes. But many big airlines have said that before, and passengers concerned about their health have pointed out that enforcement on board has often been lax. |
“U.S. airlines are very serious about requiring face coverings on their flights,” Nicholas Calio, the chief executive of Airlines for America, said in a statement. “Face coverings are one of several public health measures recommended by the C.D.C. as an important layer of protection for passengers and customer-facing employees.” | “U.S. airlines are very serious about requiring face coverings on their flights,” Nicholas Calio, the chief executive of Airlines for America, said in a statement. “Face coverings are one of several public health measures recommended by the C.D.C. as an important layer of protection for passengers and customer-facing employees.” |
According to the association, all of four of the largest U.S. airlines — Southwest Airlines, American Airlines, Delta Air Lines and United Airlines — have agreed to communicate their mask policies to customers before flying, reiterate the requirements in onboard announcements and enforce them when customers refuse to comply. Southwest issued a separate statement saying that it would “deny boarding” to passengers that refused to comply with its face covering requirement. | According to the association, all of four of the largest U.S. airlines — Southwest Airlines, American Airlines, Delta Air Lines and United Airlines — have agreed to communicate their mask policies to customers before flying, reiterate the requirements in onboard announcements and enforce them when customers refuse to comply. Southwest issued a separate statement saying that it would “deny boarding” to passengers that refused to comply with its face covering requirement. |
United said that, starting Thursday, any passenger who openly disregarded its rules could face a temporary travel ban on future flights. The airline, like others, grants exceptions for those with a medical condition or disability that prevents them from wearing a mask, as well as those who cannot put on or remove a mask themselves and small children. Customers may remove their masks to eat and drink. | United said that, starting Thursday, any passenger who openly disregarded its rules could face a temporary travel ban on future flights. The airline, like others, grants exceptions for those with a medical condition or disability that prevents them from wearing a mask, as well as those who cannot put on or remove a mask themselves and small children. Customers may remove their masks to eat and drink. |
The airline association said each airline would establish its own punishment for passengers who refuse to comply, “up to and including suspension of flying privileges.” | The airline association said each airline would establish its own punishment for passengers who refuse to comply, “up to and including suspension of flying privileges.” |
Airlines have so far been reluctant to publicly establish clear consequences for failure to wear face coverings, and many passengers have chided the companies on social media with photos of planes filled with people not wearing masks and sitting close to each other. | Airlines have so far been reluctant to publicly establish clear consequences for failure to wear face coverings, and many passengers have chided the companies on social media with photos of planes filled with people not wearing masks and sitting close to each other. |
The International Energy Agency forecast Tuesday that demand for oil, which has been slammed by the coronavirus pandemic, would rebound by a record amount next year but would still remain below 2019 levels largely because of what it called “an existential crisis” in commercial aviation. | The International Energy Agency forecast Tuesday that demand for oil, which has been slammed by the coronavirus pandemic, would rebound by a record amount next year but would still remain below 2019 levels largely because of what it called “an existential crisis” in commercial aviation. |
Demand, especially among large oil importers like China and India, is already recovering rapidly from the April lows, said the group, which is based in Paris. The agency forecast that demand will increase by 5.7 million barrels a day in 2021, but even this growth would not be enough for consumption to recover from the drop of 8.2 million barrels a day expected for 2020. | |
Most of the lingering shortfall is likely to be in aviation fuel, the group said, as travel restrictions intended to prevent the spread of the virus weigh heavily on long-distance flying. | |
The agency said in its Monthly Oil Report, published Tuesday, that the aviation recovery could depend on the discovery and dissemination of a vaccine for the virus, which it said might require another 12 to 18 months. | |
Over all, the agency’s analysis seemed to support the recovery in oil prices from their April lows. In the agency’s view, demand for oil may exceed output by the third quarter of this year if deep cuts by the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and Russia and well shutdowns in countries like the United States persist. | |
The fitness chain 24 Hour Fitness filed for Chapter 11 bankruptcy protection on Monday, after the coronavirus pandemic forced its clubs to shut for nearly two months. | The fitness chain 24 Hour Fitness filed for Chapter 11 bankruptcy protection on Monday, after the coronavirus pandemic forced its clubs to shut for nearly two months. |
“Put simply, the Covid-19 pandemic upended the debtors’ operating model, leaving the debtors without a source of revenue to fund their operations,” the filing stated. | “Put simply, the Covid-19 pandemic upended the debtors’ operating model, leaving the debtors without a source of revenue to fund their operations,” the filing stated. |
The national gym chain said in its bankruptcy filing that it had permanently closed 100 locations across 14 states. But the chain is expected to re-emerge: It has secured $250 million in funding to reopen some of its clubs, and expects a majority of its remaining 300 locations to be open by the end of June. | The national gym chain said in its bankruptcy filing that it had permanently closed 100 locations across 14 states. But the chain is expected to re-emerge: It has secured $250 million in funding to reopen some of its clubs, and expects a majority of its remaining 300 locations to be open by the end of June. |
The pandemic has been particularly devastating to the gym industry. Also on Monday, Town Sports International said that it was considering bankruptcy because of revenue losses as a result of the shutdown. The company, which owns about 200 gyms including New York Sports Club and Boston Sports Club, said in a regulatory filing that the “scope and duration of the interruption to our operations has substantially reduced our cash flow.” | The pandemic has been particularly devastating to the gym industry. Also on Monday, Town Sports International said that it was considering bankruptcy because of revenue losses as a result of the shutdown. The company, which owns about 200 gyms including New York Sports Club and Boston Sports Club, said in a regulatory filing that the “scope and duration of the interruption to our operations has substantially reduced our cash flow.” |
British employment data released Tuesday showed a sharp decline in the number of people on payrolls, but the overall unemployment rate for the February-March period remained steady, at 3.9 percent, as the country’s furlough program kept many people off the jobless rolls. Over 600,000 jobs were shed from payrolls from March to May, a 2.1 percent decline an the first drop after years of steady growth. | |
The Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences said on Monday that it would push back the next Oscars ceremony to April 25 from Feb. 28, citing the coronavirus pandemic. The postponement, the fourth since the Academy Awards were introduced in 1929, could prompt the Golden Globes and other entertainment award shows to recalibrate. | The Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences said on Monday that it would push back the next Oscars ceremony to April 25 from Feb. 28, citing the coronavirus pandemic. The postponement, the fourth since the Academy Awards were introduced in 1929, could prompt the Golden Globes and other entertainment award shows to recalibrate. |
Reporting was contributed by Sapna Maheshwari, Michael Corkery, Stanley Reed, Mohammed Hadi, Niraj Chokshi, David Yaffe-Bellany, Gillian Friedman, Carlos Tejada and Brooks Barnes. | Reporting was contributed by Sapna Maheshwari, Michael Corkery, Stanley Reed, Mohammed Hadi, Niraj Chokshi, David Yaffe-Bellany, Gillian Friedman, Carlos Tejada and Brooks Barnes. |