Trump Administration Says Vietnam and Switzerland Manipulated Currency

https://www.nytimes.com/2020/12/16/us/politics/trump-vietnam-switzerland-currency-trade.html

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WASHINGTON — The Trump administration on Wednesday labeled Vietnam and Switzerland currency manipulators, accusing them for the first time of improperly intervening in foreign exchange markets and setting off a new economic confrontation with two trading partners.

It was the first time that the Treasury Department has applied that label to either country and will require Vietnam and Switzerland to enter into negotiations with the United States and the International Monetary Fund to address the situation.

This is the third time that the Trump administration has taken the fairly unusual step of labeling a country a currency manipulator. It applied the label to China in 2019 — the first time since 1994 — while the two countries were negotiating a trade deal. The administration later dropped the official designation, but the Chinese yuan has remained on the Treasury Department’s list of currencies it is monitoring.

The decision to designate Vietnam and Switzerland came at a moment of heightened volatility in foreign exchange markets, which have been rattled by the coronavirus pandemic. The report covers activity from July 2019 to June 2020, which include several months before the pandemic set in.

“The Treasury Department has taken a strong step today to safeguard economic growth and opportunity for American workers and businesses,” Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin said in a statement. “Treasury will follow up on its findings with respect to Vietnam and Switzerland to work toward eliminating practices that create unfair advantages for foreign competitors.”

The decision to label Vietnam a currency manipulator is the latest move by the Trump administration to take aim at that country over its trade practices. In October, the administration opened an investigation into Vietnam’s trade practices, saying it would begin looking at whether Vietnam has undervalued its currency — the dong — making its products unfairly cheap abroad, and at its importation and use of timber, which the administration said was illegally harvested and traded.

The United States also levied some tariffs against Vietnamese tires last month, citing undervalued currency, the first time the Commerce Department had considered the value of a foreign currency in that type of trade case.

U.S. imports from Vietnam have risen sharply in recent years as the Trump administration placed tariffs and other restrictions on goods from China, increasing the U.S. trade deficit in goods. Vietnam is America’s 13th largest trading partner, according to the United States trade representative and many American companies have factories there.

In its report, the Treasury Department said that Vietnam “conducted large-scale and protracted intervention, much more than in previous periods, to prevent appreciation of the dong” amid a growing bilateral trade surplus with the United States.

The report also said that Switzerland, which is America’s 16th largest trading partner, “conducted large-scale one-sided intervention, significantly larger than in previous periods, to resist appreciation of the franc and reduce risks of deflation.”

Overall U.S. trade with Switzerland is fairly balanced, according to government statistics, though the United States sells more services to Switzerland, including industrial processes and research and development, while Switzerland exports more goods to the United States. Those goods include products like pharmaceuticals, chemicals, medical instruments and clocks.

Currency manipulation labels are supposed to set off talks with the United States and can involve input from the International Monetary Fund. If the concerns of the Treasury Department are not resolved, the United States could impose an array of penalties including tariffs.

While China was not labeled a currency manipulator this time, the report did call for greater transparency from China regarding “policy objectives of its exchange rate management regime” and the relationship between its central bank and the foreign exchange moves of its state-owned banks.

The Treasury Department makes the currency manipulation designation based on a combination of a country’s bilateral trade surplus with the United States, the size of its global current account surplus and scale of its foreign currency interventions. Analysts anticipated that Vietnam and Switzerland had exceeded the thresholds this year, however some questioned the Treasury Department’s decision on Wednesday.

Mark Sobel, a former senior Treasury official and chairman of the Official Monetary and Financial Institutions Forum, said that the department appears to be applying “enhanced criteria” in making the designations and overlooking mitigating circumstances.

“The quantitative analysis needs to be supplemented with greater qualitative analysis and judgment as Treasury may be questionably branding Switzerland and Vietnam while missing more obvious cases of harmful currency practices,” Mr. Sobel said.

Mr. Sobel has suggested that neither Vietnam nor Switzerland are necessarily acting to gain unfair competitive advantages. Vietnam receives large foreign direct investment inflows and the Swiss franc often faces upward pressure because of its “safe haven” status in the global financial system.

The currency report is the final one by the Trump administration and it will be up to the next Treasury secretary to determine whether to keep or remove those labels. A senior Treasury official said that Janet L. Yellen, who has been nominated as Treasury secretary by President-elect Joseph R. Biden Jr., had not yet been briefed on designations and that they are the decisions of the Trump administration.

The Biden administration has not clarified whether it would continue the Trump administration’s pressure campaign on Vietnam. But many labor unions and progressive Democrats have supported adopting tougher trade measures on countries that artificially weaken their currency, saying they undercut the United States’ ability to manufacture and export by making American goods comparatively more expensive.

The Trump administration added Taiwan, Thailand and India to its currency manipulation “watchlist,” and removed Ireland from that list in the current report.

The Treasury Department is supposed to publish the currency report twice a year, in April and in October. It cited the department’s role in responding to the pandemic as the reason no report has been published since January.

Ana Swanson contributed reporting.