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Oil rises as rally gathers pace Oil rises as rally gathers pace
(about 2 hours later)
The price of oil has risen to just under $58 a barrel, a rise of more than 8% on the week, as optimism about the state of the world economy has grown. The price of oil has risen to just over $58 a barrel, a rise of more than 8% on the week, as optimism about the state of the world economy has grown.
Global markets have also risen, continuing a two-month climb, with UK shares up 4.5%, Japanese shares up 5% and US shares up 2.4% on the week. Global stock markets have also risen, continuing a two-month climb, with UK shares up 4.5%, Japanese shares up 5% and US shares up 2.4% on the week.
Prices, however, are still substantially lower than last year.Prices, however, are still substantially lower than last year.
News that US employers cut 539,000 jobs in April, fewer than in previous months, is likely to spur optimism.News that US employers cut 539,000 jobs in April, fewer than in previous months, is likely to spur optimism.
On the bright side In morning trade, the Dow Jones Industrial Average was up 1.4% on the day at 8,523 points.
Oil has gained more than 70% from its lows of about $34 in February. Picking up
Fears that a weaker global economy would reduce demand for oil suppressed prices, dragging them down from last year's record highs of nearly $150. The price of oil has risen more than 70% from lows of about $34 a barrel seen in February.
A WEEK IN MARKETS: MAY 1 - MAY 8 FTSE 100: 4,243 to 4,439 pointsDow Jones: 8,212 to 8,409 pointsNikkei: 8,977 to 9,432 pointsLight crude: Up from $53.20 to $57.73 class="" href="http://newsvote.bbc.co.uk/2/shared/fds/hi/business/market_data/overview/default.stm">Click here for latest prices Last year, the oil price hit a record high of nearly $150 a barrel, but fears that a weaker global economy would reduce demand for oil then suppressed prices.
Increased optimism that the recession may end sooner than originally thought is spurring price gains. A WEEK IN MARKETS: 1 MAY - 8 MAY FTSE 100: 4,243 to 4,450 pointsDow Jones: 8,212 to 8,409 pointsNikkei: 8,977 to 9,432 pointsUS light crude: Up from $53.20 to $57.73 a barrel class="" href="http://newsvote.bbc.co.uk/2/shared/fds/hi/business/market_data/overview/default.stm">Click here for latest prices
On Friday, New York Light Sweet Crude's rose $1.02 to $57.73 a barrel, a gain of more than 8% from its last trade on 1 May of $53.20. London Brent crude was up $1.12 on the day at $57.59. However, increased optimism that the recession may end sooner than originally thought is now spurring price gains.
The recent gain in the Dow - at 8409 points at Thursday's close- is still some way off this year's high of 9,034 points, reached on 2 January. On Friday, the price of New York light, sweet crude rose by $1.34 to $58.05 a barrel, up more than 8% over the week. London Brent crude was up $1.31 on the day to $57.78 a barrel.
The FTSE, now 4,433 points, is also still below this year's high of 4,639 points, reached on 6 January. On the equity markets, the Dow Jones is still some way off this year's high of 9,034 points, reached on 2 January, despite the recent rises.
This week's gains have been prompted by a few signs that the worst may be over. The FTSE, now 4,450 points, is also still below this year's high of 4,639 points, reached on 6 January.
This week's gains have been prompted by a few signs that the worst of the recession may be over.
US retailers reported better-than-expected monthly sales for a second month in a row in April.US retailers reported better-than-expected monthly sales for a second month in a row in April.
The number of US workers filing new claims for jobless aid unexpectedly fell by 34,000 last week to a seasonally adjusted 604,000, according to Labor Department figures released on Thursday.The number of US workers filing new claims for jobless aid unexpectedly fell by 34,000 last week to a seasonally adjusted 604,000, according to Labor Department figures released on Thursday.
News on Thursday that 10 of America's largest 19 banks need a combined $74.6bn (£50bn) of extra funds to boost their reserves came as little surprise and allayed fears and uncertainty about the financial sector. And figures released on Friday showed that the US economy lost 539,000 jobs in April, fewer than in previous months.
The news on Thursday that 10 of America's largest 19 banks needed a combined $74.6bn (£50bn) of extra funds to boost their reserves came as little surprise, and helped to allay fears and uncertainty about the financial sector.
"This (stress test result) could be seen by many as the last hurdle for the markets to continue their stellar bull run," said Chris Hossain, senior sales manager at ODL Securities."This (stress test result) could be seen by many as the last hurdle for the markets to continue their stellar bull run," said Chris Hossain, senior sales manager at ODL Securities.
Not so fast
"These requests for more cash are only for worst-case scenarios - whilst it might still be too early to call the end of the recession, the first quarter appears to have seen credit markets easing and confidence returning.""These requests for more cash are only for worst-case scenarios - whilst it might still be too early to call the end of the recession, the first quarter appears to have seen credit markets easing and confidence returning."
Others warned that it might be too early for optimism. However, others warned that it might be too early for optimism.
"People got optimistic (after the test results) because it wasn't as bad as they thought it would be," Tony Nunan, risk manager at Mitsubishi Corp said."People got optimistic (after the test results) because it wasn't as bad as they thought it would be," Tony Nunan, risk manager at Mitsubishi Corp said.
"But we are not out of the woods yet. The economy has yet to recover and there could be another dip in prices," he added."But we are not out of the woods yet. The economy has yet to recover and there could be another dip in prices," he added.