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Spies worried about Biden – media | |
(about 1 hour later) | |
Some in the US spy community are worried about the “long term credibility” of its intelligence | Some in the US spy community are worried about the “long term credibility” of its intelligence |
US national security and intelligence veterans have expressed concern over President Joe Biden’s strategy in dealing with Russia, saying that regular leaks to the public over a predicted invasion of Ukraine could hurt Washington’s credibility in the long run and turn out to be entirely wrong. | US national security and intelligence veterans have expressed concern over President Joe Biden’s strategy in dealing with Russia, saying that regular leaks to the public over a predicted invasion of Ukraine could hurt Washington’s credibility in the long run and turn out to be entirely wrong. |
“I am concerned about the long-term credibility of our intelligence with all these select declassifications,” a former CIA officer told Politico in a report published on Tuesday. | “I am concerned about the long-term credibility of our intelligence with all these select declassifications,” a former CIA officer told Politico in a report published on Tuesday. |
Officials are growing concerned at what Politico called the administration’s “unusual openness” about intelligence on Russia. The ex-CIA source told the outlet such openness, combined with leaks to the media, could “undermine” the trust of both the public and the US’s allies. | Officials are growing concerned at what Politico called the administration’s “unusual openness” about intelligence on Russia. The ex-CIA source told the outlet such openness, combined with leaks to the media, could “undermine” the trust of both the public and the US’s allies. |
One of the latest leaks from “insiders” came in a Newsweek report this week, claiming Russia had planned a “false flag” operation to make it seem as though there was a Kremlin plot to “stage attacks against Russian-speaking Ukrainians.” The aim of the alleged operation was to “discredit and distract Washington,” according to the report. Moscow has repeatedly denied any intention to invade Ukraine. | One of the latest leaks from “insiders” came in a Newsweek report this week, claiming Russia had planned a “false flag” operation to make it seem as though there was a Kremlin plot to “stage attacks against Russian-speaking Ukrainians.” The aim of the alleged operation was to “discredit and distract Washington,” according to the report. Moscow has repeatedly denied any intention to invade Ukraine. |
Whether it’s true or not, the more information like this is dumped, the more likely foreign operatives can track the sources and methods used to obtain it, a former National Security Council member told Politico. | Whether it’s true or not, the more information like this is dumped, the more likely foreign operatives can track the sources and methods used to obtain it, a former National Security Council member told Politico. |
“How many freaking times do they need to warn that anything may be imminent?” the former national security official said. | “How many freaking times do they need to warn that anything may be imminent?” the former national security official said. |
The Biden administration’s strategy has garnered some support, with one current senior intelligence official arguing the “cost-benefit analysis” has so far worked out in America’s favor. | The Biden administration’s strategy has garnered some support, with one current senior intelligence official arguing the “cost-benefit analysis” has so far worked out in America’s favor. |
Calder Walton, a Harvard intelligence historian, summed up the Biden administration’s information dump strategy as “high risk,” comparing it to late President Ronald Reagan and his administration insisting that a Korean Air Lines passenger plane had been shot down deliberately by the Soviet Union in 1983. It would later emerge that it was not intentional. | Calder Walton, a Harvard intelligence historian, summed up the Biden administration’s information dump strategy as “high risk,” comparing it to late President Ronald Reagan and his administration insisting that a Korean Air Lines passenger plane had been shot down deliberately by the Soviet Union in 1983. It would later emerge that it was not intentional. |
“The result was that the Reagan administration undermined its criticism of the Soviet government by overstating its case,” Walton said. | “The result was that the Reagan administration undermined its criticism of the Soviet government by overstating its case,” Walton said. |
Others pointed to the chaotic withdrawal from Afghanistan as possibly motivating the administration now to be more hawkish in their approach. | Others pointed to the chaotic withdrawal from Afghanistan as possibly motivating the administration now to be more hawkish in their approach. |
“They know they have to be seen as a dependable ally,” a former intelligence official said. Meanwhile, an anonymous senior Democratic congressional aide echoed the sentiment and said the “withdrawal experience” – in which the Taliban quickly regained control and multiple US service members died – may be making the administration “more susceptible to bad hawkish advice.” | “They know they have to be seen as a dependable ally,” a former intelligence official said. Meanwhile, an anonymous senior Democratic congressional aide echoed the sentiment and said the “withdrawal experience” – in which the Taliban quickly regained control and multiple US service members died – may be making the administration “more susceptible to bad hawkish advice.” |
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