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| Version 1 | Version 2 |
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| Guardian Essential poll: Indigenous voice retains majority support but opposition hardens | Guardian Essential poll: Indigenous voice retains majority support but opposition hardens |
| (4 months later) | |
| No voters to constitutionally entrenched body remain at 40%, while Coalition leader Peter Dutton sees approval drop to 44% | No voters to constitutionally entrenched body remain at 40%, while Coalition leader Peter Dutton sees approval drop to 44% |
| Opposition to the Indigenous voice to parliament is hardening although the proposed constitutional change enjoys majority support with 60% in favour, the latest Guardian Essential poll finds. | Opposition to the Indigenous voice to parliament is hardening although the proposed constitutional change enjoys majority support with 60% in favour, the latest Guardian Essential poll finds. |
| The poll of 1,136 voters, released on Tuesday, found those who described themselves as a “hard no” against the voice was up three points to 26%, with “soft nos” down by three points to 14%. | The poll of 1,136 voters, released on Tuesday, found those who described themselves as a “hard no” against the voice was up three points to 26%, with “soft nos” down by three points to 14%. |
| Voters who describe themselves as a “hard yes” make up 32%, while 27% say they are a “soft yes” to adding a voice to represent Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islanders to the constitution. | Voters who describe themselves as a “hard yes” make up 32%, while 27% say they are a “soft yes” to adding a voice to represent Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islanders to the constitution. |
| The poll was conducted from Wednesday last week – one day after the Liberal MP Julian Leeser quit the shadow frontbench over the party’s decision to oppose the voice – to Sunday. | The poll was conducted from Wednesday last week – one day after the Liberal MP Julian Leeser quit the shadow frontbench over the party’s decision to oppose the voice – to Sunday. |
| As the opposition leader, Peter Dutton, travelled to Alice Springs to campaign against the voice, opposition to the constitutionally entrenched body remained steady at 40%, in line with results in March. | As the opposition leader, Peter Dutton, travelled to Alice Springs to campaign against the voice, opposition to the constitutionally entrenched body remained steady at 40%, in line with results in March. |
| Dutton recorded a net approval rating of minus eight, with 44% of respondents saying they disapprove of his performance as opposition leader, and 36% in support. Just 7% strongly approved of his performance, with 21% strongly disapproving. | Dutton recorded a net approval rating of minus eight, with 44% of respondents saying they disapprove of his performance as opposition leader, and 36% in support. Just 7% strongly approved of his performance, with 21% strongly disapproving. |
| By contrast the prime minister, Anthony Albanese, enjoyed a net favourability rating of +15%, with 51% approving of his performance and 36% disapproving. | By contrast the prime minister, Anthony Albanese, enjoyed a net favourability rating of +15%, with 51% approving of his performance and 36% disapproving. |
| Support for the voice among Labor and Coalition voters was down two points in both camps, to 76% and 41% respectively. This was offset by increases in support of four points among Greens voters, up to 81%, and independent and minor parties up to 45%. | Support for the voice among Labor and Coalition voters was down two points in both camps, to 76% and 41% respectively. This was offset by increases in support of four points among Greens voters, up to 81%, and independent and minor parties up to 45%. |
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| A majority in all states supported the voice – including 55% in Queensland – although smaller sample sizes of a few hundred voters in each state increase variability in these results. | A majority in all states supported the voice – including 55% in Queensland – although smaller sample sizes of a few hundred voters in each state increase variability in these results. |
| When no voters were asked why they oppose the voice, 59% said it “won’t make a real difference to the lives of ordinary Indigenous Australians” compared with 41% who said it “will give Indigenous Australians rights and privileges that other Australians don’t have”. | When no voters were asked why they oppose the voice, 59% said it “won’t make a real difference to the lives of ordinary Indigenous Australians” compared with 41% who said it “will give Indigenous Australians rights and privileges that other Australians don’t have”. |
| Among soft yes voters, 53% cited lack of a real difference as their “biggest concern” while 47% cited concern it may give “rights and privileges” others don’t have. | Among soft yes voters, 53% cited lack of a real difference as their “biggest concern” while 47% cited concern it may give “rights and privileges” others don’t have. |
| Voters were split on Dutton and the Liberals’ motives in opposing the voice, with 52% accusing them of “just playing politics” and 48% responding that they think their concerns are “genuine”. | Voters were split on Dutton and the Liberals’ motives in opposing the voice, with 52% accusing them of “just playing politics” and 48% responding that they think their concerns are “genuine”. |
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| A majority of voters said Labor is “genuinely trying to make Australia a better place” (60%); is “trying to bring the country together” (56%); and “understands the issues facing women” (52%). | A majority of voters said Labor is “genuinely trying to make Australia a better place” (60%); is “trying to bring the country together” (56%); and “understands the issues facing women” (52%). |
| But 55% said Labor was “out of touch with ordinary people”, perhaps reflecting concerns in earlier surveys about the desire for more cost-of-living relief. | But 55% said Labor was “out of touch with ordinary people”, perhaps reflecting concerns in earlier surveys about the desire for more cost-of-living relief. |
| The Liberals rated highly for being “out of touch with ordinary people” (65%) and “disorganised” (60%). The Liberals rated poorly on “understands the issues facing women” and being “trustworthy”, propositions which just 39% of respondents agreed with. | The Liberals rated highly for being “out of touch with ordinary people” (65%) and “disorganised” (60%). The Liberals rated poorly on “understands the issues facing women” and being “trustworthy”, propositions which just 39% of respondents agreed with. |
| As the Attorney-General’s Department conducts consultations on proposed privacy law reforms, 25% of respondents said the right to privacy is adequately protected by current laws, with 53% saying it was not and 22% unsure. | As the Attorney-General’s Department conducts consultations on proposed privacy law reforms, 25% of respondents said the right to privacy is adequately protected by current laws, with 53% saying it was not and 22% unsure. |
| In 2022 the Albanese government passed a bill increasing penalties for companies that fail to protect customer data in the wake of major data breaches at telco Optus and health insurer Medibank. | In 2022 the Albanese government passed a bill increasing penalties for companies that fail to protect customer data in the wake of major data breaches at telco Optus and health insurer Medibank. |
| The proposed reforms are considering greater control of personal information, including the ability to opt out of targeted ads, erase their data and sue for serious breaches of privacy. | The proposed reforms are considering greater control of personal information, including the ability to opt out of targeted ads, erase their data and sue for serious breaches of privacy. |
| The Essential poll found majority support for a range of measures to improve privacy: raising the level of responsibility for organisations that hold personal information (73%); allowing individuals to take legal action against organisations that issue or fail to protect personal information (70%); controls on facial recognition (60%); and defining personal information to protect detail of behaviour online (60%). | The Essential poll found majority support for a range of measures to improve privacy: raising the level of responsibility for organisations that hold personal information (73%); allowing individuals to take legal action against organisations that issue or fail to protect personal information (70%); controls on facial recognition (60%); and defining personal information to protect detail of behaviour online (60%). |
| Support for these measures was relatively even across political lines, but there were large disparities based on respondents’ age. | Support for these measures was relatively even across political lines, but there were large disparities based on respondents’ age. |
| While 54% of respondents aged 18 to 34 backed more responsibility for organisations holding information and the right to take legal action, this increased to 91% and 85% in the 55 and over age bracket. | While 54% of respondents aged 18 to 34 backed more responsibility for organisations holding information and the right to take legal action, this increased to 91% and 85% in the 55 and over age bracket. |
| Less than half (48%) of those aged 18 to 34 supported controls on facial recognition and defining personal information to protect detail of behaviour online. | Less than half (48%) of those aged 18 to 34 supported controls on facial recognition and defining personal information to protect detail of behaviour online. |