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Shock fall in industrial output | Shock fall in industrial output |
(about 1 hour later) | |
UK industrial output fell unexpectedly in August, confounding analysts' expectations of an increase and casting doubt on the strength of the economy. | UK industrial output fell unexpectedly in August, confounding analysts' expectations of an increase and casting doubt on the strength of the economy. |
It fell 2.5% from July, the biggest such fall since January, the Office for National Statistics (ONS) said. | It fell 2.5% from July, the biggest such fall since January, the Office for National Statistics (ONS) said. |
The same measure of output was down 11.2% year-on-year, dashing hopes of a speedy economic recovery. | |
Manufacturing output, which excludes energy production, fell 1.9% from July and 11.3% year-on-year. | |
The ONS said there was evidence that factories had been ramping up production in July and then shutting down for holidays in August. | The ONS said there was evidence that factories had been ramping up production in July and then shutting down for holidays in August. |
Output was also hit by factories closing for maintenance. | Output was also hit by factories closing for maintenance. |
"August's dismal industrial production figures will dampen some of the recent optimism about the economy's apparent bounce-back," said Vicky Redwood, UK economist at Capital Economics. | "August's dismal industrial production figures will dampen some of the recent optimism about the economy's apparent bounce-back," said Vicky Redwood, UK economist at Capital Economics. |
"A return to positive overall GDP growth in the third quarter [from July to September] now looks less certain." | "A return to positive overall GDP growth in the third quarter [from July to September] now looks less certain." |
Call for stimulus | Call for stimulus |
There was a decrease in oil and gas production of 7.7% due to planned maintenance. | There was a decrease in oil and gas production of 7.7% due to planned maintenance. |
But there were big rises in production of wood and wood products and transport equipment. | But there were big rises in production of wood and wood products and transport equipment. |
Industrial production in the three months from June to August fell 0.2% compared with the previous three months and 10.4% compared with the same period last year. | Industrial production in the three months from June to August fell 0.2% compared with the previous three months and 10.4% compared with the same period last year. |
Motor vehicle production, which had given a boost to manufacturing figures in July, fell 2.6% in August. | Motor vehicle production, which had given a boost to manufacturing figures in July, fell 2.6% in August. |
Earlier, the Society of Motor Manufacturers and Traders (SMMT) announced that sales of new cars rose 11.4% in September compared with the same month last year, helped by the government's scrappage scheme. | Earlier, the Society of Motor Manufacturers and Traders (SMMT) announced that sales of new cars rose 11.4% in September compared with the same month last year, helped by the government's scrappage scheme. |
Also, the Halifax said that UK house prices rose for the third consecutive month in September and showed the first quarterly increase for two years. | Also, the Halifax said that UK house prices rose for the third consecutive month in September and showed the first quarterly increase for two years. |
The Bank of England's policymakers begin their latest two-day rate-setting meeting on Wednesday, but are not expected to either change interest rates or their policy of quantitative easing. | The Bank of England's policymakers begin their latest two-day rate-setting meeting on Wednesday, but are not expected to either change interest rates or their policy of quantitative easing. |
The British Chambers of Commerce (BCC) said the manufacturing figures showed that more money needed to be allocated to the quantitative easing programme. | The British Chambers of Commerce (BCC) said the manufacturing figures showed that more money needed to be allocated to the quantitative easing programme. |
"The weakness in bank lending poses serious obstacles to a sustainable recovery," said David Kern, chief economist at the BCC. | "The weakness in bank lending poses serious obstacles to a sustainable recovery," said David Kern, chief economist at the BCC. |
"We urge the MPC to increase the quantitative easing stimulus to £200bn and to take other measures aimed at increasing bank lending." | "We urge the MPC to increase the quantitative easing stimulus to £200bn and to take other measures aimed at increasing bank lending." |
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