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UK inflation rate: How quickly are prices rising? | UK inflation rate: How quickly are prices rising? |
(14 days later) | |
Prices in the UK rose by 3.4% in the 12 months to May, fuelled by higher food prices, including chocolate. | |
It means inflation remains above the Bank of England's 2% target. | |
The Bank moves interest rates up and down to try to keep inflation at that level, and has cut interest rates four times since August 2024. | |
What is inflation? | What is inflation? |
Inflation is the increase in the price of something over time. | Inflation is the increase in the price of something over time. |
For example, if a bottle of milk costs £1 but is £1.05 a year later, then annual milk inflation is 5%. | For example, if a bottle of milk costs £1 but is £1.05 a year later, then annual milk inflation is 5%. |
How is the UK's inflation rate measured? | How is the UK's inflation rate measured? |
The prices of hundreds of everyday items, including food and fuel, are tracked by the Office for National Statistics (ONS). | The prices of hundreds of everyday items, including food and fuel, are tracked by the Office for National Statistics (ONS). |
This virtual "basket of goods" is regularly updated to reflect shopping trends, with virtual reality headsets and yoga mats added in 2025, and local newspaper adverts removed. | This virtual "basket of goods" is regularly updated to reflect shopping trends, with virtual reality headsets and yoga mats added in 2025, and local newspaper adverts removed. |
The ONS monitors price changes over the previous 12 months to calculate inflation. | The ONS monitors price changes over the previous 12 months to calculate inflation. |
The main inflation measure is called the Consumer Prices Index (CPI), external, and the latest figure is published every month. | The main inflation measure is called the Consumer Prices Index (CPI), external, and the latest figure is published every month. |
CPI was 3.4% in the year to May 2025, the same rate as in the 12 months to April. | |
The Bank also considers other measures such as "core inflation" when deciding whether and how to change rates. | The Bank also considers other measures such as "core inflation" when deciding whether and how to change rates. |
It doesn't include food or energy prices because they tend to be very volatile, so can be a better indication of longer term trends. | |
Core CPI was 3.5% in the year to May, down from 3.8% in April. | |
Why are prices still rising? | Why are prices still rising? |
Inflation has fallen significantly since hitting 11.1% in October 2022, which was the highest rate for 40 years. | Inflation has fallen significantly since hitting 11.1% in October 2022, which was the highest rate for 40 years. |
However, that doesn't mean prices are falling - just that they are rising less quickly. | However, that doesn't mean prices are falling - just that they are rising less quickly. |
Inflation soared in 2022 because oil and gas were in greater demand after the Covid pandemic, and energy prices surged again when Russia invaded Ukraine. | Inflation soared in 2022 because oil and gas were in greater demand after the Covid pandemic, and energy prices surged again when Russia invaded Ukraine. |
It then remained well above the 2% target partly because of higher food prices. | It then remained well above the 2% target partly because of higher food prices. |
Why does putting up interest rates help to lower inflation? | Why does putting up interest rates help to lower inflation? |
When inflation was well above its 2% target, the Bank of England increased interest rates to 5.25%, a 16-year high. | When inflation was well above its 2% target, the Bank of England increased interest rates to 5.25%, a 16-year high. |
The idea is that if you make borrowing more expensive, people have less money to spend. People may also be encouraged to save more. | The idea is that if you make borrowing more expensive, people have less money to spend. People may also be encouraged to save more. |
In turn, this reduces demand for goods and slows price rises. | In turn, this reduces demand for goods and slows price rises. |
But it is a balancing act - increasing borrowing costs risks harming the economy. | But it is a balancing act - increasing borrowing costs risks harming the economy. |
For example, homeowners face higher mortgage repayments, which can outweigh better savings deals. | For example, homeowners face higher mortgage repayments, which can outweigh better savings deals. |
Businesses also borrow less, making them less likely to create jobs. Some may cut staff and reduce investment. | Businesses also borrow less, making them less likely to create jobs. Some may cut staff and reduce investment. |
What is happening to UK interest rates and when will they go down again? | |
The Bank of England cut rates in August and November 2024, and again in February and May 2025, taking rates to 4.25%. | The Bank of England cut rates in August and November 2024, and again in February and May 2025, taking rates to 4.25%. |
It held rates in June, but Bank of England governor Andrew Bailey indicated that further "gradual and careful" cuts could follow - perhaps as early as August. | |
However Mr Bailey also warned that the introduction of US tariffs has shown "how unpredictable the global economy can be". | |
The Bank now expects the tariffs to slow the UK economy and lead to lower inflation than expected. | |
It had previously said it thought inflation would spike at 3.7% between July and September 2025 before dropping back towards the end of 2027. | |
When will interest rates go down again? | When will interest rates go down again? |
Are wages keeping up with inflation? | Are wages keeping up with inflation? |
The latest official figures, external show that regular pay in Great Britain grew by more than inflation between February and April. | |
Average annual growth in pay (excluding bonuses) during the three-month period was 5.2%. | |
After taking inflation into account, wages grew by 2.1% between February and April. | |
As is usually the case, private sector earnings increased by slightly more than public sector pay. | |
Five tips when asking for a pay rise | Five tips when asking for a pay rise |
How to get a job: Six expert tips for finding work | How to get a job: Six expert tips for finding work |
Who are the millions of Britons not working? | Who are the millions of Britons not working? |
What is happening to inflation and interest rates in Europe and the US? | What is happening to inflation and interest rates in Europe and the US? |
The US and EU countries have also been trying to limit price increases. | The US and EU countries have also been trying to limit price increases. |
The inflation rate for countries using the euro was 2.2% in April 2025, the same as in March and down slightly from 2.3% in February. | The inflation rate for countries using the euro was 2.2% in April 2025, the same as in March and down slightly from 2.3% in February. |
In June 2024, the European Central Bank (ECB) cut its main interest rate from an all-time high of 4% to 3.75%, the first fall in five years. | In June 2024, the European Central Bank (ECB) cut its main interest rate from an all-time high of 4% to 3.75%, the first fall in five years. |
In June 2025, after several cuts, its key rate stood at 2%. | |
Inflation in the US fell to 2.4% in May, which was up from 2.3% the previous month. It remains above the US central bank's 2% target. | |
After a string of cuts in the latter part of 2024, the US central bank again chose to hold rates at its June 2025 meeting, the fourth hold in a row. | |
That leaves its key interest rate unchanged in a range of 4.25% to 4.5%. | That leaves its key interest rate unchanged in a range of 4.25% to 4.5%. |
The Federal Reserve has repeatedly come under attack from President Trump, who wants to see further interest rate cuts. |