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Russia elections: Protesters arrested on final day of vote set to give Vladimir Putin fifth term - BBC News | Russia elections: Protesters arrested on final day of vote set to give Vladimir Putin fifth term - BBC News |
(32 minutes later) | |
Sergei Goryashko | |
BBC News Russian | |
Many believe it’s a foregone conclusion that the incumbent Vladimir Putin will claim victory and become president for the fifth time. | |
So why | |
is the Kremlin going to the trouble of staging the election? | |
Show of support | |
Elections in Russia are rarely nail-biting events, | |
but they are important to legitimise those in power and to show that the | |
opinion of the people matters. | |
This time it is especially important for Vladimir | |
Putin not only to win, but also to see a high turnout at polling stations and a | |
high proportion of support, as the country is involved in a full-scale war | |
which will have lasting consequences both for Russia and for the wider world. | |
The war and the election | |
Putin has appeared at many events during his | |
campaign, avoiding talking about the “special | |
military operation” - Moscow’s term for the invasion of Ukraine. | |
Even when left out of the campaign, the war is a | |
key component of media narratives and Russians cannot avoid it. | |
High turnout and high support for the president | |
will add legitimacy to his subsequent decisions, many of which will be directly | |
linked to the invasion. | |
What is likely to change? | |
There are no independent opinion polls in Russia | |
and most Russians get their news from state media, which is heavily biased in | |
favour of Vladimir Putin and his policies. | |
Yet experts believe that more Russians are | |
sceptical about the government than it may appear, but they are too afraid to | |
speak out. | |
The most likely outcome of this election is a | |
convincing victory for Putin, at least on paper. | |
But a low turnout | |
will mean that support for the president has weakened and this in turn may | |
bring even tighter state controls and further slide Russia into an atmosphere | |
of fear and oppression. | |
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