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| Warnings over high unemployment | |
| (about 1 hour later) | |
| An economist has warned Wales faces years of high unemployment as it tries to claw its way out of recession. | An economist has warned Wales faces years of high unemployment as it tries to claw its way out of recession. |
| Unemployment in the nation will not return to pre-recession levels for five or six years, said Professor David Blackaby, of Swansea University. | Unemployment in the nation will not return to pre-recession levels for five or six years, said Professor David Blackaby, of Swansea University. |
| Wales has one of the UK's highest unemployment rates with an extra 50,000 jobseekers since the recession began. | Wales has one of the UK's highest unemployment rates with an extra 50,000 jobseekers since the recession began. |
| Prof Blackaby told BBC's Week In Week Out there were also "damaging" social consequences for some communities. | Prof Blackaby told BBC's Week In Week Out there were also "damaging" social consequences for some communities. |
| The academic is featured in the programme which is broadcast on BBC 1 Wales on Tuesday night. | |
| "GDP is growing so slowly, high unemployment is going to be with us for two years - or three years at best - and we won't see it returning to the levels before recession for five or six years," he said. | |
| There are not only economic consequences, there are also social consequences, and those social consequences are particularly damaging for many in our communities in Wales Prof David Blackaby, economist | |
| "We need to get the economy growing at rates it was before the recession to see unemployment come down. | |
| "On top of that if we've got cuts in the public sector coming through then we won't see a levelling off in unemployment. We may see unemployment continue to rise not only next year, but the year after. | "On top of that if we've got cuts in the public sector coming through then we won't see a levelling off in unemployment. We may see unemployment continue to rise not only next year, but the year after. |
| "I can see unemployment levels in Wales reaching 140,000 next year. | "I can see unemployment levels in Wales reaching 140,000 next year. |
| "On a worse case scenario it could be up to 160,000 next year if the cuts in the public sector come through." | "On a worse case scenario it could be up to 160,000 next year if the cuts in the public sector come through." |
| Prof Blackaby added: "There are not only economic consequences, there are also social consequences, and those social consequences are particularly damaging for many in our communities in Wales." | Prof Blackaby added: "There are not only economic consequences, there are also social consequences, and those social consequences are particularly damaging for many in our communities in Wales." |
| Trudie Samuel, 19, from Treharris, Merthyr Tydfil, was one of 104 people competing for a receptionist job at Merthyr Tydfil council. | Trudie Samuel, 19, from Treharris, Merthyr Tydfil, was one of 104 people competing for a receptionist job at Merthyr Tydfil council. |
| She has good GCSEs and admin and business qualifications, but she knows it is a competitive market for jobs. | She has good GCSEs and admin and business qualifications, but she knows it is a competitive market for jobs. |
| "I've put CVs into shops that haven't even vacancies available. I've been flat-out over August but I've had nothing - there's no chance. | "I've put CVs into shops that haven't even vacancies available. I've been flat-out over August but I've had nothing - there's no chance. |
| We've had over a hundred applications for this job, but we've had over 200 applicants for some clerical positions over the last six months Paul Williams, Merthyr Tydfil council | We've had over a hundred applications for this job, but we've had over 200 applicants for some clerical positions over the last six months Paul Williams, Merthyr Tydfil council |
| "You're on a downer then you feel like giving up," she said. | "You're on a downer then you feel like giving up," she said. |
| "I don't think there's much chance, especially for young people who've got no experience in work, they just don't look at them twice." | "I don't think there's much chance, especially for young people who've got no experience in work, they just don't look at them twice." |
| Council human resources officer, Paul Williams, said that trend for large numbers of applicants for council jobs is becoming commonplace. | Council human resources officer, Paul Williams, said that trend for large numbers of applicants for council jobs is becoming commonplace. |
| "We've had over a hundred applications for this job, but we've had over 200 applicants for some clerical positions over the last six months. | "We've had over a hundred applications for this job, but we've had over 200 applicants for some clerical positions over the last six months. |
| "We used to get 30 or 40 for a similar post if I went back 12 months ago," Mr Williams said. | "We used to get 30 or 40 for a similar post if I went back 12 months ago," Mr Williams said. |
| The programme follow Ms Samuel and three other job-seekers as they try to find work. | The programme follow Ms Samuel and three other job-seekers as they try to find work. |
| Week In Week Out is broadcast on BBC Wales at 2235 GMT on Tuesday. | Week In Week Out is broadcast on BBC Wales at 2235 GMT on Tuesday. |