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Labour by-election win predicted | Labour by-election win predicted |
(10 minutes later) | |
Counting is under way in the Glasgow North East Westminster by-election, amid predictions of a Labour victory. | Counting is under way in the Glasgow North East Westminster by-election, amid predictions of a Labour victory. |
The contest was sparked after former Commons Speaker Michael Martin stood down over his handling of the Westminster expenses scandal. | The contest was sparked after former Commons Speaker Michael Martin stood down over his handling of the Westminster expenses scandal. |
SNP deputy leader Nicola Sturgeon told BBC Scotland she expected Labour to hold the seat comfortably. | |
The result in the Glasgow North East by-election is expected in the early hours of Friday. | The result in the Glasgow North East by-election is expected in the early hours of Friday. |
Labour has been the main political force in the area for the last 74 years, with Mr Martin - now Lord Martin - holding the seat in the 2005 General Election with a 10,134 vote majority. | Labour has been the main political force in the area for the last 74 years, with Mr Martin - now Lord Martin - holding the seat in the 2005 General Election with a 10,134 vote majority. |
The constituency neighbours the Glasgow East seat - which the Nationalists snatched from Labour last year in a stunning by-election victory. | The constituency neighbours the Glasgow East seat - which the Nationalists snatched from Labour last year in a stunning by-election victory. |
Nicola Sturgeon, the SNP's deputy leader, conceded that her party seemed to have failed to repeat that victory. | Nicola Sturgeon, the SNP's deputy leader, conceded that her party seemed to have failed to repeat that victory. |
Brian TaylorPolitical editor More gossip from inside the counting hall. | Brian TaylorPolitical editor More gossip from inside the counting hall. |
The first boxes to be counted are from the more deprived, northern part of the constituency. | The first boxes to be counted are from the more deprived, northern part of the constituency. |
Looks like Labour is wining comfortably, probably taking more than 50% of the vote. | Looks like Labour is wining comfortably, probably taking more than 50% of the vote. |
Read Brian Taylor's blog | Read Brian Taylor's blog |
She said: "I'm not predicting an SNP victory, I think Labour will hold the seat comfortably. | |
"This was very difficult territory for the SNP. In Glasgow North East the SNP don't have the same political base." | "This was very difficult territory for the SNP. In Glasgow North East the SNP don't have the same political base." |
Scottish Secretary Jim Murphy said it was possible his party could pick up more than half of all votes cast. | |
"Things have gone well in terms of the Labour campaign," he said. | "Things have gone well in terms of the Labour campaign," he said. |
"Gordon Brown visited the constituency, he didn't visit Glasgow East, there's a real appreciation across Glasgow about the way Gordon Brown has handled this recession." | "Gordon Brown visited the constituency, he didn't visit Glasgow East, there's a real appreciation across Glasgow about the way Gordon Brown has handled this recession." |
Prof John Curtice, of Strathclyde University, also told the BBC he expected Labour to win "fairly comfortably". | Prof John Curtice, of Strathclyde University, also told the BBC he expected Labour to win "fairly comfortably". |
Scottish Conservative deputy leader Murdo Fraser told the BBC this was a seat where his party was often on the brink of losing its deposit. | |
'Very energetic' | 'Very energetic' |
"There's no tradition of people voting Tory here in a Westminster election," he said. | "There's no tradition of people voting Tory here in a Westminster election," he said. |
But he praised Tory candidate Ruth Davidson for fighting a "very energetic" campaign. | But he praised Tory candidate Ruth Davidson for fighting a "very energetic" campaign. |
Liberal Democrat Westminster leader Alistair Carmichael, said: "We've always found it more difficult, particularly in the west central belt of Scotland. | |
"Not least because we're in a different political landscape here, and there is another obvious repository for protest votes in Scotland and that's the SNP." | "Not least because we're in a different political landscape here, and there is another obvious repository for protest votes in Scotland and that's the SNP." |
Observers have predicted the voter turnout percentage could be down in the mid-30s, the Press Association reported. | Observers have predicted the voter turnout percentage could be down in the mid-30s, the Press Association reported. |
There are a total of 62,475 eligible voters in Glasgow North East, which saw a voter turnout of 45.8% in 2005. | There are a total of 62,475 eligible voters in Glasgow North East, which saw a voter turnout of 45.8% in 2005. |
A total of 13 candidates are standing. | A total of 13 candidates are standing. |