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What can Keir Starmer do in a world buffeted by Donald Trump? | What can Keir Starmer do in a world buffeted by Donald Trump? |
(about 4 hours later) | |
Prime Minister Sir Keir Starmer visiting a Jaguar Land Rover car factory on Monday along with Chancellor of the Exchequer Rachel Reeves | Prime Minister Sir Keir Starmer visiting a Jaguar Land Rover car factory on Monday along with Chancellor of the Exchequer Rachel Reeves |
As if the economic picture in the UK wasn't shaky already, it has now got shakier still. | As if the economic picture in the UK wasn't shaky already, it has now got shakier still. |
The cost of living is continuing to bite for many and people will worry about the prospect of recession. | The cost of living is continuing to bite for many and people will worry about the prospect of recession. |
It is the last thing the government could do with. It is the last thing millions of families could do with. | It is the last thing the government could do with. It is the last thing millions of families could do with. |
New polling for More In Common suggests two-thirds of people in the UK are worried about America's tariffs, with just over half fearing it will make cost-of-living pressures even greater. | New polling for More In Common suggests two-thirds of people in the UK are worried about America's tariffs, with just over half fearing it will make cost-of-living pressures even greater. |
And nearly twice as many people in the UK would support the government retaliating with its own tariffs on America as those who oppose the idea. | And nearly twice as many people in the UK would support the government retaliating with its own tariffs on America as those who oppose the idea. |
The government is maintaining its reluctance to do this, while keeping the option open. | The government is maintaining its reluctance to do this, while keeping the option open. |
The prime minister has said that the world has "fundamentally changed", which poses the question of whether he and his government are willing to fundamentally change their outlook and policies. | The prime minister has said that the world has "fundamentally changed", which poses the question of whether he and his government are willing to fundamentally change their outlook and policies. |
Firstly, that promise not to put up income tax, VAT or National Insurance. | Firstly, that promise not to put up income tax, VAT or National Insurance. |
National Insurance paid by employers has gone up but, responding to a question from GB News, Sir Keir Starmer repeated his promise not to put it up for employees or raise income tax or VAT between now and the next general election. | National Insurance paid by employers has gone up but, responding to a question from GB News, Sir Keir Starmer repeated his promise not to put it up for employees or raise income tax or VAT between now and the next general election. |
And what, asked Sky News, about his self-imposed restrictions on government borrowing, known as his fiscal rules? | And what, asked Sky News, about his self-imposed restrictions on government borrowing, known as his fiscal rules? |
My eyebrows weren't the only ones that were raised a little when, while addressing reporters' questions at the Jaguar Land Rover factory in Solihull in the West Midlands on Monday, he swerved a direct answer on whether he might loosen those rules. | My eyebrows weren't the only ones that were raised a little when, while addressing reporters' questions at the Jaguar Land Rover factory in Solihull in the West Midlands on Monday, he swerved a direct answer on whether he might loosen those rules. |
But moments after the event finished, his team insisted they were "iron clad", as one senior figure put it. | But moments after the event finished, his team insisted they were "iron clad", as one senior figure put it. |
This would mean, if the economy does take a hit from the tariffs, that everything else being equal, budgets for government departments will be tighter than currently anticipated. | This would mean, if the economy does take a hit from the tariffs, that everything else being equal, budgets for government departments will be tighter than currently anticipated. |
For now, the prime minister and senior ministers are doing what plenty of governments around the world are doing: scrambling to work out how to respond and hitting the phones to ask each other just that. | For now, the prime minister and senior ministers are doing what plenty of governments around the world are doing: scrambling to work out how to respond and hitting the phones to ask each other just that. |
Ministers are fast-forwarding announcements originally planned for their Industrial Strategy due in the summer, such as that loosening of the rules over the phasing out of petrol and diesel-only cars. | Ministers are fast-forwarding announcements originally planned for their Industrial Strategy due in the summer, such as that loosening of the rules over the phasing out of petrol and diesel-only cars. |
There is plenty of talk about the "intensity" of negotiations with Washington over a free trade deal but also an acknowledgement privately that they have little idea what President Donald Trump might do next. | There is plenty of talk about the "intensity" of negotiations with Washington over a free trade deal but also an acknowledgement privately that they have little idea what President Donald Trump might do next. |
That is far from a lonely ignorance, but no less discombobulating. | That is far from a lonely ignorance, but no less discombobulating. |
And expect more public talk than there was about, for instance, a free trade deal with India – an idea long in discussion, perhaps now more important to both countries. | And expect more public talk than there was about, for instance, a free trade deal with India – an idea long in discussion, perhaps now more important to both countries. |
"There is a renewed urgency to get trade deals, and a real possibility of getting this one over the line," one government figure told me. | "There is a renewed urgency to get trade deals, and a real possibility of getting this one over the line," one government figure told me. |
There is little doubt the government is leaning into this moment of turbulence – perhaps it has little option? The question is how much difference it can make, as it is buffeted and the world is buffeted by Donald Trump. | There is little doubt the government is leaning into this moment of turbulence – perhaps it has little option? The question is how much difference it can make, as it is buffeted and the world is buffeted by Donald Trump. |
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