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Economy shrinks less than thought Economy shrinks less than thought
(30 minutes later)
The UK economy contracted at a slower pace than originally estimated between July and September, figures show.The UK economy contracted at a slower pace than originally estimated between July and September, figures show.
Third quarter economic output shrank by 0.3%, which was better than the original estimate of 0.4%. Third quarter economic output shrank by 0.3%, an improvement on the original estimate of a 0.4% contraction.
The first estimate surprised analysts by showing that the economy was still in recession and not growing.The first estimate surprised analysts by showing that the economy was still in recession and not growing.
The UK economy has now contracted for six consecutive quarters. That is the longest unbroken stretch of declines since records began in 1955. The new figures confirm the economy has contracted for six consecutive quarters - the longest unbroken stretch of declines since records began in 1955.
The UK is lagging many of its rivals. France and Germany left recession in the second quarter of this year. ANALYSIS Stephanie Flanders, BBC economics editor We may not like the fact that Britain failed to follow the rest of the G7 out of recession in the third quarter, but we're stuck with it. At least for now.
The first revision of that "shocking" first estimate for GDP is in the right direction, but it doesn't change the fact that the UK is still technically in recession.
And to judge by the robust defence of its numbers also produced today by the ONS, our official statistical agency doesn't expect later revisions to change the picture substantially.
They now believe that the service sector and manufacturing did a little better than first thought, whereas the production industries fared a little worse. But these are modest changes.
Many more forward-looking surveys and leading indicators - national and international - paint a brighter picture of the UK economy today.
But with the possible exception of the labour market data, that broad-based improvement is still not showing itself in the data collected by the ONS.
The UK is lagging many of its rivals. France, Germany Japan and the US have all already exited recession.
Alan Clarke from BNP Paribas said: "We still think there are further upward revisions to come [to the third quarter figures]. I think it will end up at close to zero but it takes time."Alan Clarke from BNP Paribas said: "We still think there are further upward revisions to come [to the third quarter figures]. I think it will end up at close to zero but it takes time."
Bank of England policymaker Andrew Sentance said earlier there were signs the UK economy had returned to growth in the second half of this year. The latest set of figures from the Office for National Statistics (ONS) contained upgrades for the motor sector, which may have been due to the impact of the government's car scrappage scheme.
"We do know that motor trades were a little bit stronger and it's possible, though we can't be sure, that the car scrappage scheme had a little bit more effect than we'd previously allowed for," said Joe Grice, chief economist at the ONS.
Output in the service sector was revised to a fall of 0.1%, an improvement to the original estimate of a 0.2% decline.
The manufacturing sector was also revised to a fall of 0.1% from the previous estimate of 0.2%. However, lower oil and gas extraction meant that overall production fell by more than previously estimated.
Earlier on Wednesday, Bank of England monetary policy committee member Andrew Sentance said there were signs the UK economy had returned to growth in the second half of this year.