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| Monique Ryan wins Kooyong while Liberal candidate Gisele Kapterian takes Bradfield | |
| (about 2 hours later) | |
| Amelia Hamer could only secure small primary vote swing towards Liberals in Kooyong, while Greens MP Elizabeth Watson-Brown holds inner-Brisbane seat of Ryan | |
| The independent MP Monique Ryan has won Kooyong in Melbourne, holding off her Liberal challenger, but Nicolette Boele, another Climate 200-backed candidate, is expected to fall short on Sydney’s north shore. | The independent MP Monique Ryan has won Kooyong in Melbourne, holding off her Liberal challenger, but Nicolette Boele, another Climate 200-backed candidate, is expected to fall short on Sydney’s north shore. |
| The ABC’s election analyst, Antony Green, on Monday projected that Ryan would maintain her slim lead in the Melbourne seat, where she led by about 700 votes with a few thousand left to count. | The ABC’s election analyst, Antony Green, on Monday projected that Ryan would maintain her slim lead in the Melbourne seat, where she led by about 700 votes with a few thousand left to count. |
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| Amelia Hamer gained a 0.3% primary vote swing toward the Liberals in Kooyong, held by the former Liberal treasurer Josh Frydenberg until 2022, when he was deposed by Ryan. Ryan’s primary vote increased by 3.3%. | Amelia Hamer gained a 0.3% primary vote swing toward the Liberals in Kooyong, held by the former Liberal treasurer Josh Frydenberg until 2022, when he was deposed by Ryan. Ryan’s primary vote increased by 3.3%. |
| In Bradfield, on Sydney’s north shore, the Liberal candidate, Gisele Kapterian, was projected to defeat second-time challenger Boele by a few hundred votes. | In Bradfield, on Sydney’s north shore, the Liberal candidate, Gisele Kapterian, was projected to defeat second-time challenger Boele by a few hundred votes. |
| Kapterian will succeed the retiring shadow minister Paul Fletcher by holding the seat on a razor-thin margin for the Liberals. | Kapterian will succeed the retiring shadow minister Paul Fletcher by holding the seat on a razor-thin margin for the Liberals. |
| Labor was expected to win Bean in the ACT after a surge in support for the independent candidate, Jessie Price, had threatened to knock off David Smith. | Labor was expected to win Bean in the ACT after a surge in support for the independent candidate, Jessie Price, had threatened to knock off David Smith. |
| The southern Canberra seat, which was created in 2019, was surprisingly close, with Price achieving a primary vote of 26.6% but trailing Smith 49.9% to 50.1% on a two-candidate margin. | The southern Canberra seat, which was created in 2019, was surprisingly close, with Price achieving a primary vote of 26.6% but trailing Smith 49.9% to 50.1% on a two-candidate margin. |
| The Greens would hold on to the Brisbane seat of Ryan after a three-cornered contest with Labor and the Liberals, Green said on Monday. | The Greens would hold on to the Brisbane seat of Ryan after a three-cornered contest with Labor and the Liberals, Green said on Monday. |
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| Elizabeth Watson-Brown secured a second term despite suffering a 1.5% drop in first preference votes. The ALP’s Rebecca Hack was up almost 6% on her primary vote. | Elizabeth Watson-Brown secured a second term despite suffering a 1.5% drop in first preference votes. The ALP’s Rebecca Hack was up almost 6% on her primary vote. |
| Four seats remained in doubt more than a week after the election due to complicated preference counting. | Four seats remained in doubt more than a week after the election due to complicated preference counting. |
| The Liberal-held seats of Monash, Longman and Flinders were yet to be determined, while Labor faced a potential upset in Calwell due to a number of independent challengers running against the first-time candidate Basem Abdo. | The Liberal-held seats of Monash, Longman and Flinders were yet to be determined, while Labor faced a potential upset in Calwell due to a number of independent challengers running against the first-time candidate Basem Abdo. |