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UK economy shrank in April as tax rises and US tariffs kicked in | UK economy shrank in April as tax rises and US tariffs kicked in |
(31 minutes later) | |
The UK economy suffered its worst contraction for a year and a half in April as taxes increased for businesses, household bills jumped and exports to the US plunged. | |
The economy shrank by 0.3%, more than the 0.1% fall predicted by experts - marking the steepest monthly decline since October 2023 | The economy shrank by 0.3%, more than the 0.1% fall predicted by experts - marking the steepest monthly decline since October 2023 |
April saw employers' National Insurance and water, energy and council tax bills all rise, while the introduction of tariffs by President Trump led to the largest monthly fall on record in exports to the US. | |
The figures come a day after Chancellor Rachel Reeves set out spending plans aimed at boosting growth, with funding increases for the NHS and defence, but budgets squeezed elsewhere. | The figures come a day after Chancellor Rachel Reeves set out spending plans aimed at boosting growth, with funding increases for the NHS and defence, but budgets squeezed elsewhere. |
In the Spending Review, Reeves prioritised ploughing billions into long-term projects, in a bid to boost economic growth and improve living standards. | |
Many of the chancellor's plans such as new railway lines and the development of new UK nuclear plant Sizewell C will take years, with current day to day spending squeezed. | |
Economists warned the current weak rate of growth meant Reeves could be forced to raise taxes in the autumn Budget. | |
Reeves acknowledged the latest figures were "clearly disappointing" and refused to rule out tax rises, telling the BBC that "no chancellor is able to write another four budgets in the first year of a government, you know how much uncertainty there is in the world at the moment". | |
Monthly figures on the economy are volatile, and the more stable three-month figure to April showed the economy grew by 0.7%, | |
Opposition parties said her previous decision to raise employers' national insurance, which took effect in April, was dragging on growth. | |
Most economists, politicians, and businesses like to see growth rising steadily. | |
That's because it usually means people are spending more, extra jobs are created, more tax is paid, and workers get better pay rises. | |
But growth in the UK has been sluggish for many years. | |
The Office for National Statistics said a poor month for the services sector, which includes businesses ranging from shops and restaurants to hairdressers and financial firms, were behind the contraction in April. | |
Legal firms and property companies also "fared badly", it said, following a strong March which saw many homebuyers rushing to complete purchases to avoid stamp duty increases. | |
Car manufacturing was also weak after the introduction of 25% tariffs on UK vehicles exported to the US. Cars are the UK's biggest US export, with one in eight cars built in Britain shipped across the Atlantic. | |
Trade data showed the value of UK exports decreased by some £2.7bn in April, with goods to America alone falling by £2bn. | |
'More taxes coming' | |
Shadow chancellor Mel Stride said weak UK growth was down to Reeves's economic choices. | |
"The Chancellor should have taken corrective action to fix the problems she has caused. But instead her Spending Review has all but confirmed what many feared: more taxes are coming." | |
In April, employers' National Insurance contributions rose to 15% from 13.8% with the threshold for payments reduced from £9,100 per year to £5,000. | |
Firms also saw minimum wages and business rates go up. | |
Ollie Vaulkhard, director of Vaulkhard group which owns 17 hospitality venues across Newcastle upon Tyne, said it was under pressure from the increases. | |
"Each one of those is manageable - you put them all into a pot, ultimately we've got to charge our customers more," he said. | |
Since April, the government has agreed a deal on tariffs with the US and had also made trade agreements with the European Union and India. | |
Despite the deal agreed with the US, a 10% import tax still applies to most UK goods entering America. | Despite the deal agreed with the US, a 10% import tax still applies to most UK goods entering America. |
Tariff reductions agreed on UK car and steel exports have also not yet come into force, with officials working to finalise the deal by 9 July. | Tariff reductions agreed on UK car and steel exports have also not yet come into force, with officials working to finalise the deal by 9 July. |