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US growth rate revised downwards US growth rate revised downwards
(10 minutes later)
The US economy grew by less than originally estimated between July and September, official figures show.The US economy grew by less than originally estimated between July and September, official figures show.
The latest estimate said the economy grew at an annual pace of 2.2%, down from the previous estimate of 2.8%. The first reading had shown growth of 3.5%.The latest estimate said the economy grew at an annual pace of 2.2%, down from the previous estimate of 2.8%. The first reading had shown growth of 3.5%.
It is the first quarter in which the US economy returned to growth, after four quarters of decline.It is the first quarter in which the US economy returned to growth, after four quarters of decline.
There is concern that the country's high unemployment rate, currently at 10%, could hamper the recovery.There is concern that the country's high unemployment rate, currently at 10%, could hamper the recovery.
If consumers are concerned about where their next pay cheque is coming from, they hold back on spending.If consumers are concerned about where their next pay cheque is coming from, they hold back on spending.
"The recovery is underway, but this does raise concerns about its strength and the prospects for a turnaround in the labour market," said Augustine Faucher at Moody's Economy.com."The recovery is underway, but this does raise concerns about its strength and the prospects for a turnaround in the labour market," said Augustine Faucher at Moody's Economy.com.
US GDP is expressed as an annualised rate, or annual pace, which shows what the annual rate would be if the latest change continued for the rest of the year.US GDP is expressed as an annualised rate, or annual pace, which shows what the annual rate would be if the latest change continued for the rest of the year.
The main factors behind the lower growth were that consumers did not spend as much as first thought, commercial construction was weaker and companies cut back on inventories.The main factors behind the lower growth were that consumers did not spend as much as first thought, commercial construction was weaker and companies cut back on inventories.
Consumer spending was revised to show 2.8% growth compared with the previous estimate of 2.9%.Consumer spending was revised to show 2.8% growth compared with the previous estimate of 2.9%.
Looking forward, Scott Brown, chief economist at Raymond James & Associates expects growth to jump to at least 4% in the fourth quarter because of companies restocking their much-depleted inventories.Looking forward, Scott Brown, chief economist at Raymond James & Associates expects growth to jump to at least 4% in the fourth quarter because of companies restocking their much-depleted inventories.
They have been so dramatically slashed during the recession that even a small pickup in customer demand will force factories to step up production and boost overall economic activity, he said.They have been so dramatically slashed during the recession that even a small pickup in customer demand will force factories to step up production and boost overall economic activity, he said.
Mr Brown predicts growth of about 3% for the whole of 2010, "which is good by historical standards but not enough to bring the unemployment rate down substantially".
"It's going to take a long time before we're firing on all cylinders," he added.