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Migrant Poles return claim denied Migrant Poles return claim denied
(40 minutes later)
A migration expert has disputed claims that half of Britain's Polish immigrants have returned to their home country. A Polish expert on migration says claims that half of all Polish immigrants to Britain have returned home are not true.
The Migration Policy Institute had estimated 1.5m, mostly Polish, Eastern Europeans had come to the UK since 2004 but that more than half had now left. The Migration Policy Institute had said 1.5m people from new EU states, mostly Poles, had come to the UK since 2004 and that more than half had now left.
Immigration minister Phil Woolas said only about 700,000 remained.
But Prof Krystyna Iglicka, of Warsaw's Centre for International Affairs, said Poland saw no evidence of this.But Prof Krystyna Iglicka, of Warsaw's Centre for International Affairs, said Poland saw no evidence of this.
She estimated about a million Polish migrants are still in the UK. "We do not see them here," she said of the reported returned immigrants.
FROM THE TODAY PROGRAMME More from Today programme Are Poles returning home?FROM THE TODAY PROGRAMME More from Today programme Are Poles returning home?
Prof Iglicka told the BBC's Today programme that official estimates for Poles working abroad rose consistently until 2008, when they fell only very slightly. Prof Iglicka told the BBC's Today programme that Polish research indicated the contrary. Official estimates for Poles working abroad rose consistently until 2008, when they fell only very slightly.
"From our side this is not true," she said. "We do not see them here; we do not see them in any other different countries.""From our side this is not true," she said. "We do not see them here; we do not see them in any other different countries."
She also said figures from 2008 showed only 22,000 former emigrants returned to Polish labour offices, in order to transfer benefits earned abroad. Prof Iglicka also cited real figures for the numbers of the returning Poles who had registered at their local labour offices.
The Migration Policy Institute is an independent think tank in Washington, which analyses of the movement of people worldwide. She said they would have to do this to transfer any benefits earned abroad, or to claim benefit in Poland. The figures for 2008 were just 22,000 for the whole country.
Prof Iglicka's own estimate is that about a million Polish migrants are still in Britain.
'Circular' movement
But Mr Woolas said figures from the Office for National Statistics (ONS) showed half of the 1.5m people who had come from European countries had now gone home.
He said the number of A8s - economic migrants from the eight accession states of eastern and central Europe that joined the EU in 2004, such as Poland, Hungary and Lithuania - registering to work had fallen by about 30,000 each quarter in 2009.
But he conceded it was "not an exact science" because the Workers' Registration Scheme did not include self-employed workers or eastern Europeans who had come from other EU countries.
He said there was a pattern of "circular migration" within the EU, but people had been attracted back to Poland because it had benefited from a huge European Union infrastructure investment fund.
The other big factor was the impact of the exchange rate, which meant Polish workers could get more for their time in Poland, he said.
Sir Andrew Green, chairman of Migration Watch UK, said Mr Woolas's estimate was "in the right ball park" but the focus on Poles was a "distraction from the wider challenges of mass immigration".
"East Europeans as a whole - A8s - account for only 10% of the total foreign-born population of the UK," he said.
The Migration Policy Institute is an independent think tank in Washington, which analyses the movement of people worldwide.


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