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World stocks tumble on US fears Stocks plunge in global sell-off
(40 minutes later)
European stocks have joined a global sell-off, amid concerns about the US economy and mortgage industry. European stocks have plunged amid a global sell-off on concerns about the US economy and mortgage industry.
The UK's FTSE index slid 110 points, or 1.8%, to 6,050.6. Japan's Nikkei fell 2.9%, and in Hong Kong, India and Australia indexes lost more than 2%. The UK's FTSE index closed down 160.6 points, or 2.5%, at 6,000.7 while the French and German markets were also heavily hit.
US markets dipped slightly after Tuesday's 2% slump had sparked the latest round of global stock turmoil. In the US, the Dow Jones fell below the psychological 12,000 points barrier for the first time in four months.
The sell-off comes just as stocks were starting to recover from a sharp slump that rocked markets late last month.The sell-off comes just as stocks were starting to recover from a sharp slump that rocked markets late last month.
A 2% slump in the US on Tuesday sparked the latest round of global stock turmoil.
Healthy Correction?
Analysts said that market volatility was likely to continue, especially as many markets and stocks had climbed to their highest levels in more than six years.Analysts said that market volatility was likely to continue, especially as many markets and stocks had climbed to their highest levels in more than six years.
Lee Cheng Hooi of EON Capital said that the worry for investors was that the problems in the US mortgage market could cause the world's biggest economy to slow down.Lee Cheng Hooi of EON Capital said that the worry for investors was that the problems in the US mortgage market could cause the world's biggest economy to slow down.
"This will cause a domino effect on the world economy," he explained. "There could be more bloodbath to come.""This will cause a domino effect on the world economy," he explained. "There could be more bloodbath to come."
Todd Leone, managing director of equity trading at Cowen & Co in the US said he believed the slump was simply a "healthy correction".
"The question is when do we stop?" he said.
ShakedownShakedown
Although analysts said Asia's leading economies remained fundamentally strong, markets across the region are particularly sensitive to signs of a possible economic slowdown in the US, a key export market.
This month could be very bad Kim Yung-min, SH Asset Management What's the problem with sub-prime?This month could be very bad Kim Yung-min, SH Asset Management What's the problem with sub-prime?
France's Cac-40 index closed 2.5% lower at 5296.22 points, while Germany's Dax index fell 2.7% to 6,447.7.
And by midday in New York, the Dow Jones was 0.8% down at 11988.16 points, while the Nasdaq slipped 0.4% to 2341.17.
This latest round of selling has been sparked by concerns over the US sub-prime mortgage market.This latest round of selling has been sparked by concerns over the US sub-prime mortgage market.
Sub-prime lenders, who target consumers with poor credit histories, have been hit by an increase in defaults and bad loans.Sub-prime lenders, who target consumers with poor credit histories, have been hit by an increase in defaults and bad loans.
Figures have shown that late mortgage payments and home repossessions in the US are at their highest level since records began.Figures have shown that late mortgage payments and home repossessions in the US are at their highest level since records began.
New Century, the second-biggest sub-prime mortgage lender in the US, is seen by many observers to be close to bankruptcy - and the fear among investors is that this will ripple out into more stable parts of the economy.New Century, the second-biggest sub-prime mortgage lender in the US, is seen by many observers to be close to bankruptcy - and the fear among investors is that this will ripple out into more stable parts of the economy.
"If the US sub-prime mortgage problems get worse, it could begin to hurt US consumers, and that would be very hurtful for exporters," said Kim Yung-min, a fund manager at SH Asset Management in Seoul. "US sub-prime woes are mushrooming," said Saxo Bank analyst Torben Krogh Neilsen, predicting further falls across world markets.
"This month could be very bad," he added. "It's hard to believe they'll be contained and not impact the broader US - and by extension, the global - economy."
Wall Street's slide on Tuesday also gained momentum from a US Commerce Department report that showed retail sales rose at a lower-than-expected rate of 0.1% in February, suggesting consumer spending could be slowing down. Asian traders are concerned about the strength of the US economy
Strong fundamentals
But while many investors are reassessing their holdings and shedding some of their riskier assets, many others are happy to ride out the storm and buy into markets with good long-term growth prospects.
"The sell-off is in sympathy with the sharp sell-off we saw overnight on Wall Street, and it highlights the continued nervousness out there," said David Cohen of Action Economics."The sell-off is in sympathy with the sharp sell-off we saw overnight on Wall Street, and it highlights the continued nervousness out there," said David Cohen of Action Economics.
But "the world economy seems to be remaining on an upward trajectory", he explained, adding that this is probably "a correction after the strong rally that was experienced for the previous several months around the world".But "the world economy seems to be remaining on an upward trajectory", he explained, adding that this is probably "a correction after the strong rally that was experienced for the previous several months around the world".
For investors, the big question is how far and for how long this correction will last, and whether or not the current bull market run will be broken.For investors, the big question is how far and for how long this correction will last, and whether or not the current bull market run will be broken.
Last year, markets lost as much as 10% of their value in May, only to recover and surge even higher, setting many record share prices.Last year, markets lost as much as 10% of their value in May, only to recover and surge even higher, setting many record share prices.
It's a danger to become too defensive in this environment
Tim Rocks, Macquarie Securities
In the weeks before the first sell-off, sparked by fears of a new capital gains tax in China and Beijing's attempts to slow the economy, the FTSE 100 was at its highest level in more than six years.In the weeks before the first sell-off, sparked by fears of a new capital gains tax in China and Beijing's attempts to slow the economy, the FTSE 100 was at its highest level in more than six years.
The index has lost 5.7% since 26 February, wiping £92bn off its market value. Japan's Nikkei fell 2.9% on Wednesday, and in Hong Kong, India and Australia indexes lost more than 2%.
It's a danger to become too defensive in this environment Tim Rocks, Macquarie Securities Although analysts said Asia's leading economies remained fundamentally strong, markets across the region are particularly sensitive to signs of a possible economic slowdown in the US, a key export market.
But that still leaves it with a total worth of £1.53 trillion - and many analysts are predicting steady earnings growth for its biggest firms.
The same is true for many of the main markets worldwide, said Tim Rocks of Macquarie Securities.
"We see the outlook as fundamentally very, very strong," he explained.
"It's a danger to become too defensive in this environment. Obviously we're not going to know the full extent of this slowdown in the US for some time now, so there's some reason for caution."