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Economists warn on Tory cut plans | Economists warn on Tory cut plans |
(about 2 hours later) | |
More than 50 economists have reportedly warned that Tory plans for spending cuts risk job losses and tipping the economy back into recession. | |
The Daily Telegraph says the letter has been signed by Labour peer Lord Layard and Sir David Hendry among others. | The Daily Telegraph says the letter has been signed by Labour peer Lord Layard and Sir David Hendry among others. |
Meanwhile the Tories say 415 small and medium firms back its plan to halt most of Labour's National Insurance rises. | |
The Lib Dems say only they offer a "fair" tax system and have spelled out "honest and detailed" savings plans. | |
The Telegraph reported that it had seen a leaked letter in which 58 economists, including Lord Layard, Lord Skidelsky, Lord Peston and Sir David Hendry, back Gordon Brown's plans for the recovery - which it said was organised by Labour peers. | |
'Still fragile' | |
They said the Tories' proposed £6bn efficiency savings this year are "just a cut by another name". | |
"This is not the time for such a destabilising action," they add. | "This is not the time for such a destabilising action," they add. |
"The recovery is still fragile. Only when the recovery is well under way, will it be safe to have extra cuts in government expenditure." | "The recovery is still fragile. Only when the recovery is well under way, will it be safe to have extra cuts in government expenditure." |
Cutting government waste won't endanger the recovery - but putting up National Insurance will Signatories to letter backing the Tories | |
Some of the signatories also signed a letter to the Financial Times in February warning against a rapid reduction in Britain's deficit. | Some of the signatories also signed a letter to the Financial Times in February warning against a rapid reduction in Britain's deficit. |
Labour said it showed the Conservatives were looking "increasingly isolated every time they call for immediately cutting support to the economy and putting the recovery at risk". | |
But the Tories said the leaders of 415 small and medium businesses, from flower shops to small manufacturers, had signed a letter backing their plans to block the bulk of Labour's planned rise in National Insurance. | |
"We believe that the government's proposal to increase National Insurance, placing an additional tax on jobs, comes at exactly the wrong time in the economic cycle," the letter said. | |
'Battle of letters' | |
It added: "Cutting government waste won't endanger the recovery - but putting up National Insurance will." | |
BBC business correspondent Nils Blythe said it was the latest in the "battle of the letters" which began in February when a group of economists wrote to the Sunday Times supporting the Conservatives' approach. That was followed by the letter to the FT by another group of economists backing Labour. | |
He said the Tories' support from business leaders, including the bosses of Marks and Spencer and Next, probably had a bigger impact on the debate because they were better known among the general public. | |
The row over Labour and the Conservatives plans for tax and spending dominated the first week of the election campaign. | |
Labour plans to raise National Insurance by 1% for people earning more than £20,000 from April next year - which the party says is necessary to protect spending on health, policing and education. | |
But the Tories say it would be a "tax on jobs" that would "kill the recovery" - and have pledged to block the bulk of the rise by saving £6bn cutting "wasteful" government spending. | |
They have been backed by more than 80 business leaders but Gordon Brown and Chancellor Alistair Darling have said the plans are based on "back-of-the-envelope" calculations are are "reckless". | |
The UK economy exited recession in the last quarter of 2009 when it grew 0.4%. |