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EU increases 2010 growth forecast EU increases 2010 growth forecast
(about 2 hours later)
The European Commission has raised its forecast for growth in the EU this year, after "particularly strong" growth in the second quarter.The European Commission has raised its forecast for growth in the EU this year, after "particularly strong" growth in the second quarter.
The commission now expects growth in 2010 of 1.8% in the EU, up from an earlier estimate of 1%, and of 1.7% in the 16-member eurozone, up from 0.9%.The commission now expects growth in 2010 of 1.8% in the EU, up from an earlier estimate of 1%, and of 1.7% in the 16-member eurozone, up from 0.9%.
But it added the recovery remained fragile and said development in member states was "uneven".But it added the recovery remained fragile and said development in member states was "uneven".
It is projecting inflation of 1.8% in the EU, and of 1.4% in the eurozone.It is projecting inflation of 1.8% in the EU, and of 1.4% in the eurozone.
"While activity is still expected to moderate in the second half of the year, the outlook is for a slightly improved quarterly profile compared to the spring forecast, due to the spill-over of some momentum from the second quarter," the commission said."While activity is still expected to moderate in the second half of the year, the outlook is for a slightly improved quarterly profile compared to the spring forecast, due to the spill-over of some momentum from the second quarter," the commission said.
German growth 'Solid ground'
The commission's statistics agency Eurostat based its forecast on updated projections for seven of Europe's largest economies - Germany, France, the UK, Italy, Spain, Netherlands and Poland - which together account for about 80% of EU GDP.The commission's statistics agency Eurostat based its forecast on updated projections for seven of Europe's largest economies - Germany, France, the UK, Italy, Spain, Netherlands and Poland - which together account for about 80% of EU GDP.
It raised its growth predictions for all seven countries, with the biggest revision made for Germany after its economy grew by 2.2% in the second quarter - its fastest rate in more than 20 years.It raised its growth predictions for all seven countries, with the biggest revision made for Germany after its economy grew by 2.2% in the second quarter - its fastest rate in more than 20 years.
In May, it had predicted the German economy would grow by 1.2% this year; now it expects expansion of 3.4%.In May, it had predicted the German economy would grow by 1.2% this year; now it expects expansion of 3.4%.
"We now have solid ground under our feet," said EU Economic and Monetary Affairs Commissioner Olli Rehn."We now have solid ground under our feet," said EU Economic and Monetary Affairs Commissioner Olli Rehn.
"We have started scoring again, but there is no reason to shout for victory. We must remain alert and vigilant.""We have started scoring again, but there is no reason to shout for victory. We must remain alert and vigilant."