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China's trade surplus rises again but misses forecast China's export growth slows down
(about 1 hour later)
China's trade surplus continued to rise in May, though the numbers were weaker than what analysts had forecast. The pace of growth of China's exports slowed down in May suggesting that demand in its key markets may be faltering.
China recorded a trade surplus of $13.1bn (£8bn) for the month, according to China's customs agency. Analysts had forecast a surplus of $18.6bn. Shipments from the mainland grew by 19.4% in May, compared with the same month last year, according to China's customs agency.
Exports from the mainland grew by 19.4% in May compared with the same month a year ago, while imports rose by 28.4%. The number is a sharp decline from a 30% annual surge seen a month earlier.
Analysts said the surprisingly weak numbers indicate the global economic recovery still remains volatile. Meanwhile, imports grew by 28.4%, resulting in a weaker-than-expected trade surplus of $13.1bn (£8bn).
Analysts had forecast a surplus of $18.6bn.
They said the surprisingly weak numbers suggest the global economic recovery still remains volatile.
"Looking at export figures, they grew at a slower clip last month, indicating there are still uncertainties hanging over the world recovery," said Chen Yong of Huatai Securities in Shanghai."Looking at export figures, they grew at a slower clip last month, indicating there are still uncertainties hanging over the world recovery," said Chen Yong of Huatai Securities in Shanghai.
Export growth in May had slowed from a 30% year-on-year surge seen a month earlier.
Ken Peng of Citigroup warned that growth in China's trade may slow down even further.Ken Peng of Citigroup warned that growth in China's trade may slow down even further.
"I wouldn't be surprised if next month showed softer numbers," Mr Peng said."I wouldn't be surprised if next month showed softer numbers," Mr Peng said.
Rebalancing tradeRebalancing trade
China's economic growth has been powered by a boom in its exports sector.China's economic growth has been powered by a boom in its exports sector.
The country is the world's second largest economy and its biggest exporter.The country is the world's second largest economy and its biggest exporter.
However, as export demand from key markets like the US and Europe slows, China has instead been looking to boost domestic demand to sustain growth.However, as export demand from key markets like the US and Europe slows, China has instead been looking to boost domestic demand to sustain growth.
Analysts said that even though the export numbers for May were weak, the growth in imports has been encouraging.Analysts said that even though the export numbers for May were weak, the growth in imports has been encouraging.
"Imports were strong and on par with last month in terms of absolute value, which shows that China's domestic demand remains strong," said Xu Biao of China Merchants Bank."Imports were strong and on par with last month in terms of absolute value, which shows that China's domestic demand remains strong," said Xu Biao of China Merchants Bank.
"In past years, May imports were often smaller compared to April's," Mr Xu added."In past years, May imports were often smaller compared to April's," Mr Xu added.
The fact the imports grew despite the volatility in global commodity prices shows that domestic demand remains string, according to Dr Eliza Liu of CCB International.The fact the imports grew despite the volatility in global commodity prices shows that domestic demand remains string, according to Dr Eliza Liu of CCB International.
"We expected imports to fall a bit deeper on falling global commodity prices and slowing investment in China," Dr Liu said."We expected imports to fall a bit deeper on falling global commodity prices and slowing investment in China," Dr Liu said.
"It turned out things were better than we thought.""It turned out things were better than we thought."