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US economy: GDP growth much weaker than thought | |
(40 minutes later) | |
US economic growth is much weaker than first thought, government figures show. | |
The economy grew at an annualised rate of 1.3% in the second quarter, the Commerce Department said. Economists had forecast growth of 1.8%. | |
And in a surprise move, first-quarter growth was revised down sharply from 1.9% to 0.4%. | |
There is also much uncertainty at the moment as to how the current row about the US debt crisis will affect its economic recovery. | |
If Congress does not raise the debt limit by 2 August the US government could face funding shortfalls that it cannot meet by extra borrowing. | If Congress does not raise the debt limit by 2 August the US government could face funding shortfalls that it cannot meet by extra borrowing. |
'Shocking' | |
Economists had expected steady growth in the second quarter, now that supply constraints from Japan after the earthquake and tsunami are easing. | |
The main reason for the lower-than-expected second-quarter figure was that consumer spending virtually ground to a halt, growing by just 0.1%, compared with 2.1% growth in the first quarter. | |
Compared with the previous quarter, the economy grew 0.3%. | |
The large downward revision to the first quarter's growth figure was made as a result of lower capital investment and higher imports than first thought, and adjusting how seasonal factors are taken into account. | |
In addition, growth for the fourth quarter of 2010 was revised down from 3.1% to 2.3%, indicating that the economy had already started slowing before the end of last year. | |
Tim Ghriskey, chief investment officer at Solaris Asset Management, said the figures were "shocking". | |
"Clearly this is evidence of a mid-cycle slowdown. The only question now is do we see a pick-up in the second half and so far the economic data to date doesn't suggest that. | |
"You might have some analysts come out and talk recession, talk about a double dip. Right now none of the forecasts even come close to that but this is weak data." |