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The Welsh government's budget: who wins, who loses? | The Welsh government's budget: who wins, who loses? |
(about 17 hours later) | |
By Daniel Davies BBC Wales News website political reporter | By Daniel Davies BBC Wales News website political reporter |
The deal over the Welsh government's finances is done. | The deal over the Welsh government's finances is done. |
The budget was formally passed in the Senedd on Tuesday, with Liberal Democrats supporting the Labour administration. | |
And so, after weeks of negotiating between politicians, who are the winners and losers? | And so, after weeks of negotiating between politicians, who are the winners and losers? |
And are they just in Cardiff Bay, or across Wales as a whole? | And are they just in Cardiff Bay, or across Wales as a whole? |
LABOUR | LABOUR |
The deal allows First Minister Carwyn Jones to claim he has stuck to his promise to act without tribalism. | The deal allows First Minister Carwyn Jones to claim he has stuck to his promise to act without tribalism. |
He spoke to Plaid Cymru. He spoke to the Liberal Democrats. He even spoke to arch rivals the Conservatives, although admittedly not for very long. | He spoke to Plaid Cymru. He spoke to the Liberal Democrats. He even spoke to arch rivals the Conservatives, although admittedly not for very long. |
The deal with the Lib Dems will help Labour pass its first big test of governing without a majority of seats in the Senedd. | The deal with the Lib Dems will help Labour pass its first big test of governing without a majority of seats in the Senedd. |
Mr Jones will need to scrap and plead for every vote he can find on the opposition benches between now and the next election in 2016. | Mr Jones will need to scrap and plead for every vote he can find on the opposition benches between now and the next election in 2016. |
A successful vote on his first budget is a good start. | A successful vote on his first budget is a good start. |
And it comes at a good price. The £20m which secured Lib Dem support - 0.14% of the total budget - does not require cuts to any other budget line. | And it comes at a good price. The £20m which secured Lib Dem support - 0.14% of the total budget - does not require cuts to any other budget line. |
Who would argue against giving a leg-up to school children from poor families? Certainly not Labour. | Who would argue against giving a leg-up to school children from poor families? Certainly not Labour. |
LIBERAL DEMOCRATS | LIBERAL DEMOCRATS |
In Westminster they are in coalition with the Conservatives. In Cardiff they are cutting deals with Labour. | In Westminster they are in coalition with the Conservatives. In Cardiff they are cutting deals with Labour. |
Lib Dems in Wales can say their party is willing to talk to rivals in search of stability during uncertain times. | Lib Dems in Wales can say their party is willing to talk to rivals in search of stability during uncertain times. |
Any Lib Dems who are uneasy about the UK coalition government will welcome some breathing space between them and the Tories. | Any Lib Dems who are uneasy about the UK coalition government will welcome some breathing space between them and the Tories. |
Welsh Lib Dem leader Kirsty Williams said she had secured a key policy from her party's assembly election campaign with just five AMs. | Welsh Lib Dem leader Kirsty Williams said she had secured a key policy from her party's assembly election campaign with just five AMs. |
She added, pointedly: how many policies have Tory assembly leader Andrew RT Davies and his 13 colleagues delivered? | She added, pointedly: how many policies have Tory assembly leader Andrew RT Davies and his 13 colleagues delivered? |
There is no love lost between those two. | There is no love lost between those two. |
Meanwhile, Mrs Williams keeps her options open, saying this is a one-off vote, not an embryonic coalition with Labour. | Meanwhile, Mrs Williams keeps her options open, saying this is a one-off vote, not an embryonic coalition with Labour. |
It will be a useful boon to the party as it gears up to protect its crucial local government base at council elections next May. | It will be a useful boon to the party as it gears up to protect its crucial local government base at council elections next May. |
PLAID CYMRU | PLAID CYMRU |
Plaid Cymru thinks it has touched a nerve with its claim that Labour has sat back since being re-elected in May. | Plaid Cymru thinks it has touched a nerve with its claim that Labour has sat back since being re-elected in May. |
Failure to act on the economy is the reason Plaid gives for withholding its support for Labour's spending plans. | Failure to act on the economy is the reason Plaid gives for withholding its support for Labour's spending plans. |
That is even though the budget is almost the same as the one passed by the two parties in January when they were in coalition together. | That is even though the budget is almost the same as the one passed by the two parties in January when they were in coalition together. |
Changes from this year to next account for less than 1% of overall spending, according to Finance Minister Jane Hutt. | Changes from this year to next account for less than 1% of overall spending, according to Finance Minister Jane Hutt. |
But Plaid leader Ieuan Wyn Jones says the economy has slid since that last coalition budget was agreed. | But Plaid leader Ieuan Wyn Jones says the economy has slid since that last coalition budget was agreed. |
Mr Jones, the former economy minister, shows no sign of tiring of his jibe that this is a lacklustre government which has failed to respond to a deteriorating economy. | Mr Jones, the former economy minister, shows no sign of tiring of his jibe that this is a lacklustre government which has failed to respond to a deteriorating economy. |
Plaid will go on making the argument after the budget is voted through. But surely it would rather be in a position where it could point to a deal with Labour that finds extra money for the economy? | Plaid will go on making the argument after the budget is voted through. But surely it would rather be in a position where it could point to a deal with Labour that finds extra money for the economy? |
CONSERVATIVES | CONSERVATIVES |
Talks between the Conservatives and Labour over the budget were courteous, but brief. | Talks between the Conservatives and Labour over the budget were courteous, but brief. |
There was never really a prospect of Welsh government ministers seriously negotiating with the Tories. | There was never really a prospect of Welsh government ministers seriously negotiating with the Tories. |
And it is in the interests of Welsh Conservatives that they have as much ammunition as possible to fire at Labour. | And it is in the interests of Welsh Conservatives that they have as much ammunition as possible to fire at Labour. |
The barb of choice for the Tories is that Labour is cutting health spending. | The barb of choice for the Tories is that Labour is cutting health spending. |
To be clear, the amount of cash going to the NHS is growing. But by failing to keep pace with inflation the Tories say it will force cuts. | To be clear, the amount of cash going to the NHS is growing. But by failing to keep pace with inflation the Tories say it will force cuts. |
Labour's reply has been - and will continue to be - if you want more money for the NHS tell us where to find it. | Labour's reply has been - and will continue to be - if you want more money for the NHS tell us where to find it. |
The Welsh government is facing unprecedented cuts to its funding from the Treasury. | The Welsh government is facing unprecedented cuts to its funding from the Treasury. |
Against that backdrop, Labour says it is doing the best it can. Both sides seem happy to keep slogging this one out. | Against that backdrop, Labour says it is doing the best it can. Both sides seem happy to keep slogging this one out. |
SCHOOLS | SCHOOLS |
The extra spending that clinched the deal with the Lib Dems is only a small part of the government's overall budget. | The extra spending that clinched the deal with the Lib Dems is only a small part of the government's overall budget. |
But the help it will provide schools is not to be sniffed at during a public spending squeeze. | But the help it will provide schools is not to be sniffed at during a public spending squeeze. |
The extra £20m swells the government's pupil deprivation grant - dubbed a pupil premium by the Lib Dems - to more than £32m next year. | The extra £20m swells the government's pupil deprivation grant - dubbed a pupil premium by the Lib Dems - to more than £32m next year. |
The money will be shared between the more than 70,000 children who receive free school meals. | The money will be shared between the more than 70,000 children who receive free school meals. |
Schools will get an extra £450 for every child entitled to free dinners. | Schools will get an extra £450 for every child entitled to free dinners. |
The teaching union ATL Cymru says it will help close a funding gap between schools in England and Wales. | The teaching union ATL Cymru says it will help close a funding gap between schools in England and Wales. |
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