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Eurozone faces winter recession, Ernst & Young says | Eurozone faces winter recession, Ernst & Young says |
(about 1 hour later) | |
The eurozone is facing a "bleak" winter, audit firm Ernst & Young says. | The eurozone is facing a "bleak" winter, audit firm Ernst & Young says. |
A "mild" recession is likely in the first half of next year, leading to economic growth of just 0.1% for the whole of 2012, it predicted. | A "mild" recession is likely in the first half of next year, leading to economic growth of just 0.1% for the whole of 2012, it predicted. |
Ernst & Young also said unemployment in the eurozone was unlikely to fall below 10% until 2015. | Ernst & Young also said unemployment in the eurozone was unlikely to fall below 10% until 2015. |
Meanwhile, Greece - Europe's most indebted country - said that it was on course to have its worst recession ever in 2011. | Meanwhile, Greece - Europe's most indebted country - said that it was on course to have its worst recession ever in 2011. |
Greek Prime Minister Lucas Papademos warned on Wednesday that his country's contraction would be greater than the 5.5% currently forecast. | Greek Prime Minister Lucas Papademos warned on Wednesday that his country's contraction would be greater than the 5.5% currently forecast. |
Greece's economy shrank by 4.5% in 2010, when it received its first bailout from the EU and International Monetary Fund. | Greece's economy shrank by 4.5% in 2010, when it received its first bailout from the EU and International Monetary Fund. |
'Uncertainties' | 'Uncertainties' |
Last week, 26 of the 27 members of the European Union backed new fiscal rules to keep budgets in line, with only the UK abstaining. | Last week, 26 of the 27 members of the European Union backed new fiscal rules to keep budgets in line, with only the UK abstaining. |
But many fear that the budget pact will still not be enough to prevent more countries from seeking a bailout. | But many fear that the budget pact will still not be enough to prevent more countries from seeking a bailout. |
On Wednesday, the euro fell below $1.30 for the first time since January. | On Wednesday, the euro fell below $1.30 for the first time since January. |
"The reforms agreed at the summit on 9 December were a step in the right direction and the response seems to have been mildly positive," according to Ernst & Young. | "The reforms agreed at the summit on 9 December were a step in the right direction and the response seems to have been mildly positive," according to Ernst & Young. |
"Yet investors remain very concerned about the commitment and ability of eurozone governments to implement reforms quickly." | "Yet investors remain very concerned about the commitment and ability of eurozone governments to implement reforms quickly." |
The audit firm predicts that eurozone growth will recover to between 1.5% and 2% in 2013. | The audit firm predicts that eurozone growth will recover to between 1.5% and 2% in 2013. |
"The uncertainties hanging over the Eurozone can only continue to dampen the enthusiasm for European companies to make long term investment and recruitment decisions," said Mark Otty, Ernst & Young's managing partner for Europe, Middle East, India and Africa. | "The uncertainties hanging over the Eurozone can only continue to dampen the enthusiasm for European companies to make long term investment and recruitment decisions," said Mark Otty, Ernst & Young's managing partner for Europe, Middle East, India and Africa. |