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Super Tuesday: Mitt Romney and Rick Santorum fight for key states – live Super Tuesday: Mitt Romney and Rick Santorum fight for key states – live
(40 minutes later)
6.50pm: And as night falls cross America, the battle rages, with the Republican candidates holding rallies in the key states, especially in Ohio, where the polls show a deadlock between Rick Santorum and Mitt Romney, with Romney continuing to plaster the airwaves with a barrage of advertising, much of it dedicated to tearing down Santorum.
We'll be back tomorrow with polling and caucus day events, vox pops of voters in Ohio and elsewhere, and the live coverage of the vote counts as polls close and the results roll in.
In the meantime, why not enter our prediction competition: forecast the winners of the Super Tuesday states and win prizes.
See you back here for all the Super Tuesday fun tomorrow.
6.49pm: Adam Gabbatt has been chasing Newt Gingrich around Tennessee, the poor man. (Adam, not Newt.)
Standing at a podium with a modified Newt Gingrich sign attached – this one read "$2.50 / Gal. Gasoline", Gingrich kicked things off at the Hilton, Knoxville airport, with a discussion of fuel prices.
"People know instinctively if we get up to $5, $6 a gallon, the economy is gonna crater, because people will have no discretionary income," Gingrich said, recalling the tale of a voter who told him she was having to restrict her travel due to prices.
Gas prices, and how Gingrich would lower these, formed the backbone of the speech, with the former speaker of the house encouraging the some 300 people in attendance to log in to Facebook and write "Newt = $2.50".
"You combine the longest period of unemployment since the Great Depression with the highest price of gas in American history, and you have a real example of why Barack Obama is such a failure, and why he should be a one-term president."
As well as oil, Gingrich dwelt on national security and the elites in Washington. He intertwined his plan for the Middle East with his message on increased oil and gas production in America, saying that with "three signatures" – to allow the Keystone pipeline, allow development of oil and gas in the Gulf of Mexico and to increase development in Alaska, he would vastly increase production and thus decrease dependency on the Middle East.
"Let's have a new American strategy in the Middle East called 'Make enough oil here at home, enough national gas here at home, so that they have a problem because we don't care'," Gingrich said.
6.41pm: Ruth Spencer, of the Guardian's online communitiy team, wants to know what you're hoping will come out of Super Tuesday tomorrow. She's been searching the pundits for inspiration (and not finding very much).
The Daily Caller (Robert O'Brien)
I estimate that Romney will win over 200 delegates and could take half of all delegates awarded. If so, Romney will be the nominee.
FiveThirtyEight (Nate Silver)
Adding up the projections from the ten states, I show Mr. Romney getting 217 delegates, or almost exactly half of the total available.
NewsMax (Doug Schoen)
I predict that there will be a divided result with Gov. Romney winning the bulk of the delegates.
But Ruth has found some drama: here are her picks for what to watch out for on Tuesday:
Ohio
This Tuesday may not be as Super as it was in 2008 but there's still a big reason to watch Ohio:
Since the founding of the GOP more than a century and a half ago, no Republican has ever won the presidency without carrying Ohio, which is the closest thing we have to a microcosm of the country. Granted, the state's Republican primary electorate is far from a representative sample of voters in Ohio. But it is large and diverse, and unlike Georgia and Michigan, it's no one's home base. In short, it's a fair fight for high stakes.
Do or die: Santorum
Losing Michigan last week cost Santorum some serious Mojo. If he doesn't crank up the volume tomorrow night, some, like Karl Rove in the Wall Street Journal, speculate that he's out for good.
Mr. Santorum's candidacy will realistically be at an end if he loses the Buckeye State, though he could linger for weeks. Even a win leaves him on life support unless he can also best Mr. Romney in Tuesday's Southern contests, coming in first or second with Mr. Romney trailing in second or third place.
Do or die: Newt
Like Santorum, Newt has his home state up for grabs this Tuesday. He spent the weekend reminding Georgians of his "Real American" prowess – even hosting a rally to the backdrop of Hulk Hogan's anthem blaring from the speakers: "I am a real American, fight for what's right, fight for your life!"
Tuesday will tell whether or not his tactics worked. And judging from the Macon Telegraph's report it's a toss up. The Telegraph turned to Republican Party chairs in Middle Georgia for their perspective on likely results, both locally and statewide on Tuesday. Opinions were mixed, to say the least.
Tell us why you care you're watching Tuesday's primary in the comments on Twitter @GuardianUS and we'll add your thoughts to this post.
6.13pm: The latest CNN poll may have Romney and Santorum neck-and-neck here in Ohio, but the Guardian's polling guru Harry J Enten is – to use a related anatomical analogy – willing to stick his neck on the line and predict a Romney win. Specifically, Harry thinks Romney will win by five to seven percentage points. Read how Harry comes to this conclusion – it involves combining the polling data with past information on how the white evangelical vote breaks down.6.13pm: The latest CNN poll may have Romney and Santorum neck-and-neck here in Ohio, but the Guardian's polling guru Harry J Enten is – to use a related anatomical analogy – willing to stick his neck on the line and predict a Romney win. Specifically, Harry thinks Romney will win by five to seven percentage points. Read how Harry comes to this conclusion – it involves combining the polling data with past information on how the white evangelical vote breaks down.
5.38pm: Here's the latest in our series of great videos, Primary Voices, in which we ask voters in key states what motivated their choices. Today, our videographer Kat Keene Hogue travels to Oklahoma.5.38pm: Here's the latest in our series of great videos, Primary Voices, in which we ask voters in key states what motivated their choices. Today, our videographer Kat Keene Hogue travels to Oklahoma.
4.18pm: Here's a good primer on what to look for in tomorrow's Super Tuesday races, from Josh Putnam's excellent Frontloading HQ blog, and why Tennessee and not not Ohio is the hot race of the night:4.18pm: Here's a good primer on what to look for in tomorrow's Super Tuesday races, from Josh Putnam's excellent Frontloading HQ blog, and why Tennessee and not not Ohio is the hot race of the night:
Way back after the South Carolina primary (I know. Doesn't that seem like a hundred years ago?), I said that the fundamental question that had emerged was "Can Romney win in the South?" FHQ said then that Romney's ability to answer the "Southern question"would go a long way toward determining how long this fight for the Republican nomination would be. More importantly, I emphasized that it would determine how able Gingrich was to stay in the race. Well, Romney has not had another chance to revisit his loss in South Carolina – or at least return to similar ground to quell any doubts. Tomorrow is the first chance and Tennessee looks to be Romney's best bet of answering the "Southern question". Romney will get delegates out of Tennessee but a symbolic win in the South would be a backbreaker in a lot of respects for the Gingrich and Santorum causes.Way back after the South Carolina primary (I know. Doesn't that seem like a hundred years ago?), I said that the fundamental question that had emerged was "Can Romney win in the South?" FHQ said then that Romney's ability to answer the "Southern question"would go a long way toward determining how long this fight for the Republican nomination would be. More importantly, I emphasized that it would determine how able Gingrich was to stay in the race. Well, Romney has not had another chance to revisit his loss in South Carolina – or at least return to similar ground to quell any doubts. Tomorrow is the first chance and Tennessee looks to be Romney's best bet of answering the "Southern question". Romney will get delegates out of Tennessee but a symbolic win in the South would be a backbreaker in a lot of respects for the Gingrich and Santorum causes.
4.10pm: Wolf Blitzer bounces around on CNN and finally after a few teases reveals two new polls by CNN/ORC from Georgia and Ohio.4.10pm: Wolf Blitzer bounces around on CNN and finally after a few teases reveals two new polls by CNN/ORC from Georgia and Ohio.
And this one from Ohio makes the neck-and-neck meme explicit: it finds Mitt Romney and Rick Santorum tied at 32%, followed by Newt Gingrich with 14% and Ron Paul just 11%.And this one from Ohio makes the neck-and-neck meme explicit: it finds Mitt Romney and Rick Santorum tied at 32%, followed by Newt Gingrich with 14% and Ron Paul just 11%.
In Georgia, Newt Gingrich is running away with it, with 47%. Romney 24% and Santorum 15% and Ron Paul 9% are all well behind.In Georgia, Newt Gingrich is running away with it, with 47%. Romney 24% and Santorum 15% and Ron Paul 9% are all well behind.
3.52pm: Matt Wells reports on Rick Santorum's pitch to Ohio voters, now with added security:3.52pm: Matt Wells reports on Rick Santorum's pitch to Ohio voters, now with added security:
Here in Westville, Ohio, Rick Santorum delivered his now-sprawling stump speech to an audience of enthusiastic over-40s (and a few noisy babies) at a branch of the American Legion, the largest veterans' organisation.Here in Westville, Ohio, Rick Santorum delivered his now-sprawling stump speech to an audience of enthusiastic over-40s (and a few noisy babies) at a branch of the American Legion, the largest veterans' organisation.
It was the usual stuff - lower taxes and freedom from meddlesome government, leavened with a heavy dose of religion: "This nation is founded on the idea of God-given rights, not government-given rights," Santorum said at one point. And it sounded suspiciously like the speech of an underdog.It was the usual stuff - lower taxes and freedom from meddlesome government, leavened with a heavy dose of religion: "This nation is founded on the idea of God-given rights, not government-given rights," Santorum said at one point. And it sounded suspiciously like the speech of an underdog.
But look carefully at who was in the audience for a better picture of Santorum's standing. Flanking the stage were his new Security Service detail. Lurking at the back was an infiltrator from the Romney campaign, furiously spinning against a 'flailing and desperate'
candidate. ("Senator Santorum has exhibited a pattern of dishonesty and distortion and I'm here to correct the record. Senator Santorum has a problem with the truth.")
But look carefully at who was in the audience for a better picture of Santorum's standing. Flanking the stage were his new Security Service detail. Lurking at the back was an infiltrator from the Romney campaign, furiously spinning against a 'flailing and desperate'
candidate. ("Senator Santorum has exhibited a pattern of dishonesty and distortion and I'm here to correct the record. Senator Santorum has a problem with the truth.")
And who's this dapper chap next to me? Why, it's a representative of Her Majesty's government, from the embassy in Washington. With Santorum's strong anti-Brit line, I'm sure he had plenty to write about in his report for the ambassador.And who's this dapper chap next to me? Why, it's a representative of Her Majesty's government, from the embassy in Washington. With Santorum's strong anti-Brit line, I'm sure he had plenty to write about in his report for the ambassador.
And who knows, maybe we'll read HM Government's report in the next Wikileaks download or something.And who knows, maybe we'll read HM Government's report in the next Wikileaks download or something.
3.25pm: Oh dear, another example of Mitt Romney backing federal government action in healthcare coverage, this time from a 2008 GOP debate.3.25pm: Oh dear, another example of Mitt Romney backing federal government action in healthcare coverage, this time from a 2008 GOP debate.
As Sam Stein of the Huffington Post observes:As Sam Stein of the Huffington Post observes:
All told, the debate transcript gives off the same impression as the USA Today op-ed: mainly that Romney once occupied a different philosophical perch with respect to federal health care policy. It also shows how poorly staffed the rest of the GOP field has been with respect to opposition research. The fact that it's taken this long for these quotes to surface could end up making a huge difference with respect to the Republican primary outcome.All told, the debate transcript gives off the same impression as the USA Today op-ed: mainly that Romney once occupied a different philosophical perch with respect to federal health care policy. It also shows how poorly staffed the rest of the GOP field has been with respect to opposition research. The fact that it's taken this long for these quotes to surface could end up making a huge difference with respect to the Republican primary outcome.
The "huge difference" being that decent oppo research would have found this stuff earlier, when anyone gave a damn. Now it's too late.The "huge difference" being that decent oppo research would have found this stuff earlier, when anyone gave a damn. Now it's too late.
2.41pm: Mitt Romney's campaign has been aided by his large and widespread extended family – but now Ron Paul has stolen some of them away, reports Paul Harris, reporting from a Paul event in Idaho:2.41pm: Mitt Romney's campaign has been aided by his large and widespread extended family – but now Ron Paul has stolen some of them away, reports Paul Harris, reporting from a Paul event in Idaho:
Now this is a cheeky move. The Ron Paul campaign in Idaho – which is state seen as the Texan congressman's best chance for a vital first win – has just put out a press release touting the endorsement of five (very) distant relatives of Mitt Romney.Now this is a cheeky move. The Ron Paul campaign in Idaho – which is state seen as the Texan congressman's best chance for a vital first win – has just put out a press release touting the endorsement of five (very) distant relatives of Mitt Romney.
All of the five will be speaking at caucuses in Idaho on Super Tuesday and urging residents of the state to vote for Paul over their more famous relative. They include Montana lawyer Ty Romney, Spokane-based chiropractor Travis Romney, Boise resident Chad Romney, Salt Lake City resident Jared Romney and Utah student Troy Romney. "Ron Paul is honest. It's time to take a stand for honesty. It doesn't matter whether the truth is popular or not, I know that Ron Paul will always maintain a true principle and I endorse that degree of integrity," said Ty Romney in the statement.All of the five will be speaking at caucuses in Idaho on Super Tuesday and urging residents of the state to vote for Paul over their more famous relative. They include Montana lawyer Ty Romney, Spokane-based chiropractor Travis Romney, Boise resident Chad Romney, Salt Lake City resident Jared Romney and Utah student Troy Romney. "Ron Paul is honest. It's time to take a stand for honesty. It doesn't matter whether the truth is popular or not, I know that Ron Paul will always maintain a true principle and I endorse that degree of integrity," said Ty Romney in the statement.
All of the five claim some form of kinship with Mitt, though given the rather large size of many Mormon families that is perhaps not as uncommon as one might think. Just to add even more fun and games into the mix, the announcement comes after the Paul campaign touted the endorsement of one of Rick Santorum's nephews, John Garver.All of the five claim some form of kinship with Mitt, though given the rather large size of many Mormon families that is perhaps not as uncommon as one might think. Just to add even more fun and games into the mix, the announcement comes after the Paul campaign touted the endorsement of one of Rick Santorum's nephews, John Garver.
Obviously this does mean too much for the 2012 apart from a bit of fun. But it does shows the Ron Paul team still likes to do things a little bit differently.Obviously this does mean too much for the 2012 apart from a bit of fun. But it does shows the Ron Paul team still likes to do things a little bit differently.
As Walter Cronkite never said, when you've won over Spokane-based chiropractor Travis Romney, you've won over parts of middle America.As Walter Cronkite never said, when you've won over Spokane-based chiropractor Travis Romney, you've won over parts of middle America.
2.29pm: The Guardian's Matt Wells is at Rick Santorum's event at a chilly American Legion hall in Westerville, Ohio:2.29pm: The Guardian's Matt Wells is at Rick Santorum's event at a chilly American Legion hall in Westerville, Ohio:
'Mitt Romney has the establishment but Rick Santorum has the people' - Ohio attorney general Mike DeWine'Mitt Romney has the establishment but Rick Santorum has the people' - Ohio attorney general Mike DeWine
Mike DeWine is the former Romney supporter who switched horses last month and now backs Sanorum.Mike DeWine is the former Romney supporter who switched horses last month and now backs Sanorum.
2pm: The Guardian's crack political team is in Columbus, Ohio for the Super Tuesday fireworks – and to celebrate that fact we are gathering at the Rossi bar and kitchen in Columbus's happening Short North Arts District this evening from 7pm. Both of the Guardian's readers in the Columbus area are welcome to join us, or at least me.2pm: The Guardian's crack political team is in Columbus, Ohio for the Super Tuesday fireworks – and to celebrate that fact we are gathering at the Rossi bar and kitchen in Columbus's happening Short North Arts District this evening from 7pm. Both of the Guardian's readers in the Columbus area are welcome to join us, or at least me.
The Rossi is at 895 North High Street, on the corner of High St and Price Ave. There may be pizza. I'm thinking pepperoni.The Rossi is at 895 North High Street, on the corner of High St and Price Ave. There may be pizza. I'm thinking pepperoni.
1.31pm: Ron Paul is making a strong play for Idaho – and the Guardian's Paul Harris is in the Gem State and finds that this could be the one Paul actually comes first:1.31pm: Ron Paul is making a strong play for Idaho – and the Guardian's Paul Harris is in the Gem State and finds that this could be the one Paul actually comes first:
Ron Paul is spending the last day before Super Tuesday with a swing through the caucus state of Idaho. The massive, mostly rural state is deeply conservative and supporters of his campaign believe it offers the chance to grab the one thing the Texan congressman has not yet got: a win.Ron Paul is spending the last day before Super Tuesday with a swing through the caucus state of Idaho. The massive, mostly rural state is deeply conservative and supporters of his campaign believe it offers the chance to grab the one thing the Texan congressman has not yet got: a win.
In 2008 Idaho was the state where Paul performed strongest, grabbing 24% of the vote in what was then a primary contest.In 2008 Idaho was the state where Paul performed strongest, grabbing 24% of the vote in what was then a primary contest.
The state has a strong libertarian streak and also has 32 delegates at stake, which is more than either Iowa, Nevada or New Hampshire. As a caucus, it also plays into Paul's "delegate strategy" which is based on using the complex voting rules in each state to maximise delegates, rather than focus on the headline numbers of actual votes cast.The state has a strong libertarian streak and also has 32 delegates at stake, which is more than either Iowa, Nevada or New Hampshire. As a caucus, it also plays into Paul's "delegate strategy" which is based on using the complex voting rules in each state to maximise delegates, rather than focus on the headline numbers of actual votes cast.
However, Idaho also has a strong Mormon element with members of the church making up about a quarter of the population. That could suit Romney who did well in the Nevada caucus, where Mormons also make up a significant part of the electorate.However, Idaho also has a strong Mormon element with members of the church making up about a quarter of the population. That could suit Romney who did well in the Nevada caucus, where Mormons also make up a significant part of the electorate.
But it is still on Paul that all eyes will be focused here in Idaho. That is why today he is travelling through the giant state, making four stops with two events in Sandpoint, another in Moscow and a final rally this evening in Idaho Falls. Then on Super Tuesday itself Paul will begin the day with yet another Idaho rally in Nampa, near the state's biggest city of Boise.But it is still on Paul that all eyes will be focused here in Idaho. That is why today he is travelling through the giant state, making four stops with two events in Sandpoint, another in Moscow and a final rally this evening in Idaho Falls. Then on Super Tuesday itself Paul will begin the day with yet another Idaho rally in Nampa, near the state's biggest city of Boise.
"He thinks he can pull this off in Idaho. He thinks he has a chance of winning this," said Professor Gary Moncrief, a political scientist at Boise State University."He thinks he can pull this off in Idaho. He thinks he has a chance of winning this," said Professor Gary Moncrief, a political scientist at Boise State University.
1.20pm: The catalogue of Mitt Romney evasions is compiled by Steve Benon at the Maddow Blog:1.20pm: The catalogue of Mitt Romney evasions is compiled by Steve Benon at the Maddow Blog:
Did Romney support the "Personhood" amendment in Mississippi? He didn't want to give an opinion.Did Romney support the "Personhood" amendment in Mississippi? He didn't want to give an opinion.
Did Romney support an extension of the payroll tax break? He preferred not to say.Did Romney support an extension of the payroll tax break? He preferred not to say.
Did Romney support collective bargaining rights in Ohio? He didn't want to give an opinion on that, either.Did Romney support collective bargaining rights in Ohio? He didn't want to give an opinion on that, either.
Was Romney comfortable with Republican voters booing a US soldier serving in Iraq during a Republican debate? He didn't want to talk about it.Was Romney comfortable with Republican voters booing a US soldier serving in Iraq during a Republican debate? He didn't want to talk about it.
Does Romney support mass deportation of undocumented immigrants? He doesn't want to give an opinion.Does Romney support mass deportation of undocumented immigrants? He doesn't want to give an opinion.
Is Romney comfortable with Limbaugh's smears? He'd rather talk about something else.Is Romney comfortable with Limbaugh's smears? He'd rather talk about something else.
Why should a presidential candidate have to talk about such peripheral matters?Why should a presidential candidate have to talk about such peripheral matters?
There would be no room for the dog, for a start RT @TheStalwart #fact RT @ZekeJMiller: Romney: You can’t drive a car with a windmill on itThere would be no room for the dog, for a start RT @TheStalwart #fact RT @ZekeJMiller: Romney: You can’t drive a car with a windmill on it
But let's not forget Mitt's brave stand on dog transportation.But let's not forget Mitt's brave stand on dog transportation.
1.02pm: More Ohio polls out today, all conducted over the weekend and all showing a tight race between Mick Santormney:1.02pm: More Ohio polls out today, all conducted over the weekend and all showing a tight race between Mick Santormney:
Quinnpiac: Mitt Romney 34%, Rick Santorum 31%Quinnpiac: Mitt Romney 34%, Rick Santorum 31%
ARG: Mitt Romney 35%, Rick Santorum 28%ARG: Mitt Romney 35%, Rick Santorum 28%
Rasmussen: Rick Santorum 32%, Mitt Romney 31%Rasmussen: Rick Santorum 32%, Mitt Romney 31%
And CNN is threatening another one shortly. At this rate there will be more polls in Ohio than Warsaw. So far it's Rick Santorum 2, Mitt Romney 2.And CNN is threatening another one shortly. At this rate there will be more polls in Ohio than Warsaw. So far it's Rick Santorum 2, Mitt Romney 2.
12.45pm: Here's a trio of Mitt Romney Must Reads that you may have missed or simply have a rich, full life that doesn't allow room for reading long articles about Mitt Romney.12.45pm: Here's a trio of Mitt Romney Must Reads that you may have missed or simply have a rich, full life that doesn't allow room for reading long articles about Mitt Romney.
The first is a brilliant piece of research and reporting by the Salt Lake Tribune, examining Mitt Romney's fundraising and spending since he began running for the presidency:The first is a brilliant piece of research and reporting by the Salt Lake Tribune, examining Mitt Romney's fundraising and spending since he began running for the presidency:
Since first setting eyes on the White House, Mitt Romney and his backers have spent over $200m – including $44.6m of his fortune – on a seven-year quest for the Republican presidential nomination.Since first setting eyes on the White House, Mitt Romney and his backers have spent over $200m – including $44.6m of his fortune – on a seven-year quest for the Republican presidential nomination.
The wealth (no pun intended) of detail here is astonishing. Hats off to McClatchy.The wealth (no pun intended) of detail here is astonishing. Hats off to McClatchy.
Number two are these harsh words by Erick Erickson, who vents on Mitt Romney's 2009 op-ed for USA Today endorsing the individual mandate for Obama's healthcare reforms, or "Obamacare" if you will:Number two are these harsh words by Erick Erickson, who vents on Mitt Romney's 2009 op-ed for USA Today endorsing the individual mandate for Obama's healthcare reforms, or "Obamacare" if you will:
In other words, skipping the diplomatic phrasing of some, Mitt Romney lies each time he says he never supported a national individual mandate.In other words, skipping the diplomatic phrasing of some, Mitt Romney lies each time he says he never supported a national individual mandate.
Finally, the National Journal basically calls Ohio for Mitt Romney ahead of tomorrow's primary:Finally, the National Journal basically calls Ohio for Mitt Romney ahead of tomorrow's primary:
On the surface, Ohio looks like a toss-up between Rick Santorum and Mitt Romney. Polls published on Sunday show the two White House contenders in a dead heat for Super Tuesday's most symbolically important state.On the surface, Ohio looks like a toss-up between Rick Santorum and Mitt Romney. Polls published on Sunday show the two White House contenders in a dead heat for Super Tuesday's most symbolically important state.
But the ostensible parity belies an unmistakable conviction among Buckeye State voters and state GOP strategists alike that the former Massachusetts governor has the advantage here Tuesday, despite trailing in some surveys by double-digits only weeks ago.But the ostensible parity belies an unmistakable conviction among Buckeye State voters and state GOP strategists alike that the former Massachusetts governor has the advantage here Tuesday, despite trailing in some surveys by double-digits only weeks ago.
12.30pm: Another new poll of Ohio out today, conducted over the weekend by Suffolk University – and this one is slightly different than the rest of the polling, showing a slight lead for Rick Santorum:12.30pm: Another new poll of Ohio out today, conducted over the weekend by Suffolk University – and this one is slightly different than the rest of the polling, showing a slight lead for Rick Santorum:
Rick Santorum (37%) leads former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney (33%) by a narrow margin, according to a Suffolk University poll of likely Republican Primary voters in Ohio. Newt Gingrich (16%) was a distant third, and Ron Paul struggled (8%) in single digits with 6 percent undecided. The race is too close to call, as the top two candidates are within the statistical margin of error.Rick Santorum (37%) leads former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney (33%) by a narrow margin, according to a Suffolk University poll of likely Republican Primary voters in Ohio. Newt Gingrich (16%) was a distant third, and Ron Paul struggled (8%) in single digits with 6 percent undecided. The race is too close to call, as the top two candidates are within the statistical margin of error.
"The magic number in Ohio tomorrow night is thirty-nine," said David Paleologos, director of the Suffolk University Political Research Center in Boston. "The candidate who gets to 39% will win the state in what could be a rather late night of election returns. It's now down to which candidate gets his supporters out to the polls.""The magic number in Ohio tomorrow night is thirty-nine," said David Paleologos, director of the Suffolk University Political Research Center in Boston. "The candidate who gets to 39% will win the state in what could be a rather late night of election returns. It's now down to which candidate gets his supporters out to the polls."
Santorum led 44% to Romney's 27% among those who already have cast ballots, but among those who have yet to vote, Santorum's margin was only 3 points, 36% to 33%.Santorum led 44% to Romney's 27% among those who already have cast ballots, but among those who have yet to vote, Santorum's margin was only 3 points, 36% to 33%.
12.20pm: Rush Limbaugh's show has started, and he sets off straight away into an extended explanation of his "slutgate" remarks, spread over three days at the end of last week, aimed at a law student who was defending contraception provision: "I descended to the level of the leftists who despise me," is his first stab.12.20pm: Rush Limbaugh's show has started, and he sets off straight away into an extended explanation of his "slutgate" remarks, spread over three days at the end of last week, aimed at a law student who was defending contraception provision: "I descended to the level of the leftists who despise me," is his first stab.
Limbaugh says his language was "inappropriate, uncalled for, they distracted from point I was actually trying to make," and issues another apology to Sandra Fluke.Limbaugh says his language was "inappropriate, uncalled for, they distracted from point I was actually trying to make," and issues another apology to Sandra Fluke.
12.10pm: And now AOL has also pulled its ads from the Rush Limbaugh show.12.10pm: And now AOL has also pulled its ads from the Rush Limbaugh show.
Something tells me AOL has done what no one could do -- and believe me I tried -- get my parents to quit using AOL.Something tells me AOL has done what no one could do -- and believe me I tried -- get my parents to quit using AOL.
AOL was advertising on Rush Limbaugh? What, "try our dial-up"?AOL was advertising on Rush Limbaugh? What, "try our dial-up"?
12 noon: That NBC/WSJ poll had lots of interesting detail about public perception of Mitt Romney, none of it likely to put him in a happy place, as Christian Heinze observes on his GOP12 blog:12 noon: That NBC/WSJ poll had lots of interesting detail about public perception of Mitt Romney, none of it likely to put him in a happy place, as Christian Heinze observes on his GOP12 blog:
Only 23% of all adults call [Romney] "good" or "very good" at caring for average people. 46% say he's "poor" or "very poor" at it for -23%.Only 23% of all adults call [Romney] "good" or "very good" at caring for average people. 46% say he's "poor" or "very poor" at it for -23%.
Rick Santorum, on the other hand, has a much healthier 33%/33% split on the quality.Rick Santorum, on the other hand, has a much healthier 33%/33% split on the quality.
Meanwhile, among GOP voters, Santorum is at 63%/11% on caring for +52%. Romney is at 43%/23% for +20%. That's another huge lead for Santorum.Meanwhile, among GOP voters, Santorum is at 63%/11% on caring for +52%. Romney is at 43%/23% for +20%. That's another huge lead for Santorum.
Romney's bad score among all voters might be excusable if he scored strongly on fixing the economy. But he doesn't. He's currently at 33%/32% on whether he'd be good at dealing with the economy.Romney's bad score among all voters might be excusable if he scored strongly on fixing the economy. But he doesn't. He's currently at 33%/32% on whether he'd be good at dealing with the economy.
11.43am: With a seventh advertiser pulling its account from Rush Limbaugh's syndicated radio show after last week's "slutgate," here's a handy compendium of responses from the GOP candidates, compiled by Shakesville.11.43am: With a seventh advertiser pulling its account from Rush Limbaugh's syndicated radio show after last week's "slutgate," here's a handy compendium of responses from the GOP candidates, compiled by Shakesville.
Only Ron Paul comes out of this at all well.Only Ron Paul comes out of this at all well.
Mitt Romney: "I'll just say this which is it's not the language I would have used. I'm focusing on the issues I think are significant in the country today and that's why I'm here talking about jobs and Ohio."Mitt Romney: "I'll just say this which is it's not the language I would have used. I'm focusing on the issues I think are significant in the country today and that's why I'm here talking about jobs and Ohio."
Shakesville's Melissa McEwan comments: "So, basically, he definitely agrees with the sentiment behind demeaning as a slut a woman who wants control over her reproduction; it's just that he would have finessed the delivery."Shakesville's Melissa McEwan comments: "So, basically, he definitely agrees with the sentiment behind demeaning as a slut a woman who wants control over her reproduction; it's just that he would have finessed the delivery."
Good point: so, Mitt Romney, what language would you have used? Hussy? Slapper?Good point: so, Mitt Romney, what language would you have used? Hussy? Slapper?
Rick Santorum: "He's being absurd, but that's you know, an entertainer can be absurd. He's in a very different business than I am."Rick Santorum: "He's being absurd, but that's you know, an entertainer can be absurd. He's in a very different business than I am."
Newt Gingrich: "I think he was right to apologise," before immediately launching into a complaint about the media focusing on this "unimportant issue," then lobbing an attack at President Obama for apologising for the burning of Korans at Bagram air base in Afghanistan.Newt Gingrich: "I think he was right to apologise," before immediately launching into a complaint about the media focusing on this "unimportant issue," then lobbing an attack at President Obama for apologising for the burning of Korans at Bagram air base in Afghanistan.
Ron Paul: "I don't think he's very apologetic. He's doing it because some people were taking their advertisements off his program. It was his bottom line that he was concerned about."Ron Paul: "I don't think he's very apologetic. He's doing it because some people were taking their advertisements off his program. It was his bottom line that he was concerned about."
11.21am: Real news – Barack Obama is now speaking live in the Oval Office alongside Israeli prime minister Benjamin Netanyahu, before their meeting there this morning.11.21am: Real news – Barack Obama is now speaking live in the Oval Office alongside Israeli prime minister Benjamin Netanyahu, before their meeting there this morning.
Obama says:Obama says:
We all know that it's unacceptable from Israel's perspective for a country to have a nuclear weapon that has called for the destruction of Israel.... When I say all options are on the table, I mean it. Having said that, both the prime minister [Netanyahu] and I prefer a diplomatic solution.We all know that it's unacceptable from Israel's perspective for a country to have a nuclear weapon that has called for the destruction of Israel.... When I say all options are on the table, I mean it. Having said that, both the prime minister [Netanyahu] and I prefer a diplomatic solution.
In his response, Netanyahu thanks Obama "for that strong speech yesterday" and the warm welcome. He's not throwing any bones to the Republicans here, although Netanyahu notes: "From Iran's perspective, you are the Great Satan and we are the little Satan."In his response, Netanyahu thanks Obama "for that strong speech yesterday" and the warm welcome. He's not throwing any bones to the Republicans here, although Netanyahu notes: "From Iran's perspective, you are the Great Satan and we are the little Satan."
More coverage on our live blog here.More coverage on our live blog here.
11am: At the Santorum event this morning, the Guardian's Ewen MacAskill works the crowd to see what his supporters are thinking:11am: At the Santorum event this morning, the Guardian's Ewen MacAskill works the crowd to see what his supporters are thinking:
Listening to Rick Santorum speaking at a rally at Dayton Christian School, Miamisburg, Ohio. He has learned the lesson from last week's defeat in Michigan: social issues will win you Christian evangelicals but not the wider electorate.Listening to Rick Santorum speaking at a rally at Dayton Christian School, Miamisburg, Ohio. He has learned the lesson from last week's defeat in Michigan: social issues will win you Christian evangelicals but not the wider electorate.
Santorum spoke for more than 30 minutes: about his own personal story, from humble beginnings in a mill town in Pennsylvania, his rise from two per cent in the polls before Christmas to his position now as main challenger to Mitt Romney, his success in spite of being outspent by Romney.Santorum spoke for more than 30 minutes: about his own personal story, from humble beginnings in a mill town in Pennsylvania, his rise from two per cent in the polls before Christmas to his position now as main challenger to Mitt Romney, his success in spite of being outspent by Romney.
Jo Ann DiCuirci(64), a teacher at the Christian school, is supporting Santorum: "I believe his values _ sanctity of life and trying to get the country back on track, at least morally and spiritually, as much as he can do. He would have prayer support from people. I think he would support Israel."Jo Ann DiCuirci(64), a teacher at the Christian school, is supporting Santorum: "I believe his values _ sanctity of life and trying to get the country back on track, at least morally and spiritually, as much as he can do. He would have prayer support from people. I think he would support Israel."
Footnote: Santorum was adamant that British government's raising of taxes on wealthy had been failure. Is this true? Seems a bit early to be reaching that conclusion. He claimed it had failed because top 2% moved money elsewhere or just stopped investing and working. Because they are so rich, they don't have to work, he said. The idea that rich people would stop working because of taxes does not sound credible.Footnote: Santorum was adamant that British government's raising of taxes on wealthy had been failure. Is this true? Seems a bit early to be reaching that conclusion. He claimed it had failed because top 2% moved money elsewhere or just stopped investing and working. Because they are so rich, they don't have to work, he said. The idea that rich people would stop working because of taxes does not sound credible.
10.45am: Personally I would like to hear more about this "Mitt Romney tells 11-year-old that Obama will give Iran the bomb" thing:10.45am: Personally I would like to hear more about this "Mitt Romney tells 11-year-old that Obama will give Iran the bomb" thing:
Romney has stepped up his criticism of President Obama on foreign affairs, hitting the president for mission muddle in Afghanistan yesterday and continuing to label the president as weak regarding Iran, as he did today in response to a question from an eleven year-old boy.Romney has stepped up his criticism of President Obama on foreign affairs, hitting the president for mission muddle in Afghanistan yesterday and continuing to label the president as weak regarding Iran, as he did today in response to a question from an eleven year-old boy.
So this is how Mitt Romney talks to an 11-year-old:So this is how Mitt Romney talks to an 11-year-old:
This is a president who has failed to put in place crippling sanctions against Iran. He's also failed to communicate that military options are on the table and in fact in our hand. And that it's unacceptable to America for Iran to have a nuclear weapon. I will have those military options, I will take those crippling sanctions and put them in place, and I will speak out to the Iranian people about the peril of them becoming nuclear.This is a president who has failed to put in place crippling sanctions against Iran. He's also failed to communicate that military options are on the table and in fact in our hand. And that it's unacceptable to America for Iran to have a nuclear weapon. I will have those military options, I will take those crippling sanctions and put them in place, and I will speak out to the Iranian people about the peril of them becoming nuclear.
10.30am: Rick Santorum is appearing at the Dayton Christian School in Miamisburg, Ohio, where the Guardian's Janine Gibson is watching:10.30am: Rick Santorum is appearing at the Dayton Christian School in Miamisburg, Ohio, where the Guardian's Janine Gibson is watching:
"We're going to have a good day in Ohio tomorrow", Rick Santorum has just told an audience at a Christian school rally. Rick Santorum events have come a long way since the Elk Lodge in New Hampshire. There are fire engines, the Dayton bomb squad and a very nervous boys choir singing inspiring songs."We're going to have a good day in Ohio tomorrow", Rick Santorum has just told an audience at a Christian school rally. Rick Santorum events have come a long way since the Elk Lodge in New Hampshire. There are fire engines, the Dayton bomb squad and a very nervous boys choir singing inspiring songs.
The local law enforcers who introduced Santorum talked about immigration, protecting our borders and welfare reform. But Santorum's speech led with values. "This country is worth it," was his theme and he spoke of the financial sacrifices his family has made during the campaign: "At this point we're spending down our savings".The local law enforcers who introduced Santorum talked about immigration, protecting our borders and welfare reform. But Santorum's speech led with values. "This country is worth it," was his theme and he spoke of the financial sacrifices his family has made during the campaign: "At this point we're spending down our savings".
Sounding hoarse and even unwell, Santorum positioned himself as the "against all the odds" candidate and asked "the people of Ohio to think hard and look deep.... The people of Ohio have a great opportunity to vote for someone.... who shares the values of the people in this room."Sounding hoarse and even unwell, Santorum positioned himself as the "against all the odds" candidate and asked "the people of Ohio to think hard and look deep.... The people of Ohio have a great opportunity to vote for someone.... who shares the values of the people in this room."
He certainly managed to have them booing taxes. Especially in a rousing section where he described the 50% UK income tax rate for top earners as a failure.He certainly managed to have them booing taxes. Especially in a rousing section where he described the 50% UK income tax rate for top earners as a failure.
Again with the UK-bashing. Rick Santorum's Hate List obviously includes the British Isles.Again with the UK-bashing. Rick Santorum's Hate List obviously includes the British Isles.
10.20am: Mitt Romney made a hit-and-run raid on Tennessee on Sunday evening, and the Guardian's Adam Gabbatt was there to see him woo the good people of the Volunteer State:10.20am: Mitt Romney made a hit-and-run raid on Tennessee on Sunday evening, and the Guardian's Adam Gabbatt was there to see him woo the good people of the Volunteer State:
Mitt Romney swept into east Tennessee on Sunday, declared his fondness for Davy Crockett and then swept straight back out as Super Tuesday drew closer. Appearing at West Hills elementary school, in the west of Knoxville, Romney and his wife Ann were introduced by Tennessee's governor, Bill Haslam, who is Romney's state campaign chairman.Mitt Romney swept into east Tennessee on Sunday, declared his fondness for Davy Crockett and then swept straight back out as Super Tuesday drew closer. Appearing at West Hills elementary school, in the west of Knoxville, Romney and his wife Ann were introduced by Tennessee's governor, Bill Haslam, who is Romney's state campaign chairman.
Ann Romney charmed the crowd by talking about the couple's five sons and how badly behaved they were growing up. Now she enjoys watching her grandchildren misbehave, she said, seguing into her fear for their futures under the present president.Ann Romney charmed the crowd by talking about the couple's five sons and how badly behaved they were growing up. Now she enjoys watching her grandchildren misbehave, she said, seguing into her fear for their futures under the present president.
Cue Mitt, who, true to form, was somewhat awkward.Cue Mitt, who, true to form, was somewhat awkward.
"How 'bout those Lady Vols?," he had ventured when first brought onto the stage, referencing the Tennessee Volunteers women's basketball team, who clinched the Southeastern Conference title on Sunday."How 'bout those Lady Vols?," he had ventured when first brought onto the stage, referencing the Tennessee Volunteers women's basketball team, who clinched the Southeastern Conference title on Sunday.
Romney let it be known that women's basketball was not his only Tennessee point of reference. "This place always has special feeling in my heart," Romney said. "Because when I grew up, I was thinking about Davy Crocket."Romney let it be known that women's basketball was not his only Tennessee point of reference. "This place always has special feeling in my heart," Romney said. "Because when I grew up, I was thinking about Davy Crocket."
A smattering of laughter appeared to encourage the former Massacusetts governor, who then recited the beginning of the Davy Crockett theme song:A smattering of laughter appeared to encourage the former Massacusetts governor, who then recited the beginning of the Davy Crockett theme song:
Born on a mountain top in Tennessee,
Greenest state in the land of the free.
Raised in the woods so's he knew every tree,
Killed himself a bear when he was only three.
Born on a mountain top in Tennessee,
Greenest state in the land of the free.
Raised in the woods so's he knew every tree,
Killed himself a bear when he was only three.
A smattering of applause greeted Romney's reading, and Crockett done with, he launched into what was mostly one of his standard issue stump speeches, pledging to label China a currency manipulator, reform "Obamacare" and championing his private sector experience.A smattering of applause greeted Romney's reading, and Crockett done with, he launched into what was mostly one of his standard issue stump speeches, pledging to label China a currency manipulator, reform "Obamacare" and championing his private sector experience.
After criticising Obama as "out of ideas" and "out of excuses", Romney adopted a confessional tone and raised a few eyebrows among the audience. "I never thought I'd be doing this... Running for president of the United States, this is not what I had planned," said the man who first ran for public office in 1994, and then ran for president from 2007.After criticising Obama as "out of ideas" and "out of excuses", Romney adopted a confessional tone and raised a few eyebrows among the audience. "I never thought I'd be doing this... Running for president of the United States, this is not what I had planned," said the man who first ran for public office in 1994, and then ran for president from 2007.
10am: The stamping of tiny feet in the Republican party can be heard over this new NBC/Wall Street Journal poll, which puts Mitt Romney in the lead among Republican voters but at a cost:10am: The stamping of tiny feet in the Republican party can be heard over this new NBC/Wall Street Journal poll, which puts Mitt Romney in the lead among Republican voters but at a cost:
The survey, conducted as the GOP contest has taken up contentious issues such as contraception, found signs of fatigue with the process. Even among Republicans, voter interest in participating in the general election has fallen sharply since January, a rarity in an election year, while negative views of the GOP candidates have risen among independents and moderates.The survey, conducted as the GOP contest has taken up contentious issues such as contraception, found signs of fatigue with the process. Even among Republicans, voter interest in participating in the general election has fallen sharply since January, a rarity in an election year, while negative views of the GOP candidates have risen among independents and moderates.
Bill McInturff, a Republican pollster who conducted the survey along with Democrat Peter Hart, said he could think of only one word to encapsulate the effect of the nomination fight on his party and its candidates: "Corrosive."Bill McInturff, a Republican pollster who conducted the survey along with Democrat Peter Hart, said he could think of only one word to encapsulate the effect of the nomination fight on his party and its candidates: "Corrosive."
Worse for Romney has been the corrosion in his personal popularity:Worse for Romney has been the corrosion in his personal popularity:
New WSJ poll puts Romney as the least-liked frontrunner in decades. Dole in '96 was -4% on the negative/positive thermometer.Mitt is -11%.New WSJ poll puts Romney as the least-liked frontrunner in decades. Dole in '96 was -4% on the negative/positive thermometer.Mitt is -11%.
Worse than Bob Dole? Yikes. Meanwhile, the poll puts Barack Obama's approval rate at 50%.Worse than Bob Dole? Yikes. Meanwhile, the poll puts Barack Obama's approval rate at 50%.
9.53am: PPP has a brace of polls out on the big three Super Tuesday states:9.53am: PPP has a brace of polls out on the big three Super Tuesday states:
• In Ohio Romney leads with 37% to 36% for Santorum, 15% for Gingrich, and 11% for Ron Paul.• In Ohio Romney leads with 37% to 36% for Santorum, 15% for Gingrich, and 11% for Ron Paul.
• In Tennessee Santorum leads with 34% to 29% for Romney, 27% for Gingrich, and 8% for Paul.• In Tennessee Santorum leads with 34% to 29% for Romney, 27% for Gingrich, and 8% for Paul.
• In Georgia Gingrich leads with 47% to 24% for Romney, 19% for Santorum, and 8% for Paul.• In Georgia Gingrich leads with 47% to 24% for Romney, 19% for Santorum, and 8% for Paul.
As PPP comments: "The news is good for Mitt Romney and Newt Gingrich and bad for Rick Santorum," and they are right. If Romney wins Ohio and Tennessee then this thing is over. In fact if Romney wins Ohio – and it looks like he will – then it's all over. The only question is when.As PPP comments: "The news is good for Mitt Romney and Newt Gingrich and bad for Rick Santorum," and they are right. If Romney wins Ohio and Tennessee then this thing is over. In fact if Romney wins Ohio – and it looks like he will – then it's all over. The only question is when.
By the way, the Gingrich campaign schedule is packed with events for the rest of the month in places like Alabama, so he doesn't appear to be thinking of throwing in the towel.By the way, the Gingrich campaign schedule is packed with events for the rest of the month in places like Alabama, so he doesn't appear to be thinking of throwing in the towel.
9.45am: Where the candidates are campaigning today is a sign of where they think their most important opportunities lie.9.45am: Where the candidates are campaigning today is a sign of where they think their most important opportunities lie.
So Rick Santorum and Mitt Romney are battling like Transformers all over Ohio, Newt Gingrich is charging around Tennessee like a bull with a graduate degree, and Ron Paul is frightening the good people of Idaho with tales of hyperinflation and endless war.So Rick Santorum and Mitt Romney are battling like Transformers all over Ohio, Newt Gingrich is charging around Tennessee like a bull with a graduate degree, and Ron Paul is frightening the good people of Idaho with tales of hyperinflation and endless war.
Here's the schedule for today:Here's the schedule for today:
Mitt Romney
8:25am: Holds meet and greet, Canton, Ohio
12.05pm: Holds a town hall, Youngstown, Ohio
6.30pm: Holds a campaign rally, Zanesville, Ohio
Mitt Romney
8:25am: Holds meet and greet, Canton, Ohio
12.05pm: Holds a town hall, Youngstown, Ohio
6.30pm: Holds a campaign rally, Zanesville, Ohio
Rick Santorum
9.30am: Holds a rally, Miamisburg, Ohio
2pm: Holds a rally, Westerville, Ohio
6.30pm: Holds a rally, Cuyahoga Falls, Ohio
Rick Santorum
9.30am: Holds a rally, Miamisburg, Ohio
2pm: Holds a rally, Westerville, Ohio
6.30pm: Holds a rally, Cuyahoga Falls, Ohio
Newt Gingrich
1pm: Speaks to a Republican Women's Luncheon, Kingsport, Tennessee
4pm: Holds a rally, Hilton Knoxville Airport, Alcoa, Tennessee
7pm: Holds a rally. TAC Air Co, Chattanooga, Tennessee
Newt Gingrich
1pm: Speaks to a Republican Women's Luncheon, Kingsport, Tennessee
4pm: Holds a rally, Hilton Knoxville Airport, Alcoa, Tennessee
7pm: Holds a rally. TAC Air Co, Chattanooga, Tennessee
Ron Paul
11am PT: Tours Quest Aircraft manufacturing facility, Sandpoint, Idaho
Noon PT: Holds a town hall, Sandpoint, Idaho
3pm PT: Holds a town hall, University of Idaho, Moscow, Idaho
7pm MT: Holds a town hall, Idaho Falls, Idaho
Ron Paul
11am PT: Tours Quest Aircraft manufacturing facility, Sandpoint, Idaho
Noon PT: Holds a town hall, Sandpoint, Idaho
3pm PT: Holds a town hall, University of Idaho, Moscow, Idaho
7pm MT: Holds a town hall, Idaho Falls, Idaho
9.30am: Good morning from Guardian live blog HQ in Columbus, Ohio, where we've set up shop for tomorrow's Super Tuesday contest. Here's Ryan Devereaux's summary of where things stand today:9.30am: Good morning from Guardian live blog HQ in Columbus, Ohio, where we've set up shop for tomorrow's Super Tuesday contest. Here's Ryan Devereaux's summary of where things stand today:
The GOP candidates are gearing up for Super Tuesday tomorrow, with top Republican congressmen and influential conservatives beginning finally to coalesce behind Mitt Romney. On Sunday, congressman Eric Cantor of Virginia and Oklahoma senator Tom Coburn came out in support for the former Massachusetts governor. They didn't make the most strident of endorsements but the pair made it clear where they stand. Cantor declared: "Mitt Romney is the man for this year," while Coburn said Romney is ""best equipped to solve the urgent problems before us". Former Bush-era attorney general, John Ashcroft is expected to declare his support for Romney today.The GOP candidates are gearing up for Super Tuesday tomorrow, with top Republican congressmen and influential conservatives beginning finally to coalesce behind Mitt Romney. On Sunday, congressman Eric Cantor of Virginia and Oklahoma senator Tom Coburn came out in support for the former Massachusetts governor. They didn't make the most strident of endorsements but the pair made it clear where they stand. Cantor declared: "Mitt Romney is the man for this year," while Coburn said Romney is ""best equipped to solve the urgent problems before us". Former Bush-era attorney general, John Ashcroft is expected to declare his support for Romney today.
Over 400 delegates in 10 states are up for grabs on Tuesday. Rick Santorum and Newt Gingrich are looking for victories in Ohio and Georgia, respectively. Santorum hopes to rebound from his recent losses to Romney in Michigan and Arizona by showing that he is popular among working class, conservative voters. An NBC News/Marist poll released on Sunday gave Santorum a two-point advantage over Romney that was within the survey's margin of sampling error. Public Policy Polling, meanwhile has Romney leading Santorum in Ohio with 37% to 36%. Gingrich, meanwhile, is struggling to remain relevant and banking on a win in his home state of Georgia to prove it. According to PPP, Gingrich leads in Georgia with 47% to 24% for Romney, 19% for Santorum, and 8% for Texas Congressman Ron Paul. PPP also reports that Santorum has the edge on Romney in Tennessee with 34% to 29%.Over 400 delegates in 10 states are up for grabs on Tuesday. Rick Santorum and Newt Gingrich are looking for victories in Ohio and Georgia, respectively. Santorum hopes to rebound from his recent losses to Romney in Michigan and Arizona by showing that he is popular among working class, conservative voters. An NBC News/Marist poll released on Sunday gave Santorum a two-point advantage over Romney that was within the survey's margin of sampling error. Public Policy Polling, meanwhile has Romney leading Santorum in Ohio with 37% to 36%. Gingrich, meanwhile, is struggling to remain relevant and banking on a win in his home state of Georgia to prove it. According to PPP, Gingrich leads in Georgia with 47% to 24% for Romney, 19% for Santorum, and 8% for Texas Congressman Ron Paul. PPP also reports that Santorum has the edge on Romney in Tennessee with 34% to 29%.
Paul has acknowledged that he probably won't be nominated to run against President Obama. Paul traveled to Alaska over the weekend, which is holding caucuses Tuesday. Discussing his prospects in a TV interview Paul said, "Do I believe the chances are slim? Yes, I do."Paul has acknowledged that he probably won't be nominated to run against President Obama. Paul traveled to Alaska over the weekend, which is holding caucuses Tuesday. Discussing his prospects in a TV interview Paul said, "Do I believe the chances are slim? Yes, I do."
Barack Obama has warned that "loose talk" of war with Iran could push the country to develop a nuclear weapon, in a speech to the pro-Israel lobbying group Aipac. The Republican candidates have used the spectre of a nuclear-armed Iran as an excuse to argue about who is the biggest supporter of Israel ,and to paint the president as weak.Barack Obama has warned that "loose talk" of war with Iran could push the country to develop a nuclear weapon, in a speech to the pro-Israel lobbying group Aipac. The Republican candidates have used the spectre of a nuclear-armed Iran as an excuse to argue about who is the biggest supporter of Israel ,and to paint the president as weak.
Republicans have been distancing themselves from the Conservative talkshow host Rush Limbaugh. He was forced to apologize for calling a law student a "slut" and "prostitute" because she expressed public support for the Obama administration's policy on funding for contraception. The comments caused a storm of controversy last week and resulted in numerous sponsors pulling their support for Limbaugh's show. Newt Gingrich said it was right for the host to apologize for his comments and added that it was "silly" to say Limbaugh – whose show is wildly popular among conservatives – speaks for the GOP.Republicans have been distancing themselves from the Conservative talkshow host Rush Limbaugh. He was forced to apologize for calling a law student a "slut" and "prostitute" because she expressed public support for the Obama administration's policy on funding for contraception. The comments caused a storm of controversy last week and resulted in numerous sponsors pulling their support for Limbaugh's show. Newt Gingrich said it was right for the host to apologize for his comments and added that it was "silly" to say Limbaugh – whose show is wildly popular among conservatives – speaks for the GOP.