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'Rainbow coalition' poll backing 'Rainbow coalition' poll backing
(about 3 hours later)
A "rainbow" alliance of Plaid Cymru, Liberal Democrats and Conservatives is the most popular coalition option for governing Wales, according to a poll. A rainbow alliance of Plaid Cymru, Liberal Democrats and Conservatives is the most popular coalition option for governing Wales, according to a poll.
Forty one per cent of people surveyed in the ICM telephone poll for BBC Wales said they favoured a coalition of opposition parties in Cardiff Bay.Forty one per cent of people surveyed in the ICM telephone poll for BBC Wales said they favoured a coalition of opposition parties in Cardiff Bay.
A deal between Labour and Plaid Cymru won backing from 28% while 21% supported a Labour-Lib Dem coalition.A deal between Labour and Plaid Cymru won backing from 28% while 21% supported a Labour-Lib Dem coalition.
Talks to find a stable government for Wales are now in their final week.Talks to find a stable government for Wales are now in their final week.
More than 1,000 people were interviewed by ICM research by telephone last week in the poll for BBC Wales.More than 1,000 people were interviewed by ICM research by telephone last week in the poll for BBC Wales.
Plaid Cymru, which has already agreed a possible alliance with the two other opposition parties, now has to decide whether it will work with Labour in government instead.Plaid Cymru, which has already agreed a possible alliance with the two other opposition parties, now has to decide whether it will work with Labour in government instead.
WHICH PARTIES WOULD YOU PREFER TO WORK TOGETHER? Plaid, Cons and Lib Dem 41%Labour and Plaid 28%Labour and Lib Dem 21%Other/Don't know 10%Source: ICM telephone poll for BBC WalesWHICH PARTIES WOULD YOU PREFER TO WORK TOGETHER? Plaid, Cons and Lib Dem 41%Labour and Plaid 28%Labour and Lib Dem 21%Other/Don't know 10%Source: ICM telephone poll for BBC Wales
Its national council meets on 7 July to decide on which coalition to form.Its national council meets on 7 July to decide on which coalition to form.
Plaid AM Alun Ffred Jones said: "Most interestingly is the fact that most people expect Plaid Cymru to be part of the next government however it's formed.
But he added that the poll was just a "snapshot" of public opinion.
"Rhodri Morgan was allowed to form a government by the other parties and I think it was right and proper that we should ask the Labour party whether they were serious about negotiating and they have been.
'Stable government'
More than half of those polled - 57% - thought a coalition government would be good, while 27% said they were against the idea.
Labour, which is five seats short of a majority in the assembly voted in on 3 May, is to hold a special conference to confirm any Plaid deal.Labour, which is five seats short of a majority in the assembly voted in on 3 May, is to hold a special conference to confirm any Plaid deal.
More than half of those polled - 57% - thought a coalition government would be good, while 27% were against the idea. But Jane Hutt, Labour's business and budget minister said they had reached an agreement.
Rhodri Morgan remains the strongest and most popular candidate to lead any coalition government in Wales, according to the survey. "We have had very serious and intensive discussions with Plaid, it has reached conclusion and this is about ensuring we have a stable government," she added.
Clear pattern The poll suggests that Rhodri Morgan remains the strongest and most popular candidate to lead any coalition government in Wales.
However, given a straight choice between Mr Morgan and Plaid leader Ieuan Wyn Jones, just 48% backed Mr Morgan.However, given a straight choice between Mr Morgan and Plaid leader Ieuan Wyn Jones, just 48% backed Mr Morgan.
Another 34% thought Mr Jones would make the best coalition leader.Another 34% thought Mr Jones would make the best coalition leader.
But nearly one in five of those polled (18%) could not decide between them.But nearly one in five of those polled (18%) could not decide between them.
Commenting on the poll's findings, BBC Wales' Welsh affairs editor, Vaughan Roderick said: "At a time when things seemed to be moving towards a Labour-Plaid deal being done in Cardiff Bay, the sharp increase in public support for a 'rainbow alliance' will give our politicians plenty of pause for thought". Conservative AM Jonathan Morgan said: "A collation of the three opposition parties would be healthy for Wales. I think it would introduce a new dynamic.
Interviewees were also asked how they would respond to a referendum on giving the Welsh assembly full law-making powers, and the ability to raise its own taxes.
Rhodri Morgan was a more popular choice of first minister than Ieuan Wyn Jones in the pollRhodri Morgan was a more popular choice of first minister than Ieuan Wyn Jones in the poll
He added that forming an administration with the three opposition parties would be "enormous, in terms of a cultural change of attitude".
However, he did admit to being frustrated because the process has "gone on so long".
But Jenny Randerson Liberal Democrat AM warned Plaid of entering into government with Labour.
"Having been in government with Labour, I know it was hard work to keep them to the letter of your agreement every day of the week," Ms Randerson said.
Interviewees were also asked how they would respond to a referendum on giving the Welsh assembly full law-making powers, and the ability to raise its own taxes.
Opinion was divided with 47% in favour of the move and. 44% against it while 9% did not know.Opinion was divided with 47% in favour of the move and. 44% against it while 9% did not know.
This mirrors the finding of a BBC Wales/ICM poll two months ago.
Questioned on the use of proportional representation, the survey found that 54% were in favour of using the system now employed in the assembly election in the Westminster parliamentary elections. While 32% were opposed.
However, the poll also suggested there was a clear pattern of opposition to changing the voting system among older voters, and the strongest support among those aged 18-34.
Sixty four per cent of those questioned were in favour of change, when asked about introducing proportional representation for local council elections in Wales.
Just 26% stated a preference for keeping the existing system of first past the post.
The strongest support was among the younger voters with 70% in favour of change, and by far the clearest opposition among people over 65 where only 53% wanted change.