This article is from the source 'guardian' and was first published or seen on . It last changed over 40 days ago and won't be checked again for changes.
You can find the current article at its original source at http://www.guardian.co.uk/world/2012/jun/04/wisconsin-recall-poll-walker-lead
The article has changed 7 times. There is an RSS feed of changes available.
| Version 0 | Version 1 |
|---|---|
| Wisconsin recall election likely to come down to voter turnout, poll shows | Wisconsin recall election likely to come down to voter turnout, poll shows |
| (10 months later) | |
| Campaigners on both sides of Wisconsin's bitter gubernatorial recall vote stepped up their feverish get-out-the-vote drives on Monday as a new state-wide poll suggested Governor Scott Walker's lead was narrowing. | Campaigners on both sides of Wisconsin's bitter gubernatorial recall vote stepped up their feverish get-out-the-vote drives on Monday as a new state-wide poll suggested Governor Scott Walker's lead was narrowing. |
| The survey by Public Policy Polling (PPP) gave the Republican incumbent 50% and his Democratic challenger Tom Barrett 47%. Walker is down from 50-45 on a PPP poll taken three weeks ago and from 52-45 recorded in a Marquette Law poll last week. | The survey by Public Policy Polling (PPP) gave the Republican incumbent 50% and his Democratic challenger Tom Barrett 47%. Walker is down from 50-45 on a PPP poll taken three weeks ago and from 52-45 recorded in a Marquette Law poll last week. |
| Although the poll movement is small and turnout is difficult to predict, the findings will boost Democrat hopes that they can snatch an unlikely victory if they can persuade enough voters to go to the polls. | Although the poll movement is small and turnout is difficult to predict, the findings will boost Democrat hopes that they can snatch an unlikely victory if they can persuade enough voters to go to the polls. |
| "It's cliche but this is a race that really is going to completely come down to turnout," the PPP said in comments accompanying the survey. "This is a close race, closer than it was a couple weeks ago. Scott Walker's still the favorite but Barrett's prospects for an upset look better than they have in a long time." | "It's cliche but this is a race that really is going to completely come down to turnout," the PPP said in comments accompanying the survey. "This is a close race, closer than it was a couple weeks ago. Scott Walker's still the favorite but Barrett's prospects for an upset look better than they have in a long time." |
| PPP is a Democratic firm which polls regularly in Wisconsin. The left-leaning website Daily Kos commissioned its previous two polls but no client paid for this latest one, it said. The poll surveyed 1,226 likely voters via telephone on 2 and 3 June. | PPP is a Democratic firm which polls regularly in Wisconsin. The left-leaning website Daily Kos commissioned its previous two polls but no client paid for this latest one, it said. The poll surveyed 1,226 likely voters via telephone on 2 and 3 June. |
| The same poll showed Barack Obama taking Wisconsin by 7%, a fall from the 14% lead he won in 2008 which could make the state a key battleground in November's presidential election. | The same poll showed Barack Obama taking Wisconsin by 7%, a fall from the 14% lead he won in 2008 which could make the state a key battleground in November's presidential election. |
| Walker leads among men, whites, the elderly and has a whopping 70-29 advantage among voters in the Milwaukee suburbs. Barrett has an edge with women, minorities, the young and voters in Milwaukee county and greater Madison. He leads among independents by 48 – 46. | Walker leads among men, whites, the elderly and has a whopping 70-29 advantage among voters in the Milwaukee suburbs. Barrett has an edge with women, minorities, the young and voters in Milwaukee county and greater Madison. He leads among independents by 48 – 46. |
| The reason he still trails overall is that Republicans are more excited about voting, said Dean Debnam, PPP's president. "What's going to determine Tuesday's outcome is pretty simple. If Democrats turn out in the same numbers that they did in 2008 Tom Barrett will win a surprise victory. And if they don't Scott Walker will survive." | The reason he still trails overall is that Republicans are more excited about voting, said Dean Debnam, PPP's president. "What's going to determine Tuesday's outcome is pretty simple. If Democrats turn out in the same numbers that they did in 2008 Tom Barrett will win a surprise victory. And if they don't Scott Walker will survive." |
| Recall activists have struggled to convince some supporters that they can win the vote but in public remain upbeat. "The wind is down for the Republican party. I hear it and see it. I can tell you, they're losing momentum," Steve Kagen, a Democratic former Congressman, told the Guardian. | Recall activists have struggled to convince some supporters that they can win the vote but in public remain upbeat. "The wind is down for the Republican party. I hear it and see it. I can tell you, they're losing momentum," Steve Kagen, a Democratic former Congressman, told the Guardian. |
| Republicans said they remain confident of victory but take nothing for granted. "We are working flat-out until the last minute. We are not going to be like the hare who takes a nap just before the finish line," said Robert Dickerson, the party's field director in Appleton. | Republicans said they remain confident of victory but take nothing for granted. "We are working flat-out until the last minute. We are not going to be like the hare who takes a nap just before the finish line," said Robert Dickerson, the party's field director in Appleton. |
| guardian.co.uk today is our daily snapshot of the top news stories, sent to your inbox at 8am |