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| Wisconsin recall election results – live coverage | Wisconsin recall election results – live coverage |
| (40 minutes later) | |
| 9.25pm: The Huffington Post doesn't just publish "side boob" microsites, it also has this fantastic Wisconsin voting chart that allows you to compare tonight's voting to the 2010 results. | |
| 9.16pm: Let's dive into the exit poll data from Wisconsin: | |
| • Union households made up about a third of the electorate, and about two-thirds of them backed Tom Barrett, about the same level of support he received among the group in 2010 | |
| • Barrett improved on his 2010 performance among African Americans, those with incomes below $50,000 and independents. Barrett won 95% of the African American vote, up from 87% in 2010 | |
| • Both Walker and Barrett retained more than 9 in 10 of those who backed them in 2010. Walker marginally won independent voters by 50%-49% | |
| • About one in 10 voters said they did not vote in 2010 – and they broke heavily for Barrett | |
| • About 9 in 10 in early exit polling said they decided who to vote for before May. Those who did make up their minds in the final month of the campaign supported Barrett by nearly 30 points | |
| 9.08pm: More from the exit poll – and it may be tight in the recall race, but Wisconsin voters still appear to be backing Barack Obama come November. | |
| The exit poll has Obama getting 54% to Mitt Romney's 42% – and that's a poll that should be more accurate than most state polls at this point, given the circumstances. That must be a disappointment for Republicans. | |
| 9.06pm: Gary Younge sees some last minute stragglers dashing in at the last moment to vote in Milwaukee: | |
| At 7.58pm outside the Keenan health centre, recall supporters chivvied up the stragglers: "Come on blood seriously get in there." | |
| "You're the on who came to my door," said the young man, struggling to run as his trousers sagged halfway down his legs. "I'm here like I said." | |
| A minute later the polls closed to applause. | |
| Gary adds that everywhere he's been has had long lines but no problems. | |
| 9.04pm: The first exit poll from Wisconsin – according to CNN – shows a 50/50 split between Scott Walker and Tom Barrett. | |
| Wolf Blitzer has the RNC chairman Reince Priebus on, and he's being low key. | |
| 9.03pm: Meanwhile, the Guardian's Gary Younge is touring those polling places in Milwaukee that are reported to have run out of ballot papers. He has some good news: | |
| Been to two of the polling stations - Ben Franklin and the one on West Burleigh. If there was a problem there it's over now. On to the next few | |
| 9pm: So polls are supposed to have closed in Wisconsin, although state law allows those in line to vote if they are there at the time voting officially ends. | |
| Right then, let's see some more exit polling then. | |
| 8.42pm: All this rabbiting on and polls have already closed in New Jersey, where someone named Mitt Romney – if that is his real name – has won the Republican presidential primary. | |
| Yes they are still having those. Ron Paul was second with, let's see, 10%. | |
| There are some other results that may or may not be important. I will note that three candidates running for the Republican US senate nomination in New Jersey have the surnames Kyrillos, Rullo and Qarmout – which are not only awesome Scrabble words but signs that the GOP is more diverse than you might think. | |
| So far Joe Kyrillos is well in the lead. | |
| 8.30pm: There was a lot of talk over Barack Obama's non-appearance in Wisconsin during the recall campaign – but it's worth noting that Mitt Romney didn't show his face in the Badger State either. | 8.30pm: There was a lot of talk over Barack Obama's non-appearance in Wisconsin during the recall campaign – but it's worth noting that Mitt Romney didn't show his face in the Badger State either. |
| 2. Romney polling/political operation is strong...We all thought a 5-point Walker win. Maybe they saw something else + why he didn't go in. | 2. Romney polling/political operation is strong...We all thought a 5-point Walker win. Maybe they saw something else + why he didn't go in. |
| RealClearPolitics's very clever Erin McPike also wonders why, via Twitter. | RealClearPolitics's very clever Erin McPike also wonders why, via Twitter. |
| 8.25pm: The Guardian's Gary Younge is on the ground in Milwaukee, and sends this alarming news: | 8.25pm: The Guardian's Gary Younge is on the ground in Milwaukee, and sends this alarming news: |
| Many polling locations here in the inner city of Milwaukee are running out of ballots and voter registration forms. Based on the anecdotes I'm hearing from the field, it's safe to say that hundreds and hundreds of people have not voted as a result. | Many polling locations here in the inner city of Milwaukee are running out of ballots and voter registration forms. Based on the anecdotes I'm hearing from the field, it's safe to say that hundreds and hundreds of people have not voted as a result. |
| Here are specifics: | Here are specifics: |
| Wards 104, 105: Keenan Health Center, 3200 N 36th St Wards 110, 111: Children's Outing Association, 2320 W Burleigh St. Wards 108, 109: Ben Franklin, 2308 W Nash Other wards: 141, 142, 148 and 170 | Wards 104, 105: Keenan Health Center, 3200 N 36th St Wards 110, 111: Children's Outing Association, 2320 W Burleigh St. Wards 108, 109: Ben Franklin, 2308 W Nash Other wards: 141, 142, 148 and 170 |
| The Milwaukee Journal Sentinel carries a similar report of shortages over an hour ago: "Registration forms and ballots are running out at some City of Milwaukee polling sites." | The Milwaukee Journal Sentinel carries a similar report of shortages over an hour ago: "Registration forms and ballots are running out at some City of Milwaukee polling sites." |
| 8.15pm: Some Wisconsin numbers to bear in mind once we see some voting totals later tonight, for comparison with the last election in 2010. | 8.15pm: Some Wisconsin numbers to bear in mind once we see some voting totals later tonight, for comparison with the last election in 2010. |
| The 2010 governor's race – won narrowly by Scott Walker – saw a total of 2,160,832 votes. | The 2010 governor's race – won narrowly by Scott Walker – saw a total of 2,160,832 votes. |
| Again, in 2010 – a total of 220,273 votes were cast in Dane County, with 341,017 in Milwaukee, and 188,278 in Waukesha County. | Again, in 2010 – a total of 220,273 votes were cast in Dane County, with 341,017 in Milwaukee, and 188,278 in Waukesha County. |
| 8.10pm: What's making this election live blog especially exciting for me is that the office upstairs is either being rebuilt by drunken teenagers or the CIA has opened a new black site. | 8.10pm: What's making this election live blog especially exciting for me is that the office upstairs is either being rebuilt by drunken teenagers or the CIA has opened a new black site. |
| 8.05pm: With just under an hour to go, what should we be watching out for to judge the winners and losers from the recall election? | 8.05pm: With just under an hour to go, what should we be watching out for to judge the winners and losers from the recall election? |
| • Turnout: it's a cliche of politics but turnout wins elections. In this case, Democrats want to get out the 2008 voters who carried the state for Barack Obama – and then stayed home in 2010 and allowed Scott Walker to narrowly carry the governorship | • Turnout: it's a cliche of politics but turnout wins elections. In this case, Democrats want to get out the 2008 voters who carried the state for Barack Obama – and then stayed home in 2010 and allowed Scott Walker to narrowly carry the governorship |
| • Dane County versus Waukesha County: these are the top two vote centres of the state, with heavily Democratic Dane vying against GOP stronghold Waukesha. Turnout in those centres in particular – compared with 2010 – will be important | • Dane County versus Waukesha County: these are the top two vote centres of the state, with heavily Democratic Dane vying against GOP stronghold Waukesha. Turnout in those centres in particular – compared with 2010 – will be important |
| • Downballot recalls: as well as Walker, the state's Republican lieutenant governor and four Republican state senators are also facing recalls tonight. The Republicans hold a slender 17-16 lead in Wisconsin's upper chamber and a loss of that majority will hurt walker even if he holds on | • Downballot recalls: as well as Walker, the state's Republican lieutenant governor and four Republican state senators are also facing recalls tonight. The Republicans hold a slender 17-16 lead in Wisconsin's upper chamber and a loss of that majority will hurt walker even if he holds on |
| 8pm: Wisconsin's recall election has been a year in the making – and it all comes down to tonight, with polls in the Badger state closing in one hour and governor Scott Walker's fate decided. | 8pm: Wisconsin's recall election has been a year in the making – and it all comes down to tonight, with polls in the Badger state closing in one hour and governor Scott Walker's fate decided. |
| Already there is talk of recounts and legal challenges – most likely if the result is close, to within less than 10,000 votes – and anecdotal evidence suggests some parts of the state have seen high turnout, raising the prospect of a long and bitter fight. | Already there is talk of recounts and legal challenges – most likely if the result is close, to within less than 10,000 votes – and anecdotal evidence suggests some parts of the state have seen high turnout, raising the prospect of a long and bitter fight. |
| We'll be live blogging all the results and activity in Wisconsin as it happens, with the Guardian's journalists Rory Carroll and Gary Younge on the ground and taking the pulse. We'll also be covering the elections happening else in America tonight, most notably in California, where a controversial tobacco tax goes before the voters and a gaggle of Republicans jostle to take on incumbent Democratic senator Diane Feinstein. | We'll be live blogging all the results and activity in Wisconsin as it happens, with the Guardian's journalists Rory Carroll and Gary Younge on the ground and taking the pulse. We'll also be covering the elections happening else in America tonight, most notably in California, where a controversial tobacco tax goes before the voters and a gaggle of Republicans jostle to take on incumbent Democratic senator Diane Feinstein. |
| So sit back and enjoy the show – it could be a long night. Feel free to leave your thoughts in the comments section below. And you can follow the Guardian team's witty asides and recycled jokes on Twitter here. | So sit back and enjoy the show – it could be a long night. Feel free to leave your thoughts in the comments section below. And you can follow the Guardian team's witty asides and recycled jokes on Twitter here. |
| Catch up on the rest of the day's action with our earlier live blog here. | Catch up on the rest of the day's action with our earlier live blog here. |