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House prices show monthly rise but remain 'volatile' House prices show monthly rise but remain 'volatile'
(12 days later)
House prices rose by 1% in June to an average of £162,417 as the housing market continued its volatile start to the year, according to mortgage lender Halifax.House prices rose by 1% in June to an average of £162,417 as the housing market continued its volatile start to the year, according to mortgage lender Halifax.
In the first six months of 2012 the bank has reported four monthly price rises and two monthly drops, including a 2.3% fall in April.In the first six months of 2012 the bank has reported four monthly price rises and two monthly drops, including a 2.3% fall in April.
Halifax's housing economist, Martin Ellis, said the end of the stamp duty holiday for first-time buyers towards the end of March "appears to have distorted house price movements and sales in recent months". However, he said the wider picture was of a market that was stabilising.Halifax's housing economist, Martin Ellis, said the end of the stamp duty holiday for first-time buyers towards the end of March "appears to have distorted house price movements and sales in recent months". However, he said the wider picture was of a market that was stabilising.
"There has been a marked improvement in the annual rate of change over the past 12 months. A year ago, in May 2011, house prices were falling at an annual rate of 4.2%," he said."There has been a marked improvement in the annual rate of change over the past 12 months. A year ago, in May 2011, house prices were falling at an annual rate of 4.2%," he said.
"In contrast, there has been broad stability recently with the annual rate between 0% and -0.5% in each of the past three months.""In contrast, there has been broad stability recently with the annual rate between 0% and -0.5% in each of the past three months."
The figure for the three months to June, which is considered to offer a better picture of the market than one month's numbers, showed a 0.3% drop in prices.The figure for the three months to June, which is considered to offer a better picture of the market than one month's numbers, showed a 0.3% drop in prices.
Halifax's figures for June, which contradict rival lender Nationwide's report of a 1.5% fall in June, took economists by surprise.Halifax's figures for June, which contradict rival lender Nationwide's report of a 1.5% fall in June, took economists by surprise.
Howard Archer, chief economist at IHS Global Insight, said: "We are surprised by the 1% rise in house prices in June reported by the Halifax.Howard Archer, chief economist at IHS Global Insight, said: "We are surprised by the 1% rise in house prices in June reported by the Halifax.
"However, it should be borne in mind that the Halifax house price index has been particularly volatile in recent months, which partly reflects the distortions caused by the ending of a stamp duty concession in late-March.""However, it should be borne in mind that the Halifax house price index has been particularly volatile in recent months, which partly reflects the distortions caused by the ending of a stamp duty concession in late-March."
Russell Quirk, director of online estate agents eMoov.co.uk, said it would be wrong to see the figures as a sign that the housing market was strong.Russell Quirk, director of online estate agents eMoov.co.uk, said it would be wrong to see the figures as a sign that the housing market was strong.
"Anyone looking to sell in the current market has to put their property on at the right price, or be prepared to wait indefinitely," he said. "Buyers know they have a strong hand right now.""Anyone looking to sell in the current market has to put their property on at the right price, or be prepared to wait indefinitely," he said. "Buyers know they have a strong hand right now."
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