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Primary school place demand set to rise Primary school place demand set to rise
(about 1 hour later)
By Angela Harrison Education correspondent, BBC NewsBy Angela Harrison Education correspondent, BBC News
England's primary school population is set to rise by 18% in the next eight years, experts are predicting.England's primary school population is set to rise by 18% in the next eight years, experts are predicting.
And by 2015, numbers are expected to grow by 8%, according to statistics from the Department for Education.And by 2015, numbers are expected to grow by 8%, according to statistics from the Department for Education.
Secondary school numbers have been falling and will continue to do so until 2015, when the surge in primary pupils will start to feed through.Secondary school numbers have been falling and will continue to do so until 2015, when the surge in primary pupils will start to feed through.
The government has pledged to spend more than £4bn in the next four years on creating new school places.The government has pledged to spend more than £4bn in the next four years on creating new school places.
Other recent projections said 450,000 new primary places would be needed in England by 2015.Other recent projections said 450,000 new primary places would be needed in England by 2015.
There are hot-spots of need around the country, with London under the most pressure.There are hot-spots of need around the country, with London under the most pressure.
In London, by 2015, the primary age population is expected to be 18% higher than it was in 2010.
But the growth is not only expected in the South East. In the North East and South West, primary numbers are expected to rise by 9% over the same time.
England's birth rate has been rising since 2002 and is expected to continue to grow, the statisticians say.England's birth rate has been rising since 2002 and is expected to continue to grow, the statisticians say.
The government says its policies of allowing good schools to expand and of creating new free schools should help.
Schools Minister Lord Hill has accused Labour of ignoring warnings about population growth and future shortages when it was in power.
"The last government knew there was an issue as early as 2004 but sadly did nothing," he said.
"Unlike Labour we are taking the determined action needed to deal with this problem by spending more than £4 billion on extra primary places."
Critics say the government's free school programme will not meet the need for places.