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Observer launches national Opinium poll Observer launches national Opinium poll
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The Observer has launched the Opinium/Observer poll, which will track approval ratings for the main political parties and their leaders between now and the next election.The Observer has launched the Opinium/Observer poll, which will track approval ratings for the main political parties and their leaders between now and the next election.
Latest polling figures will be available each fortnight between now and 2015 on guardian.co.uk, as Britain heads towards what promises to be a nail-bitingly close general election.Latest polling figures will be available each fortnight between now and 2015 on guardian.co.uk, as Britain heads towards what promises to be a nail-bitingly close general election.
Ahead of the Liberal Democrat conference opening this weekend in Brighton, David Cameron remains the political leader with the biggest net approval rating: 32% compared with Ed Miliband's 25% and Nick Clegg's 13%. But the number of those who disapprove of the prime minister is higher than the opposition leader, giving Miliband the smaller overall net rating of -14% compared with Cameron's -20%. Clegg's overall net rating is far worse at -48%. The figures for Cameron remain negative overall when people are asked if they approve or disapprove of how he is handling his job at No 10. Just 32% approve compared with 52% who do not.Ahead of the Liberal Democrat conference opening this weekend in Brighton, David Cameron remains the political leader with the biggest net approval rating: 32% compared with Ed Miliband's 25% and Nick Clegg's 13%. But the number of those who disapprove of the prime minister is higher than the opposition leader, giving Miliband the smaller overall net rating of -14% compared with Cameron's -20%. Clegg's overall net rating is far worse at -48%. The figures for Cameron remain negative overall when people are asked if they approve or disapprove of how he is handling his job at No 10. Just 32% approve compared with 52% who do not.
If Clegg remained Lib Dem leader at the next general election, 57% would be "very unlikely" to vote for his party. If he were replaced by business secretary Vince Cable that figure drops to 44%. More than twice as many people think the Lib Dems have had a negative influence on government, with 41% believing the liberal effect has been "very" or "quite" negative. Only 19% think the party has a positive effect.If Clegg remained Lib Dem leader at the next general election, 57% would be "very unlikely" to vote for his party. If he were replaced by business secretary Vince Cable that figure drops to 44%. More than twice as many people think the Lib Dems have had a negative influence on government, with 41% believing the liberal effect has been "very" or "quite" negative. Only 19% think the party has a positive effect.
Just one in three voters who supported the Lib Dems in 2010 would do so again today. Labour would pick up 39% of those votes, with the Green party securing 10% and the Conservatives 8%. Unsurprisingly, Clegg's party remains rooted to the bottom of the overall opinion polls, with just 8% of those likely to vote saying they will support the Lib Dems, who have now slipped behind Ukip. The Conservatives are on 30%, behind Labour on 42%.Just one in three voters who supported the Lib Dems in 2010 would do so again today. Labour would pick up 39% of those votes, with the Green party securing 10% and the Conservatives 8%. Unsurprisingly, Clegg's party remains rooted to the bottom of the overall opinion polls, with just 8% of those likely to vote saying they will support the Lib Dems, who have now slipped behind Ukip. The Conservatives are on 30%, behind Labour on 42%.
The polls represent views of the 1,681 people who indicated that they were likely to vote from 1,964 online interviews. Opinium Research carried out an online survey of 1,964 GB adults aged 18+ from 18th to 21st September 2012. Results have been weighted to nationally representative criteria. Full polling results are available here.