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Davos 2013: Draghi sees 2013 eurozone recovery | Davos 2013: Draghi sees 2013 eurozone recovery |
(35 minutes later) | |
European Central Bank (ECB) president Mario Draghi says he expects the eurozone economy to begin recovering in the second half of this year. | European Central Bank (ECB) president Mario Draghi says he expects the eurozone economy to begin recovering in the second half of this year. |
Speaking at the World Economic Forum in Davos, Switzerland, he said there had been significant improvements in European financial markets. | Speaking at the World Economic Forum in Davos, Switzerland, he said there had been significant improvements in European financial markets. |
But he said it would take time to see similar gains in the real economy. | But he said it would take time to see similar gains in the real economy. |
Last month, the bank said the eurozone economy would either contract or expand between -0.9% and +0.4% in 2013. | Last month, the bank said the eurozone economy would either contract or expand between -0.9% and +0.4% in 2013. |
Europe's financial markets are "experiencing a renewed sense of relative tranquillity", he told the forum, saying there had been "substantial improvement in market conditions" over recent months. | Europe's financial markets are "experiencing a renewed sense of relative tranquillity", he told the forum, saying there had been "substantial improvement in market conditions" over recent months. |
But he said the performance of the real economy had been less positive. | But he said the performance of the real economy had been less positive. |
"The level of economic activity is in the process of stabilising at very low levels," Mr Draghi said. "We foresee a recovery in the second half of the year." | "The level of economic activity is in the process of stabilising at very low levels," Mr Draghi said. "We foresee a recovery in the second half of the year." |
Austerity 'unavoidable' | |
He also admitted that the "jury is still out" on whether measures taken by the ECB last year to pump liquidity into the markets had been successful. | He also admitted that the "jury is still out" on whether measures taken by the ECB last year to pump liquidity into the markets had been successful. |
But he said the governments of eurozone members states deserved credit for the "extraordinary progress" they had made in terms of fiscal consolidation and structural reforms. | But he said the governments of eurozone members states deserved credit for the "extraordinary progress" they had made in terms of fiscal consolidation and structural reforms. |
Governments in Greece, Spain and other European countries have seen public protests and unrest at plans to cut spending and raise taxes in an effort to cut budget deficits and restore investor confidence. | Governments in Greece, Spain and other European countries have seen public protests and unrest at plans to cut spending and raise taxes in an effort to cut budget deficits and restore investor confidence. |
Mr Draghi said the question of austerity versus growth was nonsensical. | Mr Draghi said the question of austerity versus growth was nonsensical. |
"Fiscal consolidation is unavoidable," he said. | "Fiscal consolidation is unavoidable," he said. |
"There can't be sustainable growth achieved though an endless creation of debt. But we have to admit that fiscal consolidation is contractionary in the short term. | "There can't be sustainable growth achieved though an endless creation of debt. But we have to admit that fiscal consolidation is contractionary in the short term. |
"The question is not growth versus consolidation, it is how do we mitigate the negative effects of short term fiscal consolidation." | "The question is not growth versus consolidation, it is how do we mitigate the negative effects of short term fiscal consolidation." |