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French and German economies contracted at end of 2012 French and German economies contracted at end of 2012
(35 minutes later)
The German and French economies both contracted in the final three months of 2012, official figures have shown.The German and French economies both contracted in the final three months of 2012, official figures have shown.
Germany - the eurozone's largest economy - saw its GDP shrink by 0.6% as exports declined. Germany - the eurozone's largest economy - saw its gross domestic product (GDP) shrink by 0.6% as exports declined.
That was the deepest contraction since the first three months of 2009 - the height of the financial crisis.That was the deepest contraction since the first three months of 2009 - the height of the financial crisis.
The French economy shrank by 0.3% in the fourth quarter. Both numbers were worse than most economists had forecast. The French economy shrank by 0.3% in the fourth quarter. Both numbers were worse than forecast.
Some analysts have predicted France is heading for a recession - usually defined as two consecutive quarters of contraction.Some analysts have predicted France is heading for a recession - usually defined as two consecutive quarters of contraction.
However, France's central bank recently forecast that the economy would expand in the first three months of 2013.However, France's central bank recently forecast that the economy would expand in the first three months of 2013.
The French President Francois Hollande is trying to make France more competitive by slashing government spending and relaxing labour regulations.The French President Francois Hollande is trying to make France more competitive by slashing government spending and relaxing labour regulations.
'Outlook promising''Outlook promising'
The German statistics office said: "Comparatively weak foreign trade was the decisive factor for the decline in the economic performance at the end of the year: in the final quarter of 2012 exports of goods declined significantly more than imports of goods."The German statistics office said: "Comparatively weak foreign trade was the decisive factor for the decline in the economic performance at the end of the year: in the final quarter of 2012 exports of goods declined significantly more than imports of goods."
But economists remain upbeat about the outlook for Germany.But economists remain upbeat about the outlook for Germany.
"This is a temporary period of weakness in the German economy rather than the beginning of a long period of stagnation or even a recession " said Andreas Rees, chief German economist at the bank Unicredit."This is a temporary period of weakness in the German economy rather than the beginning of a long period of stagnation or even a recession " said Andreas Rees, chief German economist at the bank Unicredit.
He added: "The outlook is very promising. The chances that the economy will return to growth at the beginning of this year are very good."He added: "The outlook is very promising. The chances that the economy will return to growth at the beginning of this year are very good."
That sentiment has been back up by recent surveys. January's closely watched business confidence survey for Germany hit its highest level since before the eurozone crisis.
Eurozone purchasing managers' index (PMI) surveys for January also indicated the worst may be over. Germany, Spain and Italy all showed signs of stabilisation - although in France the downturn deepened.
The growth figure for the whole eurozone is out later and is expected to show the recession in the region worsening. GDP is forecast to contract by 0.4% - which would be the third consecutive quarter of contraction.