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House prices rise but face significant constraints, says Halifax House prices rise but face significant constraints, says Halifax
(12 days later)
House prices rose for the fourth successive quarter at the beginning of 2013, according to figures released by mortgage lender Halifax.House prices rose for the fourth successive quarter at the beginning of 2013, according to figures released by mortgage lender Halifax.
Prices in the first three months of the year were up by 1.2% on the previous quarter, and up by 1.1% on the same period in 2012. The lender's latest snapshot of the housing market showed a 0.2% increase in March, which followed a 0.5% rise in February.Prices in the first three months of the year were up by 1.2% on the previous quarter, and up by 1.1% on the same period in 2012. The lender's latest snapshot of the housing market showed a 0.2% increase in March, which followed a 0.5% rise in February.
The average price of a UK home is now £163,943, more than £35,000 below the peak price of £199,612 recorded by the index in August 2007, and less than £10,000 above the recent trough of £154,663 in April 2009.The average price of a UK home is now £163,943, more than £35,000 below the peak price of £199,612 recorded by the index in August 2007, and less than £10,000 above the recent trough of £154,663 in April 2009.
Despite noting an ongoing increase in house sales and predicting a further pick-up in prices, the lender said it expected "significant constraints" on demand to remain in place for the rest of the year.Despite noting an ongoing increase in house sales and predicting a further pick-up in prices, the lender said it expected "significant constraints" on demand to remain in place for the rest of the year.
"Weak income growth and continuing below-trend economic growth are likely to remain significant constraints on housing demand during the remainder of this year," said Martin Ellis, Halifax housing economist. "Overall, we expect to see a modest increase in UK house prices during 2013.""Weak income growth and continuing below-trend economic growth are likely to remain significant constraints on housing demand during the remainder of this year," said Martin Ellis, Halifax housing economist. "Overall, we expect to see a modest increase in UK house prices during 2013."
The downbeat prediction came despite George Osborne's intervention in the housing market in the budget with the Help to Buy scheme, which will offer help to first-time buyers and underwrite mortgages for homes worth up to £600,000.The downbeat prediction came despite George Osborne's intervention in the housing market in the budget with the Help to Buy scheme, which will offer help to first-time buyers and underwrite mortgages for homes worth up to £600,000.
It also follows indications by lenders that they intend to increase the number of mortgages they make available in 2013.It also follows indications by lenders that they intend to increase the number of mortgages they make available in 2013.
However, the number of mortgage approvals for house prices show that the housing market made a sluggish start to the year, with approvals falling 5% between January and February to the lowest level since September 2012.However, the number of mortgage approvals for house prices show that the housing market made a sluggish start to the year, with approvals falling 5% between January and February to the lowest level since September 2012.
Halifax's rival lender Nationwide reported no price growth in March, but put the average price of a UK home at a very similar figure of £164,630. It said prices were up by just 0.8% year-on-year, but the lenders use different methodology for this figure, with Halifax comparing quarterly data while Nationwide compares that of a single month.Halifax's rival lender Nationwide reported no price growth in March, but put the average price of a UK home at a very similar figure of £164,630. It said prices were up by just 0.8% year-on-year, but the lenders use different methodology for this figure, with Halifax comparing quarterly data while Nationwide compares that of a single month.
Howard Archer, chief UK economist at IHS Global Insight, said Halifax's figures reinforced his belief that house prices might see a small gain in 2013.Howard Archer, chief UK economist at IHS Global Insight, said Halifax's figures reinforced his belief that house prices might see a small gain in 2013.
"However, it remains hard to see house prices making a decisive move upward in 2013 given the still difficult and uncertain economic environment," he said. "And the slip in mortgage approvals in February reported by the Bank of England is a reminder that periodic relapses in housing market activity and prices remain highly possible.""However, it remains hard to see house prices making a decisive move upward in 2013 given the still difficult and uncertain economic environment," he said. "And the slip in mortgage approvals in February reported by the Bank of England is a reminder that periodic relapses in housing market activity and prices remain highly possible."
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