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| Version 1 | Version 2 |
|---|---|
| Maduro wins Venezuela election: join our live Q&A with Rory Carroll | Maduro wins Venezuela election: join our live Q&A with Rory Carroll |
| (12 days later) | |
| Nicolas Maduro's narrow victory over Henrique Capriles in the presidential election keeps Hugo Chavez's political movement, chavismo, in power but puts big question marks over Venezuela's future. | Nicolas Maduro's narrow victory over Henrique Capriles in the presidential election keeps Hugo Chavez's political movement, chavismo, in power but puts big question marks over Venezuela's future. |
| Most urgently, how far will Capriles, who claims fraud, go in disputing the result? Maduro has agreed to a full recount but said he will be officially proclaimed the winner at a ceremony on Monday afternoon. If Capriles mobilises street protests Venezuela could face months of turmoil. Longer term, Maduro's unexpectedly weak showing has undermined his authority within his own movement. Rival factions may conclude he is not the best choice to replace Chavez. This puts the new president in a delicate position as he prepares to grapple with serious economic and social problems. | Most urgently, how far will Capriles, who claims fraud, go in disputing the result? Maduro has agreed to a full recount but said he will be officially proclaimed the winner at a ceremony on Monday afternoon. If Capriles mobilises street protests Venezuela could face months of turmoil. Longer term, Maduro's unexpectedly weak showing has undermined his authority within his own movement. Rival factions may conclude he is not the best choice to replace Chavez. This puts the new president in a delicate position as he prepares to grapple with serious economic and social problems. |
| Rory Carroll, whose book on Chávez's life was published March 7, participated in a Reddit "Ask Me Anything" session last month, and was asked then how Sunday's election might turn out: | Rory Carroll, whose book on Chávez's life was published March 7, participated in a Reddit "Ask Me Anything" session last month, and was asked then how Sunday's election might turn out: |
| Question: | Question: |
| Is Chávez's successor Nicolás Maduro likely to win the election next month? And does he have an anti-American rhetoric as strong as Hugo's? | Is Chávez's successor Nicolás Maduro likely to win the election next month? And does he have an anti-American rhetoric as strong as Hugo's? |
| Rory answers: | Rory answers: |
| Yep, Maduro is likely to beat Henrique Capriles, an opposition governor who is due to make a statement in two hours confirming that he's standing. Maduro lacks Chavez's charisma. He's a boring speaker, though lately he's been mimicking Chavez's verbal tics and gestures. | Yep, Maduro is likely to beat Henrique Capriles, an opposition governor who is due to make a statement in two hours confirming that he's standing. Maduro lacks Chavez's charisma. He's a boring speaker, though lately he's been mimicking Chavez's verbal tics and gestures. |
| The remaining confetti from last year's artificial boom will help him, as will the huge upsurge in emotion over the comandante's death. | The remaining confetti from last year's artificial boom will help him, as will the huge upsurge in emotion over the comandante's death. |
| Plus the chavistas control state institutions and most governorships, a huge advantage in mobilising votes. The question is how will President Maduro deal with internal divisions on his side, and mounting economic problems. | Plus the chavistas control state institutions and most governorships, a huge advantage in mobilising votes. The question is how will President Maduro deal with internal divisions on his side, and mounting economic problems. |
| We're hosting a live chat where Rory will share his thoughts on the election. Questions? Leave them in the comments below, by using #openchat on Twitter or by visiting the chat from 1pm-2pm ET Monday. | We're hosting a live chat where Rory will share his thoughts on the election. Questions? Leave them in the comments below, by using #openchat on Twitter or by visiting the chat from 1pm-2pm ET Monday. |
| Questions to consider | Questions to consider |
| * Will chavismo outlive Chavez? * What is Chavez's legacy? * Is Chavez becoming deified? | * Will chavismo outlive Chavez? * What is Chavez's legacy? * Is Chavez becoming deified? |
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