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Poll finds only one in three people think Ed Miliband could be future PM Poll finds only one in three people think Ed Miliband could be future PM
(5 months later)
Less than a third of the public can envisage Ed Miliband as a future prime minister, according a new Opinium/Observer poll, which offers little cheer for the mainstream parties – but plenty for Nigel Farage's buoyant Ukip.Less than a third of the public can envisage Ed Miliband as a future prime minister, according a new Opinium/Observer poll, which offers little cheer for the mainstream parties – but plenty for Nigel Farage's buoyant Ukip.
The survey, taken between Tuesday and Thursday last week, shows Labour unchanged from two weeks ago on 35%, the Tories down one percentage point on 28%, Ukip unchanged on 17% and the Liberal Democrats up one percentage point on 9%.The survey, taken between Tuesday and Thursday last week, shows Labour unchanged from two weeks ago on 35%, the Tories down one percentage point on 28%, Ukip unchanged on 17% and the Liberal Democrats up one percentage point on 9%.
Ukip's rise appears to have dented support for both Labour and the Tories, with Miliband's party falling off its perch of about 40% a few weeks ago as Farage's party has registered gains. The Conservatives have been pegged back to below 30%.Ukip's rise appears to have dented support for both Labour and the Tories, with Miliband's party falling off its perch of about 40% a few weeks ago as Farage's party has registered gains. The Conservatives have been pegged back to below 30%.
But David Cameron and his troops will be encouraged by the Labour leader's inability to persuade voters that he is a potential occupant of No 10.But David Cameron and his troops will be encouraged by the Labour leader's inability to persuade voters that he is a potential occupant of No 10.
Just 31% of people said they could see Miliband as prime minister, with 11% saying they could "definitely" envisage him in Downing Street and 20% saying they could probably see him the top job.Just 31% of people said they could see Miliband as prime minister, with 11% saying they could "definitely" envisage him in Downing Street and 20% saying they could probably see him the top job.
Even among Labour supporters, only 71% said they could see him as PM (30% definitely and 41% probably). 21% of Labour supporters said they could "probably not" see him as PM and 3% said they could "definitely not" envisage him in Downing Street.Even among Labour supporters, only 71% said they could see him as PM (30% definitely and 41% probably). 21% of Labour supporters said they could "probably not" see him as PM and 3% said they could "definitely not" envisage him in Downing Street.
The findings represent a small improvement on September last year, when only 28% of voters said they saw him as a potential prime minister.The findings represent a small improvement on September last year, when only 28% of voters said they saw him as a potential prime minister.
The net approval ratings for the three party leaders put Cameron narrowly ahead on a net score of -19 (32% approving and 51% disapproving) compared to -20 for Miliband (23% approving and 43% disapproving), while Nick Clegg is on -45 (14% approving and 59% disapproving).The net approval ratings for the three party leaders put Cameron narrowly ahead on a net score of -19 (32% approving and 51% disapproving) compared to -20 for Miliband (23% approving and 43% disapproving), while Nick Clegg is on -45 (14% approving and 59% disapproving).
In response to Ukip's rise in popularity, Opinium will give more information on the views of its voters, alongside those of the other three parties, in future polls.In response to Ukip's rise in popularity, Opinium will give more information on the views of its voters, alongside those of the other three parties, in future polls.
• Opinium Research carried out an online survey of 1,951 GB adults aged 18+ from 30 April to 2 May 2013. Results have been weighted to nationally representative criteria• Opinium Research carried out an online survey of 1,951 GB adults aged 18+ from 30 April to 2 May 2013. Results have been weighted to nationally representative criteria
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