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Germany reports sluggish first-quarter growth of 0.1% | Germany reports sluggish first-quarter growth of 0.1% |
(34 minutes later) | |
Germany's economy barely grew in the first quarter of 2013 as exports and investment shrank, figures show. | Germany's economy barely grew in the first quarter of 2013 as exports and investment shrank, figures show. |
But higher domestic consumption - thanks to rising wages - helped offset the declines in foreign trade and capital investment, raising hopes it will help drive a sustained recovery. | But higher domestic consumption - thanks to rising wages - helped offset the declines in foreign trade and capital investment, raising hopes it will help drive a sustained recovery. |
Gross domestic product rose 0.1% from the previous quarter, but contracted 1.4% compared with a year earlier. | Gross domestic product rose 0.1% from the previous quarter, but contracted 1.4% compared with a year earlier. |
The figure showed the economy narrowly avoided falling into a recession. | The figure showed the economy narrowly avoided falling into a recession. |
In the previous quarter, Germany's annual economic output shrank by 0.7%. A recession is defined as two consecutive quarters of economic contraction. | In the previous quarter, Germany's annual economic output shrank by 0.7%. A recession is defined as two consecutive quarters of economic contraction. |
In the latest GDP data, which confirmed a preliminary estimate, only household spending was positive, growing 0.8%. Imports fell by 2.1% and exports dropped 1.8%, | In the latest GDP data, which confirmed a preliminary estimate, only household spending was positive, growing 0.8%. Imports fell by 2.1% and exports dropped 1.8%, |
"Germany's consumers ride to the rescue," said Christian Schulz, senior economist at Berenberg Bank. | "Germany's consumers ride to the rescue," said Christian Schulz, senior economist at Berenberg Bank. |
'Normal' effect | 'Normal' effect |
"In 2013, Germany will have to rely largely on domestic demand for growth. With consumption showing signs of strength and some bounce-back in investment after the long winter, the outlook for domestic demand is brightening," he said. | "In 2013, Germany will have to rely largely on domestic demand for growth. With consumption showing signs of strength and some bounce-back in investment after the long winter, the outlook for domestic demand is brightening," he said. |
"Strong fundamentals such as low unemployment, rising wages and low inflation are starting to have their 'normal' effect. And more growth is in store," | "Strong fundamentals such as low unemployment, rising wages and low inflation are starting to have their 'normal' effect. And more growth is in store," |
A separate survey of 2,000 households by market research group GfK showed consumer sentiment rose for the sixth month in a row. | A separate survey of 2,000 households by market research group GfK showed consumer sentiment rose for the sixth month in a row. |
GfK pointed to "the favourable and stable framework conditions in Germany. The high level of employment, favourable wage agreements and slowing inflation are buoying sentiment." | GfK pointed to "the favourable and stable framework conditions in Germany. The high level of employment, favourable wage agreements and slowing inflation are buoying sentiment." |
Business sentiment also showed a surprise rebound this month after two consecutive months of declines, according to the closely-watched Ifo business climate index released on Friday. | |
But some analysts still warned that the recovery was fragile. | But some analysts still warned that the recovery was fragile. |
Germany's economy lost steam last year as the eurozone crisis and weakness in China hit exports. | Germany's economy lost steam last year as the eurozone crisis and weakness in China hit exports. |
"The data also hold an inconvenient truth," said Carsten Brzeski, senior economist at ING. | "The data also hold an inconvenient truth," said Carsten Brzeski, senior economist at ING. |
"Without its exports, the German economy is currently only like a sports car without sixth gear," | "Without its exports, the German economy is currently only like a sports car without sixth gear," |